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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 7, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+170 
|
o7.5 -117 
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
5.59 |
-175
|
u8.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +120 
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Braves last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-2 in Phillies last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
+125
|
o8.0 -109
|
+1.5 -175 
|
|
4.53 |
-128
|
u8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games following a win.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
+159
|
o8.0 -117
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.06 |
-174 
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Angels last 21 road games.
- Under is 24-7-1 in Angels last 32 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
o0.5+217
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.96 |
+122
|
o7.0 -117
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.07 |
-132
|
u7.5 -118
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+194)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
-104
|
o9.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.58 |
-105
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -178
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
u0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+110
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.43 |
-121
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 on grass.
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
Top Projection
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.64 |
+105
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -205
|
|
4.35 |
-115
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +175
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+175
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.72 |
-192
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +111
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Nick Pivetta o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-110)
o4.5-110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+115
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -188
|
|
4.39 |
-125
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
o0.5+197
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
+162
|
o7.0 -210
|
+2.5 -245
|
|
5.06 |
-155
|
u8.5 -114
|
-2.5 +195
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.99 |
-195
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
4.10 |
+177
|
u8.5 -112
|
+1.5 +101
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 on grass.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague home games.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.36 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Angels last 21 road games.
- Under is 13-3 in Angels last 16 during game 2 of a series.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.07 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.84 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.80 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 on grass.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Giants last 10 overall.
NYM
@
MIA
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the game.. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. In the past 7 days, Juan Soto's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.8% up to 30%.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Francisco Lindor has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.9-mph figure.. Despite posting a .326 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Francisco Lindor has experienced some negative variance given the .019 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .345.. Francisco Lindor has recorded a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
LAA
@
BOS
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jarren Duran will have the handedness advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today.. Jarren Duran has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.
Total Bases
Caleb Durbin o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Caleb Durbin pulls many of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams today.. Caleb Durbin will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Posting a 1.78 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 76th percentile.
CLE
@
BAL
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jo Adell o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-102)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Jo Adell finds himself in an enticing matchup against Orioles southpaw Trevor Rogers. The Guardians slugger has crushed left-handed pitching recently, posting a .560 SLG, .280 ISO, 47% hard-hit rate and nearly 12% barrel rate over his last 30 at-bats. Rogers has struggled against right-handed hitters, allowing 1.80 HR/9 with a 35% ground-ball rate, while those hitters have posted a .363 xBA and .596 xSLG. Adell is the highest-rated Guardian in both Batters-Box datasets, covering more than 67% of Rogers' arsenal. He also goes over this prop nearly 54% of the time and has cashed 57.14% of 21 elite road ratings.
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Coby Mayo destroys left-handed pitching. He is sporting a .412 ISO and 22.6% barrel rate on the season, which is almost unfathomable.
Fastballs, curveballs, and changeups account for well over 90% of Joey Cantillo’s pitches against righties. Mayo hits them all for power, posting ISOs of .429, .727, and .367 respectively.
AZ
@
KC
Mon, Sep 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Diamondbacks are 28th in wOBA and 30th in xwOBA over the past two weeks, so with the Royals respectively checking in ninth and eighth in the two metrics, I’m expecting Kansas City to pull away. Royals lefty Noah Cameron has also settled in down the stretch with a high-end 2.34 xERA and 2.82 xFIP across his past seven starts, while the Diamondbacks counter with inexperienced righty Jose Cabrera (4.84 xERA and 5.00 xFIP).
Total Bases
John Rave u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Rave in the 18th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. John Rave is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. When starting against a righty hurler this year, John Rave has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time.. In today's matchup, John Rave is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.2% rate (83rd percentile).. John Rave's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 15.4% on the season to 5% over the past 14 days.
CHC
@
MIL
Mon, Sep 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total Home Runs (+529)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Suzuki has crushed lefties with a .256 ISO and is a ripe candidate to leave the yard this afternoon considering he’s only hit two homers across his past 18 games. Plus, Milwaukee starter Robert Gasser has allowed a healthy 1.76 HR/9 and .194 ISO to right-handed hitters.
Total
o8.5 (-101)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Before a 2-1 snoozer in the series finale Sept. 3, the Cubs and Brewers combined for 47 runs across the first three games, including 13 in the tilt Boyd and Gasser started. Chicago paces the majors in wOBA, xwOBA and ISO across the past two weeks, in addition to leading the way in wOBA against lefties for the season, while Milwaukee checks in with respective ranks of fourth, ninth, 16th and 14th.
