MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 15, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

MIA @

PHI Mon, Jun 15 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Joe Mack o1.5 Total Bases (+250)

Projection 1.41

Best Odds

o1.5 +251

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +251

o1.5 +240

o1.5 +230

o1.5 +250

Joe Mack has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Because of Zack Wheeler's large platoon split, Joe Mack will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

+251 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+172)

Projection 1.62

Best Odds

o1.5 +172

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +172

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. The weather report expects the 4th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

+172 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

KC @

WAS Mon, Jun 15 • 6:45 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 4 Computer Picks

Total

o9.5 (+110)

Best Odds

o9.0 -114

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o9.0 -114

o9.0 -115

The Nationals continue to be one of baseball's best Over teams at 44-25-3, thanks to them scoring the most runs in MLB while boasting the fourth-highest team ERA. The Royals only need a few runs to contribute to our vaunted number here, and I like them to break through against Washington's subpar pitching staff. Even if starter Andrew Alvarez has a halfway decent 3.70 ERA, his expected ERA is 4.76, and his hard-hit rate sits in the 11th percentile. He's a ticking time bomb.

Total RBIs

Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

o0.5 +176

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +176

o0.5 +155

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +167

o0.5 +165

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for HRs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-best hitting conditions of the day.. The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the weakest among all the teams playing today.

+176 at DraftKings

View 5 Picks

NYM @

CIN Mon, Jun 15 • 7:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

CIN (-134)

Best Odds

-134

Pick made: 8 hours ago

-137

-135

-134

-140

-135

-140

Chase Burns has developed into a legitimate ace, and while I lean toward the Under here, I prefer taking the Reds to ride the right-hander to victory, especially if he keeps the runs off the board as I expect. The Mets have been scoring a bit more of late, but they've also been held to two or fewer runs four times in their last eight games.

Total Bases

JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+128)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +128

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +128

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +119

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. JJ Bleday is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best field in the game for LHB home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, JJ Bleday will have an advantage in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (37.9% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

+128 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

SD @

STL Mon, Jun 15 • 7:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Projection 1.82

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

+130 at bet365

Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+180)

Projection 1.5

Best Odds

o1.5 +180

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +180

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today.

+180 at bet365

View 10 Picks

COL @

CHC Mon, Jun 15 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-120)

Projection 2.3

Best Odds

o1.5 -120

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -133

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -160

o1.5 -134

o1.5 -120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand today.

-120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 2.04

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +130

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all parks are found in Wrigley Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

+140 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

DET @

HOU Mon, Jun 15 • 8:10 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+148)

Projection 1.73

Best Odds

o1.5 +148

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +148

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +139

o1.5 +140

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have the upper hand today.

+148 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+122)

Projection 1.8

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +125

When it comes to his batting average skill, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.. Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

+125 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 8 Picks

LAA @

AZ Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 2.05

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -114

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -110

o1.5 +115

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.. Placing in the 83rd percentile for power, Mike Trout has paced 28.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.91

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +106

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +115

As it relates to his home run ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games today.. When it comes to power, Zach Neto finds himself in the 76th percentile, having averaged 25 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

PIT @

ATH Mon, Jun 15 • 9:40 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Total

o10.5 (-118)

Best Odds

o10.5 -115

Pick made: 7 hours ago

o10.5 -118

o10.5 -115

o10.5 -120

o10.5 -115

o11.0 +100

While the A's aren't playing any more games at Las Vegas Stadium this season, let's not forget that Sutter Health Park is its own launching pad. No, the Pirates won't plate 23 runs as the Rockies did on Sunday, but they'll do their part. But I'm more interested in how Nick Kurtz and Tyler Soderstrom (and the A's other boppers) fare against Jared Jones and the Pittsburgh bullpen behind him.

Total Bases

Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-112)

Projection 2.43

Best Odds

o1.5 -112

Pick made: 12 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -112

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -150

o1.5 -122

o1.5 -115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Shea Langeliers as Major League Baseball's 14th-best home run hitter.. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Sutter Health Park grades out as the #2 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences in the majors.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 100°.

-112 at DraftKings

View 11 Picks

TB @

LAD Mon, Jun 15 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+108)

Projection 1.89

Best Odds

o1.5 +108

Pick made: 31 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +108

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -102

o1.5 -110

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors.. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 3rd-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

+108 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (-104)

Projection 2.28

Best Odds

o1.5 -104

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -104

o1.5 -140

o1.5 -130

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -105

When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 6th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Yandy Diaz will have an edge in today's matchup.

-104 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

ATL @

CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET

5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-105)

Pick made: 3 days ago

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

ATL (-112)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 3 days ago

-120

-115

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Read Full Analysis

View 15 Picks

BOS @

NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET

2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks

Total

o8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

o8.0 -125

Pick made: 8 days ago

o8.5 -102

o8.0 -125

o8.5 -102

o8.5 +100

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Read Full Analysis

Moneyline

NYY (-135)

Best Odds

-110

Pick made: 8 days ago

-118

-110

-112

-110

-115

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

Read Full Analysis

View 12 Picks

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