MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 6, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

PHI @

KC Mon, Jul 6 • 2:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+153)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +153

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +153

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +138

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

+153 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)

Projection 0.57

Best Odds

o0.5 +204

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +204

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +184

o0.5 +175

When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 10th-best park in baseball for run-scoring.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the hottest temperature of the day at 85°.

+204 at DraftKings

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NYY @

TB Mon, Jul 6 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Griffin Jax throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage today.. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +139

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Griffin Jax today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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HOU @

WAS Mon, Jul 6 • 6:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +130

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-135)

Projection 2.5

Best Odds

o1.5 -130

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -170

o1.5 -140

o1.5 -141

o1.5 -130

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Nationals Park has the shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup.

-130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

NYM @

ATL Mon, Jul 6 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 2.17

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +120

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 9 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +111

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +110

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 6th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.

+115 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

MIL @

STL Mon, Jul 6 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.63

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +127

o1.5 +130

Brice Turang's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dustin May in today's game... and moreover, May has a large platoon split.

+150 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.79

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +108

o1.5 +115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +109

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-shortest average fence height among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 84°.. Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Jordan Walker will have an edge in today's matchup.

+125 at BetMGM

View 10 Picks

AZ @

SD Mon, Jul 6 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ty France u1.5 Total Bases (-200)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u1.5 -190

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -200

u1.5 -190

u1.5 -209

Petco Park projects as the #27 ballpark in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The weather report projects the 7th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ty France meets a tough challenge today.. Ty France has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will be challenged by baseball's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.

-190 at BetMGM

Total Bases

Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+159)

Projection 1.51

Best Odds

o1.5 +159

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +159

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +145

o1.5 +144

o1.5 +150

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's game.. Jake Cronenworth is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

+159 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

TOR @

SF Mon, Jul 6 • 9:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

SF (-116)

Best Odds

-105

Pick made: 19 hours ago

-105

-110

-106

-105

-110

Kevin Gausman has allowed 14 earned runs across his last three starts, and he won't have an easier time against a Giants lineup that is slashing .393/.413/.719 against the right-hander. Meanwhile, Landen Roupp boasts both a Barrel % and hard-hit rate that rank in the 93rd and 95th percentile at Baseball Savant. Take the Giants to prevail at home.

Total RBIs

Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +209

Pick made: 13 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +209

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +200

o0.5 +187

o0.5 +170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Casey Schmitt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

+209 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

COL @

LAD Mon, Jul 6 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+137)

Projection 1.61

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +129

o1.5 +160

Cole Carrigg is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

+160 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+175)

Projection 1.48

Best Odds

o1.5 +180

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +177

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best field in the game for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an edge in today's game.

+180 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

MIL @

STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET

2 Computer Picks

Total RBIs

Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)

Projection 0.52

Best Odds

o0.5 +190

Pick made: 2 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +190

o0.5 +180

o0.5 +179

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.

+190 at DraftKings

Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

o0.5 +174

Pick made: 2 months ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +174

o0.5 +165

o0.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+174 at DraftKings

View 2 Picks

AZ @

STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET

6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Game Prop

o2.5 Team Total (-115)

Best Odds

o2.5 +114

Pick made: 10 days ago

o2.5 +114

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed

Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)

Best Odds

o2.5 -137

Pick made: 10 days ago

o2.5 -137

o2.5 -150

o2.5 -141

o2.5 -155

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

Read Full Analysis

View 16 Picks

TOR @

CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET

4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total Home Runs

Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)

Best Odds

o0.5 +425

Pick made: 14 days ago

o0.5 +370

o0.5 +425

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.

3 LEG PARLAY

Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits

Total Hits

Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

Strikeouts Thrown

George Springer o1.5 Total Bases

Total Bases

Bet now

+280

Pick made: 14 days ago

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 24 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 24 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 29 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 29 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

SF @

ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks

Total

o7.5 (-116)

Pick made: 17 days ago

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

SF (+124)

Best Odds

+110

Pick made: 17 days ago

+110

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

Read Full Analysis

View 2 Picks

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