Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Nov. 11, 2026
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
109.34 |
+4.5 -110 
|
o221.5 -108 
|
+160 
|
|
112.16 |
-4.5 -102 
|
u221.5 -105 
|
-175 
|
Cleveland
New York
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
111.94 |
-5.5 -104
|
o215.0 -110 
|
-215
|
|
104.14 |
+5.5 -105
|
u215.5 -110 
|
+190
|
Boston
Toronto
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
111.82 |
+3.5 -115
|
o227.5 -112
|
+130
|
|
116.56 |
-3.5 -104
|
u228.5 -115
|
-143
|
Washington
Indiana
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
116.25 |
-2.5 -135
|
o229.5 -115
|
-160
|
|
112.87 |
+2.5 +105
|
u231.5 -113
|
+145
|
Denver
Memphis
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
122.10 |
-13.5 -125
|
o228.5 -113
|
-790
|
|
108.68 |
+13.5 -105
|
u229.5 -114
|
+600
|
L.A. Lakers
Milwaukee
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
127.02 |
-14.5 -115
|
o237.5 -105
|
-1099
|
|
112.05 |
+14.5 -105
|
u238.5 -110
|
+800
|
San Antonio
Chicago
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
112.36 |
+3.5 -108
|
o227.5 -105
|
+140
|
|
117.02 |
-3.5 -105
|
u228.5 -108
|
-155
|
Brooklyn
New Orleans
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
110.41 |
-3.5 -115
|
o214.0 -105
|
-174
|
|
105.01 |
+3.5 -104
|
u215.5 -114
|
+150
|
Orlando
Utah
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
109.47 |
+6.5 -105
|
o219.5 -109
|
+220
|
|
114.16 |
-6.5 -109
|
u220.5 -110
|
-260
|
Golden State
Houston
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
Spread |
Total |
ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
113.65 |
+3.5 -135
|
o224.5 -108
|
+118
|
|
111.66 |
-3.5 +105
|
u225.0 -110 
|
-130
|
Oklahoma City
Portland
CLE
@
NY
Wed, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Karl-Anthony Towns o34.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-180)
Karl-Anthony Towns is off to an outstanding start for the Knicks this year, averaging 20.9 ppg while leading the NBA with 13.8 rebounds per contest. That's powered him to an average of 37.8 PRA per game on the season. I like Towns to get 35+ PRA at up to 66% tonight.
Evan Mobley o1.5 3-Pointers Made (+137)
While Evan Mobley has never been a sharpshooter, he has steadily increased his three-point volume throughout his career. Those numbers have reached a new high this season, as he's chucking up 4.2 shots per game from beyond the arc. Mobley has hit multiple threes in six of his last 10 games, and I think he offers great value to hit that target tonight at up to 45%.
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BOS
@
TOR
Wed, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Jakob Poeltl o11.5 Points Scored (-115)
Play up to 55% and 12.5 points.
Toronto has put more of an emphasis on getting Jakob Poeltl involved on offense in recent games. Now some of this surge can be attributed to missing bodies, but going from averaging 1.8 shot attempts in his first four appearances to 10.3 in his last four can't be ignored.
The 7-footer has made 22 of his last 31 shots at a 71% conversion rate, and has scored 18 or more points in each of the last two games.
Payton Pritchard o12.5 Points Scored (-115)
Play up to 58% and 14.5 points.
There's just something about competing against the Raptors that brings out the best in Payton Pritchard, as he's averaging 21.6 points, 5.3 assists, and 4.6 rebounds the last seven times he's seen his Atlantic Division rival.
Of those seven outings, the 28-year-old point guard scored more than 12.5 points all seven times, finishing with no less than 15 points and reaching at least 20 on four occasions.
WAS
@
IND
Wed, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Aaron Nesmith o14.5 Points Scored (+107)
Play up to 53%. Aaron Nesmith has been getting plenty of offensive opportunities lately, attempting at least 11 shots in three straight games. He's coming off an 18-point performance against Dallas and faces a vulnerable Wizards defense tonight.
