It's Game 3, and one dinger could change the outcome of an entire season; I'm expecting a couple of heroes in our Phillies vs. Braves home run predictions.
Will Bryce Harper or Kyle Schwarber hit a homer in back-to-back days? Will Austin Riley put the Braves on his back again?
Tap into my MLB picks for Thursday, Oct. 1, and let's build that bankroll for the rest of the playoffs. Also, check out our full Phillies vs. Braves predictions.
Best Phillies vs Braves home run picks
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Kyle Schwarber
Matt Olson
Phillies home run pick: Kyle Schwarber
Big games call for big players, and Kyle Schwarber is one of those guys who shows up when the lights are the brightest. Schwarber's 24 postseason homers rank third all-time in MLB playoff history, giving me all the confidence in the world that he's our guy tonight.
It helps to know he has a history against Atlanta Braves starter Ray Kerr, too, going 1-for-4 with a .340 xBA. Let's see him come up clutch.
Braves home run pick: Matt Olson
Matt Olson hasn't had the best Wild Card Series, going 1-for-8 across two games, but we're getting a solid price on a guy who hit 41 bombs this year. He's been pretty solid against Aaron Nola throughout his career, too, with five home runs across 43 at-bats.
If the Braves move on to the NLDS, Olson will have something to do with it.
Long-shot home run pick: Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies has seen Nola the most out of everyone in the Braves' lineup, hitting two homers and four extra-base hits across 84 plate appearances.
Will that type of history get us a homer tonight? At 12%, I'm dabbling, and you should too. He's undoubtedly the best value on the board and is our long shot prior to Game 3.
Phillies vs Braves home run combo
Remember, if you're dabbling on a home run combo, make sure to scale your units appropriately. I've picked three guys who tend to show up in big spots or have a long history against the pitcher they're facing, and while I love these guys, homers are one of the hardest bets to make in baseball.
That said, let's cash all three, shall we?
- HR picks: 0-0, +0.0 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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