Jack Flaherty’s strikeout total is set too high today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and I plan to take full advantage.
Read on to see why with my Blue Jays vs. Tigers predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, May 17.
Blue Jays vs Tigers predictions
Blue Jays vs Tigers best bet: Jack Flaherty Under 4.5 strikeouts (+115)
Collecting five strikeouts against the Toronto Blue Jays is a big ask of any pitcher, let alone a struggling one like Jack Flaherty.
The Detroit Tigers have lost four straight starts of Flaherty’s, and he’s seen his ERA balloon from 3.47 to 5.74 in that span.
His strikeout numbers are down in that stretch as well, recording four or fewer in three of those outings.
To suggest he’ll surpass this number against the Jays, who own a league-low 18.2% K-rate, feels rich to me.
Additionally, Flaherty owns a lowly 7% chase rate this season.
COVERS INTEL: Flaherty owns a 5.21 xERA in 2026, and has completed five innings just once in his last five starts.
Blue Jays vs Tigers same-game parlay (SGP)
Yohendrick Pinango continues to rack up the hits. He owns a .364 batting average, while recording a hit in 11 of his 15 career outings.
For the final leg of my SGP, I’ll take the Jays on the moneyline. They own the advantage on the mound with Kevin Gausman facing Flaherty, who hasn’t won a game all season and has seen his Tigers drop five straight contests he’s started.
Blue Jays vs Tigers SGP
- Jack Flaherty Under 4.5 strikeouts
- Yohendrick Pinango Over 0.5 hits
- Jays moneyline
Blue Jays vs Tigers home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+405)
Despite Flaherty allowing four home runs in his last four starts, I’m making this a half unit wager this afternoon.
The Jays haven’t been hitting many home runs lately. However, Kazuma Okamoto still remains the best bet to launch one.
Okamoto has a team-high 10 home runs this year, while ranking in the 95th percentile in hard hit rate.
The Jays slugger owns a .295 AVG and a .590 SLG against the four-seam fastball, which is Flaherty’s most used pitch against right-handed batters.
- Best bets: 19-25, -2.60 units
- SGPs: 8-36, -2.20 units
- HR picks: 8-36, +5.15 units
Blue Jays vs Tigers odds
- Moneyline: Toronto -130 | Detroit +110
- Run line: Toronto -1.5 | Detroit +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Blue Jays vs Tigers trend
The Blue Jays have hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Tigers.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Tigers and game info
| Location | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Sunday, May 17, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet, Detroit SportsNet |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Kevin Gausman (2-3, 3.86 ERA) |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Jack Flaherty (0-4, 5.74 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs Tigers latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Tigers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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