Los Angeles @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage today. Typically, bats like Alex Bregman who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Emmet Sheehan. Among every team playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.322) provides evidence that Alex Bregman has been very fortunate this year with his .384 actual wOBA.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Mookie Betts will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts in today's matchup. Mookie Betts has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 5.3% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage over Andy Pages today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Bello's large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today. Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Andy Pages's average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 83.8-mph over the last week.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.376) may lead us to conclude that Shohei Ohtani has experienced some positive variance this year with his .411 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 14.2% on the season to 25% in the last week's worth of games. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 36.9% to 48.3%.

Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Roman Anthony is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Roman Anthony will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Michael Conforto will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Michael Conforto has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Michael Conforto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 40.6% to 45.8%.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.240) provides evidence that Connor Wong has experienced some negative variance this year with his .182 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Marcelo Mayer's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 37.9% on the season to 71.4% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Abraham Toro has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 89.9-mph over the past week.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 93.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.3-mph in the last week. Freddie Freeman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 20% to 15.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best stadium in the league for lefty batting average. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Miguel Rojas has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 89.2-mph. In terms of plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's ability is quite good, putting up a 1.76 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 83rd percentile.

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #4 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trevor Story has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park grades out as the #4 venue in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Carlos Narvaez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Carlos Narvaez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph figure.

Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.