Anthony Davis o24.5 Points Scored (+138)
Anthony Davis has been unstoppable lately, clearing 24.5 points in four straight games, including a 44-point explosion against Detroit. He's attempted at least 17 shots in each outing and faces an Indiana defense struggling to protect the paint. Expect AD to stay aggressive and deliver another big scoring performance.
DEN
@
MEM
Wed, Nov 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Cedric Coward o6.5 Total Rebounds (-130)
Coward averages 8.4 rebounds and has cleared 6.5 in eight of nine games, including three straight nine-rebound performances. Denver's rebounding problems make another seven-rebound outing likely Wednesday night.
Nikola Jokic o9.5 Total Assists (+106)
LAL
@
MIL
Wed, Nov 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Ziaire Williams o9.5 Points Scored (+116)
I'm taking Ziaire Williams 10+ points up to 50%. He's cleared this mark in six of nine games, and Milwaukee's lineups missing at least one regular starter have a -18.0 net rating. His bench role shouldn't eliminate scoring opportunities.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. o14.5 Points Scored (-101)
I'm taking Jamie Jaquez Jr. 15+ points below 50%. He's cleared it in seven of 11 games, including Tuesday against an elite Knicks defense. The Lakers rank 18th defensively, and Tyler Herro's potential absence could boost Jaquez's usage.
SA
@
CHI
Wed, Nov 11 • 8:00 PM ET
SA -14.5 (-124)
After dropping two straight to open the season, the Spurs have won nine straight games by an average of 16.1 points, and they’ve won two straight by 20+. I’ll trade this line to 15.5, as five of nine wins have come by at least 16.
The Bulls have just one win, and they rank last in the NBA in Net Rating at -16.2. Four of Chicago’s losses are by 16+ points, including two of the last three.
Jalen Smith u7.5 Total Rebounds (-140)
Smith is averaging a career-best 7.8 rebounds, and he’s corralled 8+ in five of nine games this season. Despite his success thus far, I’m willing to trade this line down to 6.5, as Smith faces a tough matchup against Victor Wembanyama and increased competition for rebounds from Nic Claxton.
BK
@
NO
Wed, Nov 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Derik Queen o9.5 Points Scored (-110)
Play to 52%.
Derik Queen scores most of his points in isolation and at the charity stripe.
The Nets sit 25th in isolation defense and in free throw rate allowed.
Queen recorded 10+ points in five of seven games excluding Top-10 ISO defenses, and averaged 13.7 points over three games against Bottom-10 teams in free throws allowed.
Julius Randle o5.5 Total Assists (+116)
I’d play Julius Randle for Over 5.5 assists to 51%.
He recorded at least six assists in all three contests against teams ranking in the bottom half of the league in assists allowed, combining for 21 dimes on 36 potentials.
The Pelicans sit 26th in assists against, 25th in defensive rating, and are playing their third game in four nights.
ORL
@
UTA
Wed, Nov 11 • 9:00 PM ET
GS
@
HOU
Wed, Nov 11 • 9:30 PM ET
Stephen Curry o34.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-124)
Curry is off to an incandescently hot start that includes an average of 30.6 points per contest on 50.3% shooting, including 45.7% from behind the arc. He's contributing 8.4 rebounds + assists per contest as well, and he's come just a point, rebound or assist short of going 5-1 to the Over on this prop in the last six contests.
Alperen Sengun o19.5 Points Scored (-125)
Sengun is averaging 21.3 points per game for the season on 51.4% shooting, including a career-best 47.4% from 3-point range. The elite efficiency dovetails well with the 52.2% shooting the Warriors allow on the road, and Sengun has cashed the Over on this prop in five occasions already this season, with four of those instances coming at home.
OKC
@
POR
Wed, Nov 11 • 10:00 PM ET
Donovan Clingan o10.5 Total Rebounds (-120)
Playable up to 11.5 at a better price. Portland is thriving on the glass thanks to Clingan's presence in the paint, posting a 71% defensive rebounding rate (fifth-best in the NBA), and he's averaging 11.6 RPG in November.
Isaiah Hartenstein o9.5 Total Rebounds (-108)
Playable up to 56%. Hartenstein is carrying a bigger role on the glass in Chet's absence, and he's grabbed 10+ boards in six of his last nine outings. With the Blazers' up-tempo style (eighth in pace) and a heavy 3-point shot diet, Hartenstein should rack up rebounds here.
