NBA Picks

Play up to 50%. Davis is averaging 23 PPG and has cleared 24.5 points in back-to-back games, scoring 27 and 25. With Jalen Johnson potentially sidelined, AD should have more room to operate inside against an Atlanta defense allowing nearly 25 PPG to opposing power forwards. I'll back another 25+ performance.

I'll back the 76ers at 47%, as I price Philadelphia closer to a 54% favorite against the Pistons. Joel Embiid was load-managed in their previous meeting and couldn't exploit the undersized Paul Reed in the post. With Embiid available and Jalen Duren sidelined again, Philadelphia has a significant matchup advantage.

Play up to 62%.

Caleb Wilson already looks every bit worth the fourth overall selection the Bulls invested in the prospect in this year's draft. He sits second amongst rookies in scoring (21.6 points), third in rebounds (6.7), and eighth in assists (2.7) through his first seven career games.

The latter two numbers are most important here, as Wilson has gone Over a combination prop of 8.5 boards and dimes in each of the last three games and four of his last five. 

Wilson's six-rebound, four-assist line from Oct. 28 is proof already that he can get his numbers versus the Knicks. As the only Bulls player averaging more than 30 minutes of playing time, he'll have every opportunity to do so again on Wednesday. 

Jerome is enjoying a career-best campaign, averaging 28.2 PPG with a team-high 32.5% usage rate. He's cleared this line in four of six appearances, including a 40-point eruption against New Orleans. With Indiana allowing 115.6 PPG, I'll back Jerome's impressive shot volume to deliver another big scoring performance.

OKC center Isaiah Hartenstein is playing a bigger role with Chet Holmgren missing time with knee pain. The 7-footer hauled down 14 rebounds in Monday’s matchup with the Cavaliers and has reeled in at least a dozen boards in four of his last five games. Hartenstein is seeing 17.0 rebounding chances per game on the season with that number jumping to 19.3 the past four games with Holmgren out of action. Projections for Wednesday have Hartenstein posting as many as 11 boards.

Fred VanVleet has always been a reliable three-point shooter, hitting 37.1% from deep for his career. Overall, he's hit 3+ threes in three of his first six games, and more tellingly, he's taken at least six shots from three-point range in five of those contests. I expect that volume to continue, and I like VanVleet to make 3+ threes tonight at up to 50%.

The Toronto Raptors head into their matchup with the Denver Nuggets riding plenty of momentum after dropping a season-high 47 fourth-quarter points on Monday, and there's a matchup advantage tonight worth highlighting - it's on the glass. The Raptors lead the NBA with 15.3 offensive rebounds per game, while the Nuggets surrender a league-worst 14.5. Denver has already dropped two of three on home court, and with Scottie Barnes playing some of his best basketball, Toronto has the defensive versatility (10th in defensive rating) and second-chance scoring to cover. 

Play up to 62%.

Irving's status should have little to no bearing on whether or not Flagg can achieve an Over on a prop of 5.5 assists.

The sophomore phenom is averaging 6.6 in five games with the superstar point guard. In his lone start without him on Monday, Flagg had six dimes on eight potential assists. 

Flagg has become a player who commands respect from defenders due to his offensive intangibles, and the Spurs will surely look to force someone else on Dallas to beat them. That means trying to get the rock out of Flagg's hands, whether it's through immense pressure or double teams. Passing out of those situations means generating assist opportunities, which is why I love this play.

Rookie Darius Acuff has fired up 165 total shots in his first seven games (second most in the NBA), boasting an usage rate of 32.3%. A good chunk of those attempts has come from beyond the arc, with Acuff launching an average of 9.3 triples. He’s knocking down just three of those per outing. Game script says the Kings trail large and with the Lakers active from outside, that often prompts opponents to counter with 3-balls of their own.