Toronto @ Seattle Picks & Props

TOR vs SEA Picks

MLB Picks
Hit a Home Run
Josh Naylor logo Josh Naylor Hit a Home Run (Yes: +525)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Josh Naylor is trading at +525 to hit a home run at BetRivers, and there’s a slight edge at that number — I have his fair value closer to +510. I grabbed this earlier in the morning at +600, and there were still some +550s available, so it’s worth shopping around throughout the day for a better price. Naylor likely gets just one good look at this matchup, but it’s a favorable one. He faces a struggling Max Scherzer, who’s allowed 13 home runs to left-handed hitters this season in just 187 at-bats. Scherzer leans heavily on his four-seam fastball and slider — two pitches Naylor handles extremely well against right-handers. It’s also hard to ignore the ballpark. This game is in Seattle, where Naylor has been excellent, hitting .360 with a 1.015 OPS at T-Mobile Park this season.

Earned Runs Allowed
Max Scherzer logo Max Scherzer o1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-127)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Scherzer is a future Hall-of-Famer with 25 postseason starts on his resume but he's now 41 years old and is a shell of his former self. Scherzer had a 5.19 ERA in 17 regular season starts this season and he ranked near the bottom of the majors in barrel rate and ground ball rate. He really struggled towards the end of the season, surrendering 25 runs in his final 25 innings pitched. Mad Max was left off the ALDS roster for good reason and I don't see him having success against a Mariners lineup that was sixth in the majors in barrel rate and fourth in hard-hit rate during the regular season.

Strikeouts Thrown
Luis Castillo logo Luis Castillo o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Jays strike out at the lowest rate in the majors but it's still tough to turn down the Over 4.5 strikeouts prop for Luis Castillo at plus money. He eclipsed this number in 11 of his final 15 regular season starts. The three-time All-Star also pitches significantly better at home where he logged a 2.60 ERA with a strikeout rate of 24.7% through 100 1/3 innings during the regular season. Castillo's arm should also be well rested since he has pitched just once in the last 10 days. And in that appearance he threw just 15 pitches to close out Game 5 of the ALDS last Friday.

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Josh Naylor logo Josh Naylor o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+113)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Josh Naylor went hitless last night but has still been red-hot going 9-21 with three extra base hits over his last five games. Naylor has been mashing since the Mariners traded for him at the deadline, slashing .299/.341/.490 with his new team. Perhaps most impressive is that he's been hitting extremely well at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park where he slashed .360/.408/.607 with 19 runs and 22 RBI in 26 games. Naylor will have the platoon advantage tonight against Jays starter Max Scherzer. Scherzer struggled this season, pitching to a 5.19 ERA through 17 regular season starts and left-handed hitters slugged .545 against him.

Total Home Runs
Eugenio Suarez logo Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Suarez tied his career-high mark with 49 homers this season while posting an elite .301 ISO against righties. He’s also homered twice off Toronto starter Max Scherzer during his career.

MoneyLine
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Seattle starter Luis Castillo has posted a high-end 2.95 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 3.46 xFIP at pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park across 51 stats over his three full seasons with the Mariners, while Toronto has veteran Max Scherzer scheduled to start. Scherzer served up a 9.00 ERA and 1.80 WHIP while allowing opposing hitters to tee off to the tune of a .336 batting average and 47.6% hard-hit rate across his final six starts of the regular season. Seattle takes a 3-1 series lead tonight.

Hit a Home Run
Eugenio Suarez logo Eugenio Suarez Hit a Home Run (Yes: +425)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Eugenio Suarez smacked 36 bombs off right-handed pitchers in 2025, and he tends to showcase his power even more at home, clubbing 30 round-trippers. Suarez is always a power threat, and Scherzer has had issues with the HR this year, allowing 19 in 17 appearances. 

Hit a Home Run
Alejandro Kirk logo Alejandro Kirk Hit a Home Run (Yes: +700)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Alejandro Kirk played a massive part in Wednesday’s win, finishing 2-for-4 with a three-run home run. Kirk went deep 15 times in the season, and he’s already left the yard three times in the playoffs. Kirk has enjoyed himself in the past against Mariners starter Luis Castillo, who takes the ball this evening. He’s 4-for-8 with a homer and two RBI. 

Total Bases
George Springer logo George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Luis Castillo throws a healthy dose of a four-seamer (46% usage), coupled with a sinker (22%) and a slider (20%). George Springer has proven to be a good fastball hitter, batting .305 against the four-seamer with a .667 slugging percentage. However, he’s handled the sinker even more effectively with a .375 average and a .693 expected slug rate.

Total RBIs
Anthony Santander logo
Anthony Santander o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.57 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Seattle (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, compiling a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .063 gap.
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Total Bases (+108)
Projection 1.21 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°.. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-112)
Projection 1.41 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°.. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game.
Outs Recorded
Max Scherzer logo
Max Scherzer o11.5 Outs Recorded (+101)
Projection 13.53 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 field in baseball for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.. Considering that flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Max Scherzer (44.1% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected offense.. Max Scherzer performed well in his last GS and allowed 2 ER.
Total Bases
Anthony Santander logo
Anthony Santander o0.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 1.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Seattle (#3-best of all teams on the slate today).. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, compiling a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .063 gap.
Total Bases
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Total Bases (-139)
Projection 1.31 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°.. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-172)
Projection 1.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°.. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Anthony Santander logo
Anthony Santander o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+119)
Projection 1.86 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 59°.. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, compiling a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .063 gap.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Victor Robles logo
Victor Robles o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-148)
Projection 1.22 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 59°.. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Victor Robles will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Victor Robles has recorded a .302 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile.
Total Bases
Ernie Clement logo
Ernie Clement u1.5 Total Bases (-218)
Projection 0.85 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ernie Clement is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 field in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.. Because of Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Ernie Clement will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.
Quick Bet information modal

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

TOR vs SEA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

76% picking Toronto vs Seattle to go Over

76%
24%

Total PicksTOR 439, SEA 139

Total
Over
Under

TOR vs SