Cleveland Guardians

3rd in American League Central (69 - 69)

Next Game

Thu, Sep 4 19:35 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand today. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Junior Caminero ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Junior Caminero will have the upper hand today. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

All Matchup props

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 15th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill. Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Chandler Simpson has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .289 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .310 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 15th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill. Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Chandler Simpson has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .289 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .310 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

Carson Williams Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Carson Williams
C. Williams
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Carson Williams's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Carson Williams will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Williams will hold that advantage in today's game. Carson Williams's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (20° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

Carson Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carson Williams's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Carson Williams will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Carson Williams will hold that advantage in today's game. Carson Williams's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (20° over the last week) is quite a bit better than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

All Matchup props

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Gabriel Arias
G. Arias
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Gabriel Arias has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.3-mph over the past two weeks. Gabriel Arias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 11.9% to 15.9%.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Gabriel Arias has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.3-mph over the past two weeks. Gabriel Arias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 11.9% to 15.9%.

All Matchup props

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jose Ramirez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 98th percentile with a 1.07 K/BB rate.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jose Ramirez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 98th percentile with a 1.07 K/BB rate.

All Matchup props

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Over the last week, Steven Kwan's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Over the last week, Steven Kwan's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

All Matchup props

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Christopher Morel
C. Morel
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Christopher Morel will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Christopher Morel will have the handedness advantage over Logan Allen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

All Matchup props

Everson Pereira Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Everson Pereira
E. Pereira
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Everson Pereira will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Everson Pereira will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Everson Pereira's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.7-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph recently.

Everson Pereira

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Everson Pereira in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Everson Pereira will have the handedness advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Everson Pereira will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Everson Pereira's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.7-mph over the course of the season to 108.9-mph recently.

All Matchup props

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

When estimating his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge today. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When estimating his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge today. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

All Matchup props

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Brandon Lowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

All Matchup props

Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Brayan Rocchio
B. Rocchio
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Brayan Rocchio has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph figure. Brayan Rocchio has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .235 BA is a fair amount lower than his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brayan Rocchio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Brayan Rocchio has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 84.5-mph figure. Brayan Rocchio has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .235 BA is a fair amount lower than his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

All Matchup props

CJ Kayfus Total Hits Props • Cleveland

CJ Kayfus
C. Kayfus
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Collin Kayfus will have an advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Collin Kayfus has experienced some negative variance this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

CJ Kayfus

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Collin Kayfus in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Collin Kayfus will have an advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Collin Kayfus has experienced some negative variance this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

All Matchup props

Kyle Manzardo Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Kyle Manzardo
K. Manzardo
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Over the last week, Kyle Manzardo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 25%. Kyle Manzardo has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 99.2-mph in the last 7 days.

Kyle Manzardo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Over the last week, Kyle Manzardo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 25%. Kyle Manzardo has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 99.2-mph in the last 7 days.

All Matchup props

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Bo Naylor
B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today. Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Bo Naylor has experienced some negative variance this year. His .276 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323. Bo Naylor's 21.2° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 95th percentile.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today. Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Bo Naylor has experienced some negative variance this year. His .276 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323. Bo Naylor's 21.2° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 95th percentile.

All Matchup props

Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Josh Lowe
J. Lowe
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.89
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.56
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Nolan Jones has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Nick Fortes
N. Fortes
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.48
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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