MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, April 3

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 3, 2026 , 11:57 AM ET • 4 min read

Sportsbooks have mispriced a Juan Soto RBI and Andrew Caley's MLB predictions are ready to take advantage of that.

Juan Soto New York Mets MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Juan Soto (22) reacts to hitting a home run in St. Louis.

The bases are juiced with 15 games on the schedule, which means I’m stepping up to the plate to drive in some MLB player props winners.

My favorites for today include a pair of RBI props for a couple of big-name sluggers who are somehow still getting undervalued.

Those and more MLB picks for Friday, April 3 below.

Best MLB player props today

Player  Pick Odds
Blue Jays Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Strikeouts +112
Astros Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 RBIs +155
Mets Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs +110
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Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+112)

This is a big number. But if anyone is up to the task, it’s Dylan Cease

Cease’s debut with the Toronto Blue Jays couldn’t have gone better. The right-hander allowed just one run on three hits while punching out a ridiculous 12 batters in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Athletics.

And I love his chances of doing something similar to his former team, the Chicago White Sox, on Friday afternoon.

The White Sox are striking out at a crazy high rate to start the season. A whopping 34% percent of the time, to be precise. If Cease faces 22 batters again in this start, that’s 7.5 strikeouts. 

The only other big strikeout arm the White Sox have faced this season has been the Milwaukee Brewers' Jacob Misiorowski, and he struck out 11.

So, giving me Over 7.5 at plus money is too good to pass up.

  • Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CHSN, SportsNet

Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 RBIs (+110)

Air Yordan is back.

Yordan Alvarez looks like his old self after an injury-riddled 2025 campaign, and his power was on full display in the Houston Astros sweep of the Boston Red Sox, hitting two doubles, two dingers and four RBIs.

Alvarez is now hitting .417 with a 1.480 OPS, three dingers and six RBIs for the season, and he’ll look to stay hot as they open a series with the Athletics.
 
The A’s hand the ball to Jeffrey Springs, but don’t let the lefty-lefty matchup scare you away. Alvarez has had reverse splits his entire career. The Astros slugger is a career .319 hitter with a .984 OPS when facing left-handed pitching. 

On top of that, Springs is an extreme fly ball pitcher, ranking in the sixth percentile in ground ball rate. That is not a recipe for success vs. Alvarez. 

Yordan gets into one tonight and drives in another run.

  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SCHN2, NBCSCA

Juan Soto Over 0.5 RBIs (+155)

This is straight up a mispriced number for Juan Soto to drive in a run.

All he is is one of the best hitters in the world, off to a solid start this season with an advantageous pitching matchup. Soto comes into this one with a solid .333 average, a .894 OPS, a home run, and five RBIs. 

Now, the New York Mets lefty slugger will face off against San Francisco Giants right-hander Tyler Mahle.

Mahle's first start with the Giants was solid if unspectacular. Allowing two runs on five hits wile striking out five in four innings against the New York Yankees.

But he won’t be happy to see Soto. The Mets outfielder is 4-for-11 with a double and two dingers in his career vs. Mahle, good for a .338 expected batting average and a .976 expected slugging.

Soto will have a productive night by The Bay.

  • Time: 10:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Peacock
Andrew Caley's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 8-8, -0.19 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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