MIN
@
DET
Mon, Sep 7 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Riley Greene encounters a tough challenge in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team in action today.
Total Bases
Max Clark u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Maxwell Clark is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Comerica Park grades out as the #23 venue in baseball for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 7th-most suitable for hitting of the day.. Maxwell Clark has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Maxwell Clark's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 72.5-mph in the last week.
WAS
@
SD
Mon, Sep 7 • 5:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+358)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Jackson Merrill may look ice-cold at the plate, but his underlying metrics suggest a breakout could be coming. The San Diego Padres young star draws a favorable matchup against Washington Nationals right-hander Jake Irvin, who has struggled badly against left-handed hitters. Over his last 10 games, Merrill owns a .750 xSLG while generating a near-70% hard-hit rate and a near-20% barrel rate. Meanwhile, Irvin has allowed 3.00 HR/9 with a 22.2% ground-ball rate against his last 60 left-handed hitters. Those hitters have also posted a .324 xBA and .475 xSLG. Merrill is worth backing tonight.
Strikeouts Thrown
Nick Pivetta o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 5.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Pivetta projects as the 20th-best pitcher in the majors right now when it comes to his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 11.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Because of his reverse platoon split, Nick Pivetta figures to be at an advantage matching up with 6 bats in the projected offense of opposing handedness today.. Nick Pivetta will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.
STL
@
SF
Mon, Sep 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+381)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Rafael Devers is in another excellent spot to leave the yard tonight against Cardinals right-hander Michael McGreevy. Devers owns one of the highest matchup ratings on Batters-Box, covering more than 87% of McGreevy’s pitch mix. The last 30 left-handed hitters McGreevy has faced are generating a 13% barrel rate and 30.4% ground-ball rate while posting a .282 xBA and .473 SLG. Devers has also been crushing the ball lately, maintaining a .923 SLG and .538 ISO with a near-70% hard-hit rate and 27% barrel rate over his last 10 games. This is one of my favorite long-ball looks tonight.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Rafael Devers is getting another look after falling short on his hits, runs and RBI prop Sunday, though he did smoke a single at over 107 mph. The San Francisco Giants slugger owns the second-highest matchup rating on the day, covering over 87% of Michael McGreevy's pitch mix. The last 30 left-handed hitters McGreevy has faced are generating a 13% barrel rate and 30.4% ground-ball rate while posting a .282 xBA and .473 SLG. Devers has been crushing the ball lately, posting a .923 SLG, .538 ISO, near-70% hard-hit rate and 27% barrel rate over his last 10 games.
CIN
@
LAD
Mon, Sep 7 • 9:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Betts has five hits in the last 13 at bats and went deep on Sunday. He’s also L.A.’s second-best hitter against the slider. His .273 average and .444 slugging against breaking pitches this season are better than his performance against fastballs (.246/.442) and offspeed (.200/.291). He has a double and two hits in three plate appearances against Burns in his career.
Earned Runs Allowed
Emmet Sheehan o1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-150)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Cincinnati Reds have been one of baseball’s hottest offenses lately, making their first-five team total worth a look Monday. Cincinnati is averaging 2.51 runs through the first five innings this season and has been especially productive over its last six games, posting a 132 wRC+, .366 wOBA and .833 OPS. Meanwhile, Dodgers right-hander Emmet Sheehan has struggled over his last three outings, posting an 8.31 ERA and allowing a 15% barrel rate. He also enters Monday with the sixth-worst pitcher rating, per Batters-Box. With Cincinnati’s offense rolling, asking the Reds to score two runs through five innings feels like a reasonable price.
TOR
@
ATH
Mon, Sep 7 • 10:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Kazuma Okamoto has hit a team-leading eight home runs vs. left-handed pitching – twice as many as anyone else on the Blue Jays.
He’s also hit eight of his 28 dingers vs. the slider, which Jacob Lopez throws more than one-third of the time.
Spread
TOR -1.5 (-115)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Dylan Cease leads MLB starters in ERA (1.36) since July 1, and his slider will be a particularly tough pitch for the Athletics to handle.
The Athletics have the worst bullpen in baseball, which is where the Blue Jays can do their damage offensively.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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