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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.73 |
+115 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.10 |
-128 
|
u8.5 -108 
|
-1.5 +168
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games following a win.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.03 |
-175 
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
4.33 |
+158
|
u9.5 -115
|
+1.5 -102 
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Fishers last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Brady Basso o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.01 |
-124
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.98 |
+110
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Pallantes last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-0 in Giants last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
o0.5+231
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
+165
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.95 |
-171
|
u8.5 -108 
|
-1.5 +128
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games following a loss.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 home starts.
- Padres are 4-0 in Buehlers last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+233
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.82 |
+135 
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
4.29 |
-150
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +146
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Rangers last 7 games following a win.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0 in Mariners last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.22 |
-110
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.12 |
+102
|
u8.5 +105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. American League East.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+106
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.92 |
-120
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Stocks last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Miami
- Over is 5-0-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Junks last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
+135
|
o7.5 -132
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.87 |
-150
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +138
|
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 starts overall.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Phillies last 7 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
o0.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+182
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
5.72 |
-210
|
u9.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+213
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
+210
|
o9.0 -110
|
+4.0 -435
|
|
6.43 |
-240
|
u12.5 -481
|
-4.0 +265
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-185)
o1.5-120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.72 |
+106
|
o7.0 -200
|
+2.5 -334
|
|
4.87 |
-120
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +250
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
o0.5+211
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+130
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -156
|
|
4.63 |
-148
|
u11.5 -500
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-2 in Pirates last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
Top Projection
Lake Bachar o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+150)
o1.5-220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.84 |
-105
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.52 |
-104
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -175
|
Arizona
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Kansas City
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+116
|
o7.0 -155
|
+1.5 -184
|
|
4.51 |
-130
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +160
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 8-0 in Hendersons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.70 |
+240
|
o8.0 -148
|
+4.5 -334
|
|
5.80 |
-285
|
u9.0 -125
|
-4.5 +255
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 3 of a series.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+249)
o0.5+249
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts overall.
- Braves are 5-0 in Perezs last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.41 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-1 in Wheelers last 9 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 8-2 in Wheelers last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Mariners last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.83 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Jones' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 7-1 in White Sox last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
MIN
@
DET
Wed, Sep 9 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total Home Runs (+319)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Riley Greene brings real home-run value with three long balls over his last six games and a .500 ISO during that span. His fly-ball profile lines up well against Matthews’ recent air-contact issues, while Minnesota’s bullpen also gives Greene another path if Matthews exits early.
Total
u8.5 (-105)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because neither offense is in great form, and both lineups have lacked consistent home-run power lately. Matthews’ homer issues are the main concern, but the bullpens have limited long balls, and Montero gives Detroit a stable enough starting point.
TOR
@
ATH
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+350)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
If it weren't for rookie Kazuma Okamoto's power, the Jays would have just 110 home runs, as he has accounted for 21.4% of the team's total. He has already gone deep twice down the left-field line at Sutter Health Park and is looking to dinger-sweep the series. He shouldn't be longer than 3x at this park, especially with near-100-degree temperatures and a plus-plus hitting matchup. Both clubs will be going with bullpen days, and there are some stat-stuffers on the Athletics' side. Both teams can stack runs today, and I think the A's can be competitive, but with the heat and matchup, I'll take the only trusted Toronto bat at three percentage points above my fair price.
Moneyline
ATH (+162)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Do the Jays deserve to be a bigger favorite today than yesterday, going from José Soriano to a bullpen day? This is still an offense that can't pull away from bad pitching, and now it has to get on a plane and head home to open a circled series against the Orioles. Braydon Fisher gets the start but will go one or two frames before likely giving the ball to Michael Lorenzen, Brendon Little, and/or Paul Sewald at some point. There is no good Toronto arm to piggyback and eat big innings. The Athletics are going with the same approach, but at least I'm getting 13 percentage points better than a 50% probability with them against the Jays. I just don't see this as a 63/37 game when both teams will be using a ton of arms and the Jays are in a tough schedule spot. This isn't much different than the Dylan Cease start price. I see this as 60/40 at best for Toronto.
STL
@
SF
Wed, Sep 9 • 3:45 PM ET
Total Bases
JB
Joshua Baez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Joshua Baez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Over the past week, Joshua Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 97.4-mph over the course of the season to 106.7-mph in recent games.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Joshua Baez's 47.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.6%.
