Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 3, 2026 , 09:54 AM ET • 4 min read

Krest's Prediction: Expect Atlanta to win comfortably tonight at Arizona.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
ATL
44 %
AZ
56 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
Atlanta -1.5 (+134) Atlanta -1.5 (+134)
Read Analysis
Grant Holmes of the Atlanta Braves MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Grant Holmes of the Atlanta Braves MLB

The Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks continue their series in Arizona on Friday.

Atlanta hopes to continue its hot start to the season. After winning two of three in each of their first two series, Atlanta crushed Arizona on Thursday, putting up 17 runs.

The pitching matchup is a little more in Arizona's favor on Friday, but my top Braves vs. Diamondbacks predictions and MLB picks still look for Atlanta to get the win.

Who will win Braves vs Diamondbacks today: Braves -1.5 (+134)

Every starter in the Atlanta Braves lineup got an RBI Thursday, the first time Atlanta has done that since 2001. Three Arizona Diamondbacks relievers exited with double-digit ERAs. 

The Braves scored more runs in that game than they've allowed through their first seven contests.

Arizona starts Eduardo Rodriguez. The lefty has been dependable if unspectacular, although he allowed no earned runs in five innings in his first start. The Braves are hitting better against southpaws (.286/.392/.476) than right-handers (.279/.347/.459) this season.

Three Atlanta players have a career OPS over 1.000 against Rodriguez, and Matt Olson (.971) and Ronald Acuna Jr. (.833) just missed.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Arizona has struggled with the big inning. The D-backs allowed 27 runs through the first six games before Thursday's rout, and 23 of them have come in just five innings. The Braves scored 13 of the 17 in two innings on Thursday.

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Braves vs Diamondbacks Over/Under pick: Over 9 (-110)

While the Braves aren't likely to match Thursday's output, Atlanta has hit the five-run mark in four of seven games.  Arizona has allowed that many in five of seven.

Arizona could also score some runs against Atlanta starter Grant Holmes. His fastball's effectiveness was in the bottom 8% of pitchers last year, and he struggled giving up hard-hit balls and walking too many batters.

Holmes took a loss in his first start of the year, giving up seven baserunners and three runs in five innings to the Royals. He's allowed nine runs in nine innings in two career starts against Arizona.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 1-3, -2.23 units
  • Over/Under bets: 0-0, 0.0 units

Braves vs Diamondbacks odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta -118 | Arizona +107
  • Run line: Atlanta -1.5 (+130) | Arizona +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: Over 9 (-115) | Under 9 (-105)

Braves vs Diamondbacks trend

The Atlanta Braves have hit the Run Line in 25 of their last 33 away games (+16.95 Units / 38% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Diamondbacks.

How to watch Braves vs Diamondbacks and game info

Location Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date Friday, April 3, 2026
First pitch 9:45 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV
Braves starting pitcher Grant Holmes
(0-1, 5.40 ERA)
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez
(0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Braves vs Diamondbacks latest injuries

Braves vs Diamondbacks weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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