Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
KC
@
SEA
Sat, May 2 • 9:40 PM ET
o7.5 (-110)
Lugo’s underlying profile screams regression. He owns a 3.91 xFIP, 4.31 xERA, and has allowed homers on only 2.4% of his flyballs, not even a quarter of his career rate (11.7%). On the other side, Emerson Hancock has stranded 95.4% of opposing baserunners. That has made his ERA more flattering than it should be. For reference, his previous marks were 71.2% as a rookie and 72.2% last season. With some red flags on both sides, this matchup sets up well for the offenses.
SEA (-140)
Although the Seattle Mariners have been inconsistent this season, their offense has been a clear strength at home, specifically against right-handed pitchers. Seattle currently ranks second against righties in wRC+ at home, trailing only Detroit. Kansas City Royals starter Seth Lugo will struggle to slow Seattle’s offense. He is sitting in the 18th percentile in whiff rate and is struggling to miss bats, leading to a lot of contact. Lugo also ranks in the 26th percentile in expected batting average. The M's offense is set up for a productive outing tonight.
TOR
@
MIN
Sun, May 3 • 12:45 PM ET
MIN (-110)
KC
@
SEA
Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET
SEA (-120)
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