MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Jul 25 • 1:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Kansas City Royals logo Detroit Tigers logo u8.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under case starts with Mize’s strong Comerica Park profile and Kansas City’s recent offensive struggles. The Royals own a 90 wRC+ and .158 ISO over seven games, while Detroit’s bullpen has limited barrels and homers lately. Wacha is not getting blown up, keeping 8.5 runs in reach overall tonight.

Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-168)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Casey Mize enters in excellent form, posting a 2.22 FIP over his last four outings while limiting homers. Michael Wacha has been more vulnerable lately with a 4.83 xERA and 1.85 HR/9, and Detroit’s offense can do enough damage against Kansas City’s struggling bullpen behind him today at Comerica Park.

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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Given Ryan Johnson's large platoon split, Bryce Eldridge will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases
Casey Schmitt logo
Casey Schmitt o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Casey Schmitt in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Casey Schmitt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 18.7%.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 59 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 19th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. This year, Andres Chaparro has been pinch hit for in 70% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the game for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 59 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
George Springer logo
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. George Springer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Fenway Park profiles as the #3 park in MLB for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.7% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sat, Jul 25 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average skill.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (48.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Fernando Tatis Jr. tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.. In the last week, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 19%.
Strikeouts Thrown
Eury Perez logo
Eury Perez u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+114)
Projection 5.39
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The San Diego Padres (19.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone batting order on the slate today.. Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Eury Perez (41.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 GB hitters in San Diego's projected offense.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sat, Jul 25 • 6:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in the majors — generally good for dingers.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather of the day at 82°.. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Brian Keller in today's matchup.. Austin Wells may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Philadelphia Phillies only has 1 same-handed RP.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Jul 25 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Chase DeLauter is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase DeLauter will have the handedness advantage against Nick Martinez today.. Chase DeLauter has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (53.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sat, Jul 25 • 6:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, with the Pirates cashing the Over in each of those games.

Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s pen owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago's (4.04).

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Paul Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, while Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. 

Imanaga will dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored as well as 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Leody Taveras logo
Leody Taveras o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Leody Taveras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (46.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Leody Taveras has posted a .319 BABIP this year.
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Drake Baldwin ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Drake Baldwin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Young today.. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #8 field in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (68.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. Isaac Paredes's 23.9° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 99th percentile.. In notching a .355 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Paredes finds himself in the 83rd percentile.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Projection 2.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #8 stadium in baseball for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls.. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Burke throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage today.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Over the last 14 days, Willi Castro has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.4% to 20%.. Willi Castro's launch angle this season (19.9°) is considerably better than his 11.6° angle last year.
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andrew Vaughn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Andrew Vaughn hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Jul 25 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 59 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the highest temperatures of the day at 94°.. Shea Langeliers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Total Hits
Jonah Heim logo
Jonah Heim u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jonah Heim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (43.1% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonah Heim today.. Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 90.9-mph average last season has fallen off to 88.8-mph.. In the past two weeks, Jonah Heim's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 88.8 mph to 85.3 mph.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Weston Wilson logo
Weston Wilson o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Weston Wilson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.. Weston Wilson grades out in the 81st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.1% rate since the start of last season).. Weston Wilson has paced 22.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 82nd percentile for power.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+133)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Joc Pederson will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Mookie Betts pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Mookie Betts tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nolan McLean.. Despite posting a .308 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mookie Betts has suffered from bad luck given the .040 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Jul 25 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
Total RBIs
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante doesn't generate many whiffs (7th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.