MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 16, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Aug 16 • 12:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+206)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jackson Holliday has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O'Neill as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter.. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #4 field in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Tyler O'Neill's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 35.2% on the season to 54.5% in the last 7 days.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Aug 16 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.33
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. PNC Park projects as the #3 field in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Ronny Simon logo
Ronny Simon o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ronny Simon has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Ronny Simon will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Over the last 7 days, Ronny Simon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph recently.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, Aug 16 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 94°.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+102)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #4 stadium in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 5th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Aug 16 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 6th-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, George Springer will have an advantage in today's matchup.. George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand today.. Trent Grisham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Hector Rodriguez logo
Hector Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Great American Ball Park's RF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hector Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Eury Perez in today's game.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Total
San Diego Padres logo Cleveland Guardians logo o8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Tanner Bibee frequently throws the cutter, and that should be trouble against this San Diego Padres lineup. They have absolutely feasted on the cutter this season, hitting .302 with a xwOBA of .385.

Casey Mize is not in great form, posting a 4.94 SIERA and inducing ground balls at a lower rate than all of today’s projected starters the last month.

Bet to -130.

Total Home Runs
Jackson Merrill logo Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Jackson Merrill has hit .347 with a .429 ISO and impressive 22.5% barrel rate over the last 20 games. That has translated to five homers and 25 balls hit at least 300 feet, both of which lead the team.

Tanner Bibee sits in the 18th percentile in xSLG against left-handed hitters, and has allowed 11 more homers than to righties.

Bet to +385.

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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
New York Mets logo NYM (-157)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Jake Irvin's ERA is 5.79 and climbing because teams are barreling him up early and often (third percentile). The Mets (sixth in barrel rate) will tee off on him and Washington's dismal bullpen, which ranks dead-last by xERA this month. Play to -170.

Total Bases
Luis Robert Jr. logo
Luis Robert Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Luis Robert Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Sean Burke logo Sean Burke u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Sean Burke has been a strikeout machine over his last five outings, but he has also faced several extremely strikeout-heavy lineups during that stretch. This is a much tougher matchup against a disciplined Tigers lineup that has been hovering around a 20% strikeout rate over its last 12 games. Detroit also owns a sub-80% contact rate, 9.3% swinging-strike rate and 26.3% chase rate during that span. Against right-handed pitching over their last 60 plate appearances, only three Tigers hitters have a strikeout rate above 25%, while five are at 20% or lower. At plus money, the under offers a ton of value.

Total Hits
Trei Cruz logo
Trei Cruz u0.5 Total Hits (-110)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trei Cruz in the 11th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Trei Cruz is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. Comerica Park grades out as the #22 venue in the league for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Aug 16 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kyle Schwarber logo Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Home Runs (+255)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Dean Kremer has gotten crushed by lefties this season, allowing a .272 ISO and 2.25 HR/9.

Kyle Schwarber is one of the best power threats in the sport and owns ISOs of .229 and .583, albeit over a small sample with the splitter, against Kremer's two most-used pitches.

Bet to +220.

Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Minnesota Twins logo u9.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Minnesota Twins have hit only .230 with a .130 ISO and 5.1% barrel rate against righties the last 30 games. They’re not getting on base, nor hitting for much power.

While the Philadelphia Phillies have upped their production of late, they sit 27th in FB% vs. righties this month. Couple that with Dean Kremer’s 78th percentile hard hit rate and we may not see much raw power, which should keep the total down.

Bet the Under to -135.

View 13 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Aug 16 • 3:15 PM ET
Total
St. Louis Cardinals logo Chicago Cubs logo u8.5 (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals and Cubs combined for 12 runs Saturday, but Sunday sets up for a much quieter offensive performance. While St. Louis has a favorable matchup against Edward Cabrera, replicating Saturday's production will be difficult. Hunter Dobbins has been effective on the road, limiting opposing hitters to a .216 xBA, .377 xSLG and .190 ISO while posting a 3.43 ERA. With Dobbins pitching well away from home and the Cardinals coming off such an explosive offensive showing, some regression should come Sunday. There should still be runs on the board, but Dobbins' strong road numbers and the Cardinals' massive offensive output Saturday make the under the preferred side in this matchup.

Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL (+146)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals look like a sneaky value play Sunday afternoon against the Cubs. Edward Cabrera is making his return from the injured list, but he struggled mightily before landing there, posting a 7.59 ERA and allowing a 50% hard-hit rate over his final five outings. Meanwhile, Cardinals right-hander Hunter Dobbins has been extremely serviceable, carrying a 3.25 ERA, 2.77 xERA and 1.23 WHIP while limiting hard contact and barrels. With Cabrera returning after an extended absence and struggling before his injury, the easy fade is the Cardinals after their big offensive showing Saturday. Instead, the Cardinals look pretty delectable in this matchup Sunday afternoon.

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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an edge in today's game.. Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs
Cole Carrigg logo
Cole Carrigg o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 6th-best of the day for bats.. Cole Carrigg pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Cole Carrigg's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.1-mph over the course of the season to 90.3-mph of late.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best venue in MLB for RHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best venue in MLB for RHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Aug 16 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the league.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.
Total Hits
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium projects as the #25 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today.. In the last two weeks, Mike Trout's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.7% down to 8.7%.. Mike Trout's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 44% on the season to 33.3% over the last week.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, Aug 16 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+171)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Tucker in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for bats.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Aug 16 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez logo Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+276)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Woo throws his four-seamer and sinker on 65.8% of his pitches, and Alvarez has destroyed both offerings. He carries a .796 xSLG, .516 xwOBA, and 59.1% hard-hit rate against four-seamers, plus a .584 xSLG and .439 xwOBA against sinkers. Alvarez's overall contact profile supports the matchup with a 17.8% barrel rate and .684 xSLG this season. Woo's fastball-heavy approach forces him toward the portion of his arsenal Alvarez has punished most consistently.

Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Houston owns an .859 OPS against right-handed pitching at home over the last 30 days, the best mark in MLB over that span.

Woo has allowed a 43.5% hard-hit rate, ranking in the 13th percentile, while his four-seamer has been hit hard 44.3% of the time. Hunter Brown provides the opposite matchup, holding opponents to an 85.7-mph average exit velocity and 36.2% hard-hit rate. I'd play to -140.

View 15 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.