MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 15, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

AZ @

BAL Wed, Apr 15 • 12:35 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.9

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +102

o1.5 +125

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +100

Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

+125 at bet365

Total Bases

Jose Fernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.45

Best Odds

o1.5 +200

Pick made: 11 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +187

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +150

Jose Fernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.2-mph in this match-up, the 5th-best of the day for bats.. Jose Fernandez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. In the past week, Jose Fernandez's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

+200 at bet365

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CLE @

STL Wed, Apr 15 • 1:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+182)

Projection 1.46

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +181

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +165

o1.5 +185

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 14-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game.. Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

+185 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo u1.5 Total Bases (-210)

Projection 0.79

Best Odds

u1.5 -210

Pick made: 5 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -210

Kyle Manzardo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.. The #2 park in the league for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today.. Kyle Manzardo is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the strong outfield defense of St. Louis (#3-best on the slate today).. Kyle Manzardo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

-210 at bet365

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BOS @

MIN Wed, Apr 15 • 1:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Roman Anthony o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +118

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony as the 11th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Roman Anthony is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Roman Anthony will have the handedness advantage over Simeon Woods Richard in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Roman Anthony tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard.

+118 at Caesars

Total Bases

Trevor Story u1.5 Total Bases (-165)

Projection 0.99

Best Odds

u1.5 -165

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -192

u1.5 -165

u1.5 -170

u1.5 -185

Trevor Story has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Target Field has the 9th-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums.. The league's 5th-tallest fences can be found at Target Field.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 3rd-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate.. Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Trevor Story faces a tough challenge in today's game.

-165 at bet365

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WAS @

PIT Wed, Apr 15 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+155)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +155

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +131

o1.5 +155

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +124

o1.5 +130

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Carmen Mlodzinski in today's matchup.

+155 at bet365

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+105)

Projection 2.47

Best Odds

o1.5 +106

Pick made: 19 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +106

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -120

o1.5 -102

o1.5 +105

Oneil Cruz projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jake Irvin struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.

+106 at DraftKings

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SF @

CIN Wed, Apr 15 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Will Benson u0.5 Total Hits (+127)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

u0.5 +127

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +127

u0.5 -110

u0.5 +121

u0.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Will Benson is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Will Benson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. In the last 14 days, Will Benson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.. Will Benson has notched a .213 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 9th percentile.

+127 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+154)

Projection 2

Best Odds

o1.5 +154

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +154

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +145

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #1 stadium in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.

+154 at DraftKings

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KC @

DET Wed, Apr 15 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+152)

Projection 0.75

Best Odds

u0.5 +152

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +152

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Michael Massey is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 10th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Michael Massey tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey today.

+152 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+205)

Projection 1.59

Best Odds

o1.5 +205

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +164

o1.5 +205

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +170

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-shortest fences in MLB.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is expected to have the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today (78%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

+205 at bet365

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CHC @

PHI Wed, Apr 15 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Edmundo Sosa u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.7

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +131

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +135

u0.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst park in the game for right-handed batting average.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the strongest among every team today.. Edmundo Sosa's footspeed has decreased this year. His 29.43 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.68 ft/sec now.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Edmundo Sosa has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .330 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.

+150 at bet365

Total Hits

Miguel Amaya u0.5 Total Hits (+106)

Projection 0.56

Best Odds

u0.5 +109

Pick made: 7 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +109

u0.5 +105

u0.5 +106

u0.5 +100

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst park in the game for right-handed batting average.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Miguel Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

+109 at DraftKings

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LAA @

NYY Wed, Apr 15 • 7:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Mike Trout u1.5 Total Bases (-135)

Projection 0.9

Best Odds

u1.5 -135

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -157

u1.5 -135

u1.5 -157

u1.5 -170

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #27 ballpark in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. Batting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Mike Trout will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Typically, bats like Mike Trout who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Luis Gil.. Mike Trout will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

-135 at bet365

Total Bases

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+140)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +140

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.5-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand in today's game.

+140 at bet365

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MIA @

ATL Wed, Apr 15 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Ozzie Albies u0.5 Total Hits (+192)

Projection 0.89

Best Odds

u0.5 +192

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +192

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +178

u0.5 +180

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Chris Paddack. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 15.6% to 7.7%.

+192 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+117)

Projection 1.98

Best Odds

o1.5 +117

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +114

o1.5 +105

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #9 ballpark in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 85°.

+117 at DraftKings

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TOR @

MIL Wed, Apr 15 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

David Hamilton u0.5 Total Hits (+105)

Projection 0.55

Best Odds

u0.5 +108

Pick made: 41 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +105

u0.5 -140

u0.5 +108

u0.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. David Hamilton is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #6 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams today.. David Hamilton's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 87-mph mark last year has dropped to 82-mph.

+108 at Caesars

Total Hits

Jake Bauers u0.5 Total Hits (+115)

Projection 0.55

Best Odds

u0.5 +115

Pick made: 27 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +111

u0.5 -120

u0.5 +108

u0.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Jake Bauers has been pinch hit for 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.. The #6 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Jake Bauers pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among all the teams today.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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TB @

CHW Wed, Apr 15 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Nick Fortes u0.5 Total Hits (+140)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

u0.5 +140

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +132

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +129

u0.5 +140

Nick Fortes's BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Fortes is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. This matchup is projected to have the 4th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sean Burke will have the handedness advantage against Nick Fortes in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Fortes today.

+140 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+160)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +160

Pick made: 17 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +158

o1.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as MLB's 4th-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 5th-best ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all major league parks.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage against Jesse Scholtens today.

+160 at bet365

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COL @

HOU Wed, Apr 15 • 8:10 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-110)

Projection 2.1

Best Odds

o1.5 +102

Pick made: a minute ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +102

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -105

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 6th-best venue in the game for LHB home runs.. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in MLB.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Yordan Alvarez has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

+102 at DraftKings

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$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

ATH Wed, Apr 15 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+130)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

u0.5 +133

Pick made: 41 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +124

u0.5 +115

u0.5 +133

u0.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the least humid conditions of all games on the slate at 16%.. In today's matchup, Carlos Cortes is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (89th percentile).. Carlos Cortes has been cold lately, putting up an 82.7-mph average exit velocity over the last week.

+133 at Caesars

Total Bases

Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.94

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +104

o1.5 +135

o1.5 -120

o1.5 +101

o1.5 +105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 4th-best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.4-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.

+135 at bet365

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SEA @

SD Wed, Apr 15 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Luke Raley o1.5 Total Bases (+230)

Projection 1.39

Best Odds

o1.5 +230

Pick made: 33 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +206

o1.5 +230

o1.5 +180

o1.5 +185

When assessing his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage today.. Luke Raley has big-time HR ability (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vasquez is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Raley.

+230 at bet365

Total Bases

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 1.97

Best Odds

o1.5 +134

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +134

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +126

o1.5 +130

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today.. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

+134 at DraftKings

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NYM @

LAD Wed, Apr 15 • 10:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Freddie Freeman u0.5 Total Hits (+200)

Projection 0.95

Best Odds

u0.5 +200

Pick made: 4 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +169

u0.5 +200

u0.5 +173

u0.5 +180

Dodger Stadium grades out as the #22 venue in the majors for lefty base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This matchup is projected to have the 2nd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among all the teams on the slate today.

+200 at bet365

Total Bases

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.57

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 25 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +135

o1.5 +122

o1.5 +125

Kyle Tucker projects as the 18th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. In the majors, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage in today's game.

+135 at bet365

View 10 Picks

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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.