MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Sunday, May 17

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: May 17, 2026 , 09:21 AM ET • 4 min read

See why Jordan Walker is a good bet to go deep today, and much more.

Jordan Walker Cardinals MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jordan Walker in MLB action.

The weather is heating up, and so are sluggers around the MLB.

My home run props today feature some of the hottest hitters in baseball in Munetaka Murakami and Jordan Walker.

Read my full MLB player props for Sunday, May 17 below.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HR Odds
Cardinals Jordan Walker +660
White Sox Munetaka Murakami  +338
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Home run pick: Jordan Walker (+660)

Jordan Walker cooled off for a bit after hitting eight homers in April, but dingers are back on the menu for the St. Louis Cardinals slugger.

Walker has gone deep in two of his last three games while batting .358 so far in May. The 6-foot-6 outfielder has the fifth-highest average exit velocity in baseball (94.8 mph), so it’s no surprise that he’s piling up the homers.

Stephen Kolek gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he’s already given up three homers over his first two appearances of the season.

  • Time: 2:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Cardinals.TV, Royals.TV

Home run pick: Munetaka Murakami (+338)

Munetaka Murakami snapped a six-game homer drought Saturday with a pair of dingers, bringing his season total up to 17 and just three back of Kyle Schwarber for the most in the majors.

Murakami is tied for first in hard hit percentage (61.5%), and the Chicago White Sox rookie will get plenty of good pitches to hit this afternoon.

Chicago Cubs starter Colin Rea has allowed three dingers over his last two outings, and five overall through his last six games.

The Cubs' pen has also struggled to keep the ball in the yard, surrendering 23 home runs this season.

  • Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Marquee Sports Network, Chicago Sports Network
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  • HR picks: 6-12, +9.14 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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