Los Angeles @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day. The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Bregman's true offensive skill to be a .347, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .036 difference between that mark and his actual .383 wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in baseball. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Over the last 14 days, Shohei Ohtani has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 23% to 37.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Masataka Yoshida will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Abraham Toro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Clayton Kershaw in today's game. Abraham Toro will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Abraham Toro has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 89.9-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 19th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Freddie Freeman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 15°, Freddie Freeman has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.5° angle over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Roman Anthony is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Roman Anthony has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Roman Anthony will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an advantage today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an edge in today's matchup. Carlos Narvaez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Carlos Narvaez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 94-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 18th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP ability. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the game for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game. Jarren Duran has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. Trevor Story will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's game. Trevor Story has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Andy Pages's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andy Pages is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Andy Pages will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Miguel Rojas will have an advantage in today's game. Miguel Rojas has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Miguel Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.2-mph over the course of the season to 105.4-mph in recent games. Posting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has demonstrated strong plate discipline, placing in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Garrett Crochet in this game. In the past 7 days, Tommy Edman's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.2%. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 36.9% to 48.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esteury Ruiz in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Esteury Ruiz will have an edge in today's game. Esteury Ruiz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Michael Conforto has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.