MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jun 4 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Gavin Sheets profile picture
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber profile picture
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
San Diego Padres logo Philadelphia Phillies logo
o8.0
Total
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Pick made: 12 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Both Lucas Giolito and Zack Wheeler were victimized by the longball in their latest starts, and the ball could be zipping around the yard in hot-and-sunny Philly on Thursday afternoon. Look for Gavin Sheets and Kyle Schwarber to contribute to the Over in this getaway game.

Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Manny Machado has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 18.5% over the last 14 days.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.. Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Baltimore Orioles logo Boston Red Sox logo u10.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Boston is hitting .285 over the last two weeks, but the power hasn't followed, evidenced by a .159 ISO and sub-40% hard-hit rate. Baltimore also owns a modest .160 ISO over the last seven days, suggesting neither lineup enters this matchup with elite run-producing indicators.

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Boston gets a favorable matchup against Trevor Rogers, who owns a 4.82 xFIP this season and a 6.26 xERA across his last two starts. Meanwhile, Brayan Bello has quietly turned a corner, posting a 1.68 FIP over his last 12 innings while consistently limiting dangerous contact.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jun 4 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. American Family Field grades out as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. American Family Field ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jun 4 • 7:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+467)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Acuña is generating elite contact quality, posting a barrel rate north of 35% and a hard-hit rate above 60% over the last week. The Braves star has homered five times in his last five games and now faces a Toronto pitching staff that has allowed a 12.5% HR/FB rate recently.

Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jun 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 2.46
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Byron Buxton projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for bats.. Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .052 deviation.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Jun 4 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+112)
Projection 2.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 10th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Houston Astros logo HOU Thu, Jun 4 • 8:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Bryan Reynolds logo Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total Home Runs (+710)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Reynolds continues to produce loud contact, carrying a 20% barrel rate, 94 mph average exit velocity, and 53.3% hard-hit rate across his last 29 plate appearances. Houston's Kai-Wei Teng has become vulnerable to the long ball lately, allowing 1.64 home runs per nine innings and a 20% HR/FB rate.

Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Kai-Wei Teng in today's game.. Ryan O'Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. With a .371 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ryan O'Hearn is positioned in the 88th percentile.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Jun 4 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average.. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today's game.. Freddie Freeman has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.21
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ketel Marte projects as the 18th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Justin Wrobleski.. Ketel Marte will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo Drew Rasmussen o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Drew Rasmussen has cleared this number in three of his last five starts and struck out seven Yankees hitters the last time he faced them. He’s also dominated New York historically, holding the lineup to a .181 average with 36 strikeouts across 89 at-bats.

Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
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