Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 15, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
MIA
@
PHI
Mon, Jun 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Zack Wheeler enters with elite Batters Box form and has consistently produced strikeouts at a high rate, including six plus Ks in 87.5 percent of elite starts. He also brings strong home strikeout and chase metrics against a high K Marlins lineup featuring multiple hitters above 27 percent strikeout rate. On the other side, Phillies face Ryan Gusto who struggles heavily versus left handed hitters, allowing strong averages and power production. Kyle Schwarber stands out as the top hit candidate with elite matchup and strong arsenal coverage. Overall this sets up Philadelphia to generate early offense and control the game.
Zack Wheeler o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+109)
Zack Wheeler draws a strong strikeout matchup against a struggling Marlins lineup that fanned ten times in their previous game. Miami’s road splits show elevated whiff rates, with multiple hitters carrying strikeout marks above 27.9%, including four above 30.6%. Wheeler’s recent profile supports upside, producing seven or more strikeouts in 68.75 percent of elite-rated starts and 76 percent when carrying a strong strikeout grade over a 25 game sample. At home he posts a 26.6% strikeout rate with a 36.1% chase rate outside the zone. The numbers point toward value on his strikeout prop at plus money tonight play
KC
@
WAS
Mon, Jun 15 • 6:45 PM ET
o9.5 (+115)
The Royals are averaging 5.15 runs per game over the last two weeks, while both bullpens have struggled. Washington's relief corps owns a 5.23 FIP and 1.57 HR/9 over the last week, and Kansas City's bullpen has surrendered 1.65 HR/9 across its last 27.1 innings.
WAS (-130)
NYM
@
CIN
Mon, Jun 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+294)
Juan Soto looks to be out of his recent slump, showing strong signs of life against right handed pitching. Over his last 30 plate appearances, he has posted an .868 OPS, along with strong quality of contact metrics including 59% hard hit rate and a 9.1% barrel rate. He also grades out with elite pitch coverage against Chase Burns, handling his entire arsenal. Burns has struggled with left handed hitters, allowing high barrel and elevation rates with poor expected results. This sets up a favorable matchup for Soto in Cincinnati tonight.
Juan Soto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
Juan Soto 1.5 HRR at -115 stands out as strong value for one of baseball’s most consistent on-base threats. He has cleared this mark nearly 60% of the time in an elite 220 game sample. After a brief slump, Soto has regained form with an .868 OPS over his last 30 plate appearances versus right-handed pitching, backed by strong walk and hard contact rates. He also carries elite matchup coverage against Chase Burns. The Reds starter has struggled with lefties, allowing high elevation, barrel rates, and damaging expected metrics, making Soto’s 2+ HRR path highly appealing at this price.
SD
@
STL
Mon, Jun 15 • 7:45 PM ET
u8.5 (-110)
San Diego's offense has struggled away from home, batting just .224 with an 89 wRC+ on the road. The Padres' bullpen has also been excellent lately, posting a 2.94 FIP, 0.73 HR/9, and 50% ground-ball rate, while Dustin May is capable of providing length for St. Louis.
STL (-140)
Lucas Giolito's command issues remain a major concern, as he's walking 7.84 hitters per nine innings this season and 6.75 per nine across his last two starts. Meanwhile, St. Louis owns a 132 wRC+ and .369 wOBA recently, while Dustin May has posted a stellar 1.94 FIP over his last four outings.
COL
@
CHC
Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET
Both Shota Imanaga and Michael Lorenzen enter this matchup in vulnerable form, with underlying metrics pointing toward sustained contact and hit production allowed. Imanaga has struggled with hard contact and home run prevention at Wrigley, consistently allowing multiple hits in favorable Batters Box spots. Lorenzen has been even more volatile on the road, with elevated ERA and damage rates. With both pitchers showing profiles that invite traffic on the bases, each lineup features multiple hitters in strong matchups. This sets up as a high scoring environment where early offense and consistent pressure from both sides are firmly in play.
u9.5 (-120)
Excluding the most recent series against the Athletics, which was played in an extreme hitter-friendly park, the Rockies have a .299 wOBA and .115 ISO on the road vs. lefties this season.
The Cubs will score against Lorenzen but 7+ runs may be needed to push this one Over the total.
Play to -130.
MIN
@
TEX
Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET
DET
@
HOU
Mon, Jun 15 • 8:10 PM ET
A plus money three leg hit parlay is in play this evening, featuring a strong set of contact based hitters in favorable matchups. Detroit bats Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter both carry elite Batters-Box ratings against Astros right hander Kai Wei Teng, who owns one of the weakest pitcher profiles on the slate. Teng has struggled with hard contact, ground balls, and run prevention, while allowing elevated damage and traffic over his recent outings. Both Tigers have been swinging it well against right handed pitching and bring strong recent contact quality and barrel production.
They are joined by Yordan Alvarez, who also finds a favorable hitting environment against Tigers right hander Troy Melton and consistently delivers in elite rated matchups.
o9.0 (+100)
Only the Rockies, Brewers, and Dodgers have posted a higher wOBA against righties than the Tigers in June.
Troy Melton has pitched much worse than his ERA suggests, with his xFIP sitting two runs higher over the last 30 days.
With both offenses taking on vulnerable pitchers, I’d play the Over to -110.
LAA
@
AZ
Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET
LAA (+110)
The Angels are worth a look as a road underdog tonight behind the red-hot Walbert Ureña. The rookie right-hander has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of his last eight starts, while Arizona has struggled badly against right-handed pitching of late. Los Angeles also enters in better offensive form and gets a favorable matchup against Ryne Nelson, who owns a 5.19 ERA and was tagged for seven earned runs in his last outing.
PIT
@
ATH
Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET
ATH (-113)
The ballpark and weather conditions at Sutter Health Park play a major role in how I'm handicapping this matchup. With temperatures expected to reach 93 degrees, sunny skies, and a wind blowing out toward left-center field, the environment should be very favorable for hitters. JT Ginn, the Athletics' starting pitcher, relies heavily on his sinker to generate ground balls and keep the ball in the infield. On the other side, Pirates starter Jared Jones is a high-velocity arm who works at the top of the strike zone. When he misses his spots, however, he's prone to giving up plenty of fly balls. In these conditions, that's a dangerous profile. A routine fly ball that might die on the warning track at PNC Park can suddenly carry over the fence in Sacramento. That gives the Athletics a meaningful advantage in this specific environment. I make the Athletics closer to a -130 favorite in this matchup, which makes the current -113 price worth backing.
o10.5 (-118)
While the A's aren't playing any more games at Las Vegas Stadium this season, let's not forget that Sutter Health Park is its own launching pad. No, the Pirates won't plate 23 runs as the Rockies did on Sunday, but they'll do their part. But I'm more interested in how Nick Kurtz and Tyler Soderstrom (and the A's other boppers) fare against Jared Jones and the Pittsburgh bullpen behind him.
TB
@
LAD
Mon, Jun 15 • 10:10 PM ET
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+241)
Junior Caminero is in a strong spot to go deep tonight against Dodgers left hander Eric Lauer. Lauer enters with one of the weakest pitcher profiles on the slate, grading poorly in strikeout rate, ground ball rate, and overall matchup ISO. He has also struggled to contain right handed hitters at home, allowing a 71% elevation rate, along with a .504 expected slugging, .349 expected wOBA, and a 12% barrel rate in that split. Caminero matches up well into Lauer’s arsenal, covering 72.5% of his pitch mix. He has also been in strong recent form against southpaws, posting a .304 average, .902 OPS, nearly 60% hard hit rate, and consistent barrel production over his last 30 plate appearances.
u9.5 (-120)
Freddie Freeman, Mookie Betts, and Shohei Ohtani are the Dodgers most familiar with Rays SP Nick Martinez, and they're all hitting .214 or worse against him. It's not a recipe for runs, and Tampa's offense hasn't done enough heavy lifting of late to push this Over the total.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
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