MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, May 3 • 12:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 6 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Minnesota Twins logo MIN (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Although Trey Yesavage looked solid in his 2026 debut, Joe Ryan has had the Blue Jays' number over the years, limiting Toronto hitters to a .708 lifetime OPS. Expect the Twins to take the series finale at home.

Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Aaron Judge logo Aaron Judge o0.5 Total Home Runs (+205)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Aaron Judge is coming off a vintage month of April, where he hit 10 dingers with a .659 slugging percentage.

The Yankees star will square up against Orioles starter Trey Gibson, who is making his MLB debut. Baltimore's bullpen has also been pretty shaky, giving up 17 home runs - tied for seventh most in the MLB.

Total Hits
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-coldest temperature on the slate today at 59°.. Anthony Nunez will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Judge in today's matchup.. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 5th-deepest CF fences today.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
William Contreras logo William Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+540)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

William Contreras only has three homers this year (including one on Thursday), but he'll be able to pick on a brutal Nationals pitching staff today.

Starter Zack Littell has already allowed 13 homers, including 2+ in four straight outings, while the Nats have surrendered an MLB-worst 51 dingers.

Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu u0.5 Total Hits (+199)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total Hits
Marcelo Mayer logo
Marcelo Mayer u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Marcelo Mayer is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, May 3 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This contest is expected to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This contest is expected to have the most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.98
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Matt Chapman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Matt Chapman will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, May 3 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
Total Bases
Christopher Morel logo
Christopher Morel u1.5 Total Bases (-290)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Christopher Morel is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 9th-deepest LF fences today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, May 3 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. JJ Wetherholt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Pedro Pages logo
Pedro Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+206)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pedro Pages has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, May 3 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. Today, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.4% rate (97th percentile).. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gabriel Moreno in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Ildemaro Vargas logo
Ildemaro Vargas u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the coldest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams in action today.. Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, May 3 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+310)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Matt Olson has gone yard in two straight games, and four of his last six outings. He'll be batting out of Coors Field today, one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors.

The Rockies have allowed 46 dingers already - the third most among all clubs - while starter Kyle Freeland has surrendered a homer in two straight games.

Total Hits
Jorge Mateo logo
Jorge Mateo u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Mateo ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.. Out of every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies.. Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, May 3 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge today.. Kyle Manzardo may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total Bases
Brent Rooker logo
Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Brent Rooker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Brent Rooker will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brent Rooker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, May 3 • 4:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nolan Schanuel logo
Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Hits
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.79
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brett Baty is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Brett Baty has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Typically, batters like Brett Baty who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jack Kochanowicz.. Brett Baty will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Luis Castillo has been a shell of his former self, but the Mariners right-hander should bounce back against a putrid Royals offense that is hitting just .205 off of him. Side with Seattle on Sunday afternoon. 

Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This matchup is predicted to have the 13th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Jac Caglianone will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams in action today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, May 3 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams in action today.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams in action today.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, May 3 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Joc Pederson logo
Joc Pederson u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest forecasts the 5th-lowest temperature of all games today at 59°.. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Holton throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today's game.. Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joc Pederson in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Duran logo
Ezequiel Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
View 10 Picks

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