MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 23, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Thu, Apr 23 • 1:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jacob Young logo
Jacob Young u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
u0.5 +165 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u0.5  +150
 -
 -
u0.5  +162
u0.5  +165
Jacob Young is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in the league for right-handed batting average.. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage today.. In the past 7 days, Jacob Young's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.. In the past week's worth of games, Jacob Young's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 92 mph to 83.1 mph.
+165 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
o1.5 +120 bet365
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o1.5  +120
o1.5  -105
 -
 -
o1.5  +110
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill.. James Wood is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 7th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Martin Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Wood today.
+120 at bet365
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Apr 23 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+172)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
u0.5 +172 Caesars
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +171
u0.5  +165
 -
 -
u0.5  +172
u0.5  +160
Dillon Dingler is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 6th-best for hitting of all games today.. Given Brandon Sproat's large platoon split, Dillon Dingler will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game.. Dillon Dingler hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 2nd-deepest CF fences today.. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team in action today.
+172 at Caesars
Total Bases
Kerry Carpenter logo
Kerry Carpenter u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
u1.5 -210 bet365
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -210
 -
 -
 -
 -
Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 6th-best for hitting of all games today.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team in action today.
-210 at bet365
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Apr 23 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
o1.5 +135 bet365
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +127
o1.5  +135
o1.5  +120
 -
o1.5  +126
o1.5  +125
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.8-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.
+135 at bet365
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
o1.5 +114 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +114
o1.5  -105
o1.5  -110
 -
o1.5  +108
o1.5  +105
As it relates to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 8th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.8-mph in this game, the best of the day for bats.
+114 at DraftKings
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Apr 23 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Troy Johnston logo
Troy Johnston u0.5 Total Hits (+201)
Projection 0.96
Best Odds
u0.5 +210 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +201
u0.5  +185
 -
 -
u0.5  +183
u0.5  +210
Troy Johnston is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.. Troy Johnston has been pulled from the game early 17% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 7th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.
+210 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak u1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 1.01
Best Odds
u1.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u1.5  -122
u1.5  -110
 -
 -
u1.5  -115
u1.5  -125
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Mickey Moniak has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 7th-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.9-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces.. Typically, batters like Mickey Moniak who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Matt Waldron.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.
-110 at bet365
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Apr 23 • 3:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
u0.5 +140 bet365
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u0.5  +140
 -
 -
u0.5  +131
u0.5  +140
Munetaka Murakami's batting average ability is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Despite posting a .384 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Munetaka Murakami has experienced some positive variance given the .041 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.
+140 at bet365
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
u1.5 -170 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -220
 -
 -
 -
u1.5  -170
The league's 10th-highest average fence height can be found at Chase Field.. Today, Colson Montgomery is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40.4% rate (98th percentile).. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Colson Montgomery will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. In terms of his home runs, Colson Montgomery has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His 41.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 36.2.
-170 at Fanatics Sportsbook
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Thu, Apr 23 • 3:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
o1.5 +155 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o1.5  +135
o1.5  +145
 -
 -
o1.5  +155
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for left-handed batting average.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge today.. Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
+155 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
u1.5 -240 bet365
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -240
 -
 -
 -
 -
In the majors, the tallest fence height (on average) are at Oracle Park.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects the most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.. Rafael Devers has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 15.8% rate last season has dropped to 10% this year.. From last season to this one, Rafael Devers's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.3 mph to 89.7 mph.. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 13.1% on the season to 6.7% in the last 7 days.
-240 at bet365
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Apr 23 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
u1.5 -175 bet365
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -175
 -
 -
 -
u1.5  -185
Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 59°.. Wilyer Abreu has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 11.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.. Wilyer Abreu's launch angle this season (16.3°) is considerably worse than his 23° angle last year.
-175 at bet365
Total Bases
Trevor Story logo
Trevor Story u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
u1.5 -180 bet365
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -180
 -
 -
 -
 -
Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 59°.. Hitting from the same side that Cam Schlitter throws from, Trevor Story will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.. Trevor Story's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.2-mph figure last year has decreased to 89.4-mph.
-180 at bet365
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Apr 23 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
MJ Melendez logo
MJ Melendez u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
u0.5 +120 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +114
u0.5  -115
 -
 -
u0.5  +119
u0.5  +120
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. The #2 field in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Extreme groundball hitters like MJ Melendez usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan.
+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Total Bases
Marcus Semien logo
Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+198)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
o1.5 +200 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +198
o1.5  +160
o1.5  +170
 -
 -
o1.5  +200
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games today.. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.
+200 at Fanatics Sportsbook
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Thu, Apr 23 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Josh Smith logo
Josh Smith u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
u0.5 +130 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +122
u0.5  -120
 -
 -
u0.5  +123
u0.5  +130
Josh Smith is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 park in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors.. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 14% on the season to 4% over the past 14 days.. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 45.8% to 40%.
+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Total Hits
Ezequiel Duran logo
Ezequiel Duran u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
u0.5 +125 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +118
u0.5  -110
 -
 -
u0.5  +119
u0.5  +125
Ezequiel Duran is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Ezequiel Duran has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. Batting from the same side that Bubba Chandler throws from, Ezequiel Duran meets a tough challenge in today's game.. Ezequiel Duran hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-deepest CF fences today.
+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook
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