DAL
@
MIN
Thu, Nov 12 • 8:00 PM ET
DAL (+155)
I price the Mavericks closer to a 41% underdog, making 35% an attractive trade. Rudy Gobert's drop coverage doesn't necessarily take away what Kyrie Irving and Cooper Flagg do best, as both thrive in the mid-range. Irving can also exploit it with floaters and acrobatic finishes. On the other end, Gobert isn't the type of center who can consistently expose Dallas' lack of depth at the center position with Dereck Lively sidelined.
CHA
@
PHO
Thu, Nov 12 • 9:00 PM ET
PHO (-234)
I price the Suns closer to 73% favorites, making this an attractive buy. With Coby White and Grayson Allen handling most of Charlotte's backcourt minutes, Devin Booker and Jalen Green should thrive against a defense lacking point-of-attack resistance. Booker should generate efficient offense for himself and his teammates, while Moussa Diabate's questionable status adds another concern for Charlotte's interior defense.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
The table above displays our sports betting computer’s picks based on the last 100 NBA games played. It gives basketball bettors a data-backed look into which games and NBA odds could hold some hidden value.
It can be tricky to nail down the “perfect” bet, but our expert predictions will teach you how to bet on basketball matchups with confidence.
Following the computer picks blindly is not a surefire way to make gains when betting on NBA action. If anything, it's merely a guide to place bettors in the best position possible to achieve success, whether you're betting the moneyline, spread, or OVER/UNDER.
We use statistical analysis and machine-learning projections to make our selections, but don't forget to do your own research to find the best value!
Betting the moneyline in the NBA means you're picking the winner of the game, no strings attached. If the team you bet on emerges victorious, then so do you.
| Team | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | -120 |
| Golden State Warriors | +150 |
In this example, the Los Angeles Lakers are the favorites to win the game as their moneyline odds have a minus sign (-) in front of the number. The favorites will have the minus sign present, and the underdogs will have a plus sign (+).
Betting $100 on the Lakers would pay you $180, your original $100 bet, plus $80 in winnings. If you bet $100 on the Warriors, since oddsmakers believe they're less likely to win this game, the payout would be $250, with a profit of $150.
Betting the spread in the NBA provides more wiggle room to bettors for games that may appear one-sided on paper. Rather than simply picking the winner like you would with the moneyline, you can instead pick the point differential to give underdogs more of a fighting chance with your wagers.
| Team | Spread |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | -4.5 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | +4.5 (-110) |
In this example, the Lakers are favored to not only win the game against the Warriors, but to do so by at least 4.5 points. As a gentle reminder, the minus sign (-) determines the favorite for the game in question.
Should the Lakers win by five points, that would mean Los Angeles "covered the spread," resulting in a win for those who bet in their favor. However, if the Lakers won by four points, that would mean the Warriors "covered the spread" instead.
The -110 betting line enclosed in parentheses is fairly common for spread bets. That is the number bettors would follow to determine potential gains and losses, just like the moneyline. Odds are usually equal on both sides of the line, but can range from -105 to -120 (or more) in either direction.
An Over/Under bet in the NBA has nothing to do with which team wins the game. Instead, all that matters is the total combined score for that game and whether it exceeds a preset number established by oddsmakers.
| Team | Total |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers | O 240.5 (-110) |
| Golden State Warriors | U 240.5 (-110) |
In this example, oddsmakers have set the total score for the Lakers and Warriors at 240.5 points.
As a bettor, you can select the Over if you believe the two teams will combine to score more than 240.5 points, 241 or more, or bet the Under if they'll score fewer than 240.5 points, 240 or fewer.
If the set number was a whole number like 240 points, for example, and the two teams combined to score exactly that amount, then the result would be a push and you'd get your money back on the wager.
Our moneyline picks, point spread predictions, and Over/Under estimates are solid tools to start betting with. Don't glance over other tools, though, especially NBA analytics. You can find a collection of resources below, ranging from databases to NBA betting tips; browse through them and find the best value on every NBA betting site.
Covers NBA picks generally release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free NBA picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
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