MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 4, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jun 4 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
3 LEG PARLAY
Gavin Sheets profile picture
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber profile picture
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
San Diego Padres logo Philadelphia Phillies logo
o8.0
Total
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Pick made: 9 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Both Lucas Giolito and Zack Wheeler were victimized by the longball in their latest starts, and the ball could be zipping around the yard in hot-and-sunny Philly on Thursday afternoon. Look for Gavin Sheets and Kyle Schwarber to contribute to the Over in this getaway game.

Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 9th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 85°.. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ New York Yankees logo NYY Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ben Rice projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Jun 4 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 51 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. The weather forecast calls for the most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Coby Mayo has strong power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for Mayo.
Total RBIs
Leody Taveras logo
Leody Taveras o0.5 Total RBIs (+232)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the hottest temperature of the day at 87°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 48.1% on the season to 56.5% over the past 14 days.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jun 4 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. American Family Field grades out as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. American Family Field ranks as the #6 field in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jun 4 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ernie Clement logo
Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Ernie Clement will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today's game... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split.
Total RBIs
George Springer logo
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+291)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, George Springer will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Thu, Jun 4 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .052 deviation.. Based on Statcast metrics, Salvador Perez ranks in the 96th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 36.000.
Total Bases
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach o1.5 Total Bases (+176)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Target Field projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Jun 4 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-107)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Kurtz projects as the 10th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Houston Astros logo HOU Thu, Jun 4 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Yordan Alvarez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total RBIs
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Jun 4 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average.. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today's game.. Freddie Freeman has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in the league for left-handed batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 8 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo Drew Rasmussen o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Drew Rasmussen has cleared this number in three of his last five starts and struck out seven Yankees hitters the last time he faced them. He’s also dominated New York historically, holding the lineup to a .181 average with 36 strikeouts across 89 at-bats.

Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 7th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitters such as Aaron Judge with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
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