MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 3, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.56 @ 5.59

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Giants vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.56

+147

o8.5 -118

+1.5 -150

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

5.59

-152

u9.0 -119

-1.5 +135

Toronto @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.58 @ 3.93

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Blue Jays vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.58

-105

o7.5 -125

-1.5 +160

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.93

-104

u8.0 -110

+1.5 -184

Top Projection Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5+200
Chi. White Sox @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.84 @ 4.57

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

White Sox vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

3.84

+143

o8.5 -102

+1.5 -150

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.57

-153

u8.5 -114

-1.5 +135

Top Projection Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Milwaukee @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.22 @ 5.20

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Brewers vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.22

-113

o8.5 +100

-1.5 +150

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.20

+103

u8.5 -105

+1.5 -164

Boston @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.85 @ 4.50

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Red Sox vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.85

-126

o8.0 -125

-1.5 +135

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.50

+120

u8.5 -106

+1.5 -145

Top Projection Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
o0.5+234
Miami @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.11 @ 5.22

KC
KC logo
KC

Marlins vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.11

-105

o9.0 -110

-1.5 +145

KC logo
KC
KC

5.22

+100

u9.5 -135

+1.5 -165

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
o0.5+174
Tampa Bay @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

4.19 @ 3.89

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Rays vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

4.19

-121

o7.0 -180

-1.5 +140

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

3.89

+115

u8.0 -115

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)
o0.5+237
Athletics @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.00 @ 4.45

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Athletics vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.00

+190

o7.5 -105

+3.5 -315

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.45

-210

u7.5 -114

-3.5 +245

Top Projection Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+291)
o0.5+291
St. Louis @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.13 @ 4.85

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Cardinals vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.13

+255

o7.0 -182

+4.5 -334

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.85

-295

u8.0 -115

-4.5 +260

Top Projection Freddie Freeman u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
u0.5+202
Detroit @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.13 @ 4.13

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Tigers vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.13

-110

o8.5 +155

-1.5 +165

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.13

-110

--

+1.5 -190

San Francisco Giants image thumbnail SF @ Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT Thu, Sep 3 • 12:35 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants image thumbnail Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail u8.5 (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 8.5 fits because both bullpens are in good shape and neither lineup is showing much power. San Francisco has produced a strong wRC+ lately, but its ISO remains light, while Pittsburgh’s bullpen stability limits late-game scoring paths at PNC Park.

Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates image thumbnail PIT (-155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
Quinn Allen logo
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Pittsburgh has the cleaner full-game profile with Lake Bachar opening and the bullpen in strong form behind him. The Pirates’ relief corps has not allowed homer damage lately, while Blade Tidwell’s recent 5.81 FIP and HR issues give Pittsburgh a clear scoring path.

View 13 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR @ Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE Thu, Sep 3 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

If there is a player to ride momentum with, it's Vladdy. His swing finally looked like the 2025 version of himself, specifically in the postseason, so we're going to ride with him one more time against a pitcher he's historically had success against. At this price, it's an easy play for me.

Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays image thumbnail TOR (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Dustin Saracini logo
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

If the Toronto Blue Jays want to build momentum after their 11-0 win last night, Jose Soriano is the right man to do it. Across 46 plate appearances, the Cleveland Guardians have registered just a .213 xBA and .332 xSLG against the righty, which includes limiting Steven Kwan to a .159 xBA. Soriano's elite groundball rate is perfect for a contact-first team like Cleveland, and should allow him to work deep into the ballgame. On the other side, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. might've finally woken up last night after going 3-for-4 with 5 RBI and a homer; he won't be slowing down today, either, owning a .744 xSLG against Bibee. All the numbers point toward the Jays in a must-win game here; I'd play this up to -120.

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Chicago White Sox image thumbnail CHW @ Houston Astros image thumbnail HOU Thu, Sep 3 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The #4 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. The league's 3rd-highest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Andrew Benintendi logo
Andrew Benintendi u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
31% of the time that Andrew Benintendi has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. The #4 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. The league's 3rd-highest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.
View 10 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL @ Chicago Cubs image thumbnail CHC Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alex Hoppe logo Alex Hoppe o0.5 Total Home Runs (+583)
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Wrigley Field is one of three parks this year averaging three or more dingers per game. This series has seen more home runs than I can count on two hands, and despite some great numbers, Logan Henderson is not a bad name to fade on a small Thursday slate. Since the All-Star break, 32% of Henderson's hits allowed have gone yard, and he has allowed nine homers across 48 innings. He's been a very lucky pitcher with a .178 BABIP in the second half while stranding 100% of his runners, per FanGraphs. His lefty-righty splits are pretty even, which puts Alex Bregman and his hot bat on the card at 18.2% or better. Bregman is on a mission, and that mission took Jacob Misiorowski deep in his last outing. He has four homers in this series alone and has launched eight home runs over his last four series (12 games). Many of the Cubs hitters are projecting as +EV through the projections at Covers.

