Braves vs Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 13, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
Alec Burleson enters this matchup red-hot after homering in three straight games while carrying a .560 ISO, 52.2% hard-hit rate, and 26.1% barrel rate over his last six contests. He'll face Connor Prielipp, who has allowed more than half of his contact against left-handed hitters in the air.
Shohei Ohtani has rediscovered his power stroke, homering three times in his last six games while posting a .417 ISO and 58.8% hard-hit rate. He also draws a favorable matchup against Sean Burke, who has allowed 1.89 HR/9 and a 45.5% fly-ball rate over his last two starts.
Matt McLain is crushing the baseball lately, posting a .556 ISO with three homers in his last five games. He's also carrying a 50% hard-hit rate and 33.3% barrel rate, while his launch angle has jumped from 12.4 degrees on the season to 21.5 over his last 22 plate appearances.
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
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