Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
BOS
@
BAL
Sat, Apr 25 • 12:05 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (Yes: +118)
The Baltimore Orioles exploded for 10 runs in the series opener on Friday, putting up a four-spot in the bottom of the first inning. They’ve now scored a run in the first in back-to-back contests, and Garrett Crochet has been poor lately. He’s given up 15 earned runs across his last two outings, and the lefty has allowed at least one run in the first inning in both of those starts.
Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
It's well known that Tyler O'Neill has big-time power, and he can go deep at any given moment. He’ll face his former team today in the Boston Red Sox, with Garrett Crochet on the mound. Crochet has struggled. He owns a horrible 7.88 ERA through five starts, allowing five bombs in the process. Three of them have come on the road, and the Red Sox visit the Baltimore Orioles. O’Neill is 1-for-5 lifetime off the lefty with a homer.
SEA
@
STL
Sat, Apr 25 • 2:15 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: -136)
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Randy Arozarena is 2-for-5 lifetime against Matthew Liberatore with a home run, and he’s 3-for-7 across his last two games with a pair of doubles. Arozarena is also batting .364 against left-handed pitchers, and .314 on the road. Liberatore has allowed three homers at Busch Stadium.
CLE
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TOR
Sat, Apr 25 • 3:07 PM ET
Kevin Gausman o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+126)
MIA
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SF
Sat, Apr 25 • 4:05 PM ET
YRFI/NRFI (No: -160)
MIN
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TB
Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET
WAS
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CHW
Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET
COL
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NYM
Sat, Apr 25 • 4:10 PM ET
SD
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AZ
Sat, Apr 25 • 6:05 PM ET
ATH
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TEX
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:05 PM ET
PIT
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MIL
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
NYY
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HOU
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
u8.5 (+115)
Ryan Weathers' breaking ball has given him a strong putaway pitch, and I think it shows up again tonight. His last outing was dynamite, and I think his chase rate and whiff rate, which both rank in the top 70% of baseball, will play well against an offense that has struggled in 2026.
While I expect the Yankees' bats to succeed against Burrows, I also expect they'll cool off to some degree and revert to their 2025 swing-and-miss metrics.
NYY -1.5 (+110)
New York ranks 11th in baseball in barrels and hard-hit rate, sits well below the league average in chase rate, and generates elite exit velocity when they make contact. For starters, I don't need to tell you that this Yankees lineup is elite against the fastball, but it's a story here given how much Burrows throws it.
Perhaps a bigger story? Burrows posted a chase rate in the 78th percentile of baseball, and New York had one of the lowest chase rates in the sport. This is a direct strength versus a strength, and I'll take the Yankees' bats in that fight more often than not.
I projected this spread to be juiced to -110 and would play it to that.
LAA
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KC
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
DET
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CIN
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
CHC
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LAD
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
o9.5 (+100)
The Dodgers rank 1st in average, 2nd in OBP, and 4th in runs per game. They also hit the ball as hard as anybody, and Rea has not induced a lot of soft contact.
Chicago should score plenty of runs as well. They have plated at least six runs in six consecutive road games, and 4+ in eight of 10 away dates this season.
Dodgers starter Roki Sasaki is sporting a 6.11 ERA and allowing more than two homers per nine innings, which doesn’t set up well facing a Cubs team that slots 5th in homers.
LAD (-140)
Colin Rea has pitched very well for the Cubs but his two best starts came against an 8-18 Philadelphia Phillies team.
There are also a couple of concerns in his numbers. For one, he ranks 26th among today’s projected starters in soft contact rate. He’s not generating much.
That’s not a great recipe heading into a matchup with the Dodgers, who rank first in hard hit rate against righties this season.
He also ranks 40th percentile or worst in whiffs and K%. He doesn’t miss many bats, and that could lead to problems against a loaded Dodgers offense.
PHI
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ATL
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
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