Strikeouts Thrown
Andre Pallante o3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+102)
Projection 4.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andre Pallante has averaged 91.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.. The San Francisco Giants have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bryce Eldridge, Drew Cavanaugh, Shay Whitcomb).. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Given that flyball hitters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante (56.8% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.. Andre Pallante's higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this season (49.8% compared to 42.8% last year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
WAS
@
SD
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.. Dylan Crews hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daylen Lile's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.
TEX
@
SEA
Wed, Sep 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-118)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Texas ranks fourth in wOBA against lefties for the season, and the Rangers also sit eighth in the overall metric and sixth in xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.6 runs per game. So, with Seattle rookie Kade Anderson also underwhelming at the highest level with a 5.14 xFIP, negative pitch values on both his fastball and changeup and an unintimidating 24.1% called-plus-swinging strike percentage, I like the Rangers to do the heavy lifting to send this total Over the number. Of course, Texas lefty Cody Bradford also sports a 5.48 xERA and 5.16 xFIP while allowing opposing hitters to tee off to the tune of a high-end .380 wOBA and 18.0% blast-contact rate.
Moneyline
TEX (+135)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Mariners prized prospect Kade Anderson lands in a tough matchup against the rolling Rangers on Wednesday. Texas ranks fourth in wOBA against lefties for the season, and the Rangers also sit eighth in the overall metric and sixth in xwOBA over the past two weeks while averaging 5.6 runs per game. Anderson has also underwhelmed at the highest level with a 5.14 xFIP, negative pitch values on both his fastball and changeup and an unintimidating 24.1% called-plus-swinging strike percentage. So, with the Mariners ranking last in wOBA against lefties, in addition to 24th in the overall metric and 23rd in xwOBA over the past two weeks, I recommend the Texas moneyline to +125 this afternoon.
CLE
@
BAL
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+337)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Coby Mayo has real power upside after going deep twice over the last week with a strong ISO and consistent fly-ball profile. Griffin is not a massive homer target, but his right-handed hitter splits and Cleveland’s bullpen air-contact numbers give Mayo enough paths to leave the yard.
Total
u8.5 (+103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because neither offense is in strong form, and both starters have shown enough lately to keep this controlled. The bullpens also support the angle, with Cleveland’s relief corps dealing and Baltimore’s pen in good recent form despite some home-run vulnerability.
NYM
@
MIA
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Because of Robert Stock's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Stowers stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+266)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Considering Robert Stock's large platoon split, Joe Mack will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joe Mack has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Joe Mack will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
HOU
@
PHI
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Harper has hit 23 of his 27 homers against righties, and his .300 ISO against right-handed pitchers is the third-highest mark among qualified hitters. Plus, Houston starter Hunter Brown has surrendered a healthy 45.7% hard-hit rate to left-handed hitters across his past 11 starts, and it’s been 11 games since Harper’s last long fly.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+128)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #9 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
LAA
@
BOS
Wed, Sep 9 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
MB
Moises Ballesteros o0.5 Total RBIs (+293)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Moises Ballesteros is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Moises Ballesteros has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today.. Moises Ballesteros has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.
COL
@
NYY
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+477)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
I want a left-handed bat in the Bronx today, and Cody Bellinger is answering the call at 17%, with a fair probability of 20%. He might not be in the best form since coming over, but he is at least hitting .290 and seeing the ball well. It's the matchup and setting that are pushing this into +EV territory. Yankee Stadium has 14-mph winds blowing out to left-center field, and Bellinger gets a matchup against Tomoyuki Sugano, who has given up 60 home runs over the last two seasons, the second-most in baseball behind Shoto Imanaga (64). Lefties have taken Sugano deep at a higher rate, with a home run coming every 15.7 plate appearances, which is a huge number. The Rockies bullpen is also very serviceable for a dinger in that Mickey Mouse Park.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 8th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's game.
TB
@
ATL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
Total
u8.5 (-115)
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
PIT
@
CHW
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Lake Bachar o2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+155)
Projection 3.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Lake Bachar in the 78th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Munetaka Murakami, Kyle Teel, Colson Montgomery).. It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Roberto Ortiz) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. Lake Bachar's 2708-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 100th percentile among all SPs.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Lake Bachar must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot since the start of last season: 60.7% of the time, ranking in the 77th percentile.
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as Major League Baseball's 14th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #6 ballpark in the majors for overall left-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate (75%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
AZ
@
KC
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (-102)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today (79%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #5 field in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the schedule today (79%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.
CHC
@
MIL
Wed, Sep 9 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #8 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's CF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. American Family Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense.
CIN
@
LAD
Wed, Sep 9 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Max Muncy o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Max Muncy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for LHB home runs.. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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