It’s a busy 15-game slate across the Majors today, and I’ve dug deep to find the best HR props.
My MLB player props and home run analysis focus on Manny Machado, Kyle Schwarber, and Shea Langeliers, who are all great options to clear the fences on Friday, April 3.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|---|
 Manny Machado |
+520 |
 Kyle Schwarber |
+172 |
 Shea Langeliers |
+280 |
| 💲Today's HR parlay | +6183 |
Manny Machado (+520)
Manny Machado has yet to go deep this season, but he is hitting .263. Today’s contest against the Boston Red Sox, however, feels like the perfect time for him to smack home run No. 1 of the campaign.
The San Diego Padres face Sonny Gray, and Machado is very familiar with him, going 12-for-35 with three long balls. Fifteen of Machado’s homers last season were off righties, and Gray’s lone HR allowed this year was against a right-handed hitter.
Despite entering his mid-30s, Machado's bat remains potent, as he ranked among the Top 10% in average exit velocity and hard-hit rate last season. We're getting a great number for our MLB picks, banking on his lumber to start heating up in Beantown this afternoon.
- Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SDPA, NESN
Kyle Schwarber (+172)
Kyle Schwarber is still one of the most feared power hitters in the game. While he’s only hitting .182, the slugger has gone deep twice already, and he’ll be up against former teammate Michael Lorenzen today, who is now a member of the Colorado Rockies.
Lorenzen had a tough start to the campaign, allowing three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work against the Marlins while surrendering a homer.
Schwarber has had nothing but success against Lorenzen, going 9-for-24 with two deep flies. He also went deep twice at Coors Field last season, where the ball flies due to the high elevation.
The slugger remains an elite bat when he makes contact, ranking in the 99th percentile in barrel rate and in the 89th and 88th, respectively, in average exit velocity and hard-hit%.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBC Sports Philadelphia, COLR
Shea Langeliers (+280)
The Athletics have some intriguing talent, and Shea Langeliers is right at the top of that list. He leads MLB in homers so far, with five, and he’s gone deep in all but two games this season.
The Athletics face Houston Astros righty Cristian Javier tonight, who allowed six earned runs in his season debut while giving up two home runs.
While Langeliers is just 1-for-6 lifetime against Javier, this could be an opportunity to take advantage of a guy who is still trying to find his confidence after a brutal outing.
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SCHN2, NBC Sports California
- HR picks: 2-9, -1 unit
Today’s HR parlay
| Manny Machado |
Bet Now +6183 |
| Kyle Schwarber |
|
| Shea Langeliers |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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