Total
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail Chicago Cubs image thumbnail u8.5 (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
Trevor Knapp logo
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Kevin Gausman has a chance to right the ship when he faces a Brewers club batting just .200/.252/.323 against him. With Logan Henderson sporting a BB% in the 87th percentile and a K% in the 92nd, expect runs to be at a premium at Wrigley.

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Boston Red Sox image thumbnail BOS @ Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail BAL (+119)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

There's a strong edge on the Baltimore Orioles at the current price, and that's ultimately what matters when buying a probability in the market. The Orioles are trading at 45% on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 51% favorite. We usually see an edge of only 2-3%, so this 6% difference is definitely worth paying attention to. The Red Sox are sending left-hander Jake Bennett to the mound. While he's dominated left-handed hitters this season, he hasn't fared as well against right-handed bats. Baltimore's lineup features plenty of right-handed power from spots two through six, including Luis Robert Jr., whom the Orioles acquired on August 31. Small details can create an edge, and Robert's addition matters in this matchup. He has historically hit left-handed pitching better than right-handed pitching, and his presence lengthens Baltimore's lineup with another right-handed bat that profiles well against Bennett.

Total Bases
Caleb Durbin logo
Caleb Durbin o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 88°.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.. As it relates to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.75 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 78th percentile.
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Miami Marlins image thumbnail MIA @ Kansas City Royals image thumbnail KC Thu, Sep 3 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+143)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #6 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 96°.. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 96°.
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Tampa Bay Rays image thumbnail TB @ Texas Rangers image thumbnail TEX Thu, Sep 3 • 8:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 14th-best batter in the game.. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Danny Jansen logo
Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+332)
Projection 0.33
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the majors, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Danny Jansen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane McClanahan in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage today.. Danny Jansen's quickness has increased this season. His 26.13 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.89 ft/sec now.
View 8 Picks
Athletics Athletics image thumbnail ATH @ Seattle Mariners image thumbnail SEA Thu, Sep 3 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
Athletics Athletics image thumbnail Seattle Mariners image thumbnail u7.5 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This is about as tough a schedule spot as you can get for the Seattle offense today. The Mariners were just in Boston yesterday and now open a weekend set with the Athletics at home. The return home after a two-series East Coast trip with no day off is working against the home side, and it's just enough to slow down an average offense that is coming off its best three-game offensive output. Seattle gets Jack Perkins, who has allowed just two earned runs over his last three starts, while the Mariners should have a favorable matchup against the Athletics and their league-worst road scoring offense. Twenty-two-year-old first-rounder Kade Anderson gets the start for Seattle and has struck out 135 batters in 93 minor-league innings this year. Neither bullpen has restrictions today, and the projections give this a 56% fair probability. The schedule spot and the worst road offense are pushing this total down to a flat 7.

Total Hits
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 45 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The weather forecast projects the 7th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 39% to 31.2%.
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St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail STL @ Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail LAD Thu, Sep 3 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
St. Louis Cardinals image thumbnail Los Angeles Dodgers image thumbnail o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
Joe Osborne logo
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

St. Louis is on an 11-2 Over tear, and this matchup sets up for more scoring. The Cardinals rank fourth in OPS against lefties over the past month and should challenge Tarik Skubal, who hasn’t been quite as dominant with Los Angeles. On the other side, rookie Quinn Mathews owns a 5.03 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. He's backed by a bullpen that's posted a brutal 6.47 ERA over the past two weeks. Expect an aggressive Dodgers lineup vs the inexperienced starter and struggling bullpen as they look to break out of a 2-6 slide.

Total Hits
Tommy Edman logo
Tommy Edman u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 45 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dodger Stadium grades out as the #24 ballpark in the majors for righty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 6th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Tommy Edman's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.3-mph EV last year has fallen off to 85.2-mph.. Over the last two weeks, Tommy Edman has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 85.3-mph on his flyballs.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tommy Edman's true offensive ability to be a .296, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .031 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .327 wOBA.
View 11 Picks
Detroit Tigers image thumbnail DET @ Cleveland Guardians image thumbnail CLE Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
View 9 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.