Baltimore @ Toronto Picks & Props

Ryan Mountcastle has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bowden Francis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Mountcastle today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Joey Loperfido is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Joey Loperfido will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Joey Loperfido has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 4.1% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Typically, hitters like Anthony Santander who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Bowden Francis. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Santander today.

The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 4.8% over the past 14 days. Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year, notching a .400 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .036 deviation.

Eloy Jimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today's game. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Eloy Jimenez will have a disadvantage today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Eloy Jimenez today.

The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ernie Clement has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the past two weeks.

The #5 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Bowden Francis in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Adley Rutschman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Spencer Horwitz grades out in the 87th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .344.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today's matchup. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. The weather forecast predicts the 4th-most favorable pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 22°, Davis Schneider has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 41.3° angle in the past week's worth of games.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho's launch angle from last year's 20.3° to 26.7° this year. Daulton Varsho's launch angle recently (31.3° in the last week) is considerably higher than his 26.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Bowden Francis in today's matchup. In notching a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Ryan O'Hearn has performed in the 91st percentile for offensive skills.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge today. In notching a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Colton Cowser is ranked in the 90th percentile for offensive skills.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Brian Serven will have the upper hand in today's game. Brian Serven will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage over Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Bats such as Jackson Holliday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bowden Francis who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Jackson Holliday has been hot lately, putting up a a 23.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) over the last week.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis today. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.4°, Cedric Mullins II has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 30.6° figure over the last 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins II's true offensive skill to be a .313, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .029 gap between that mark and his actual .284 wOBA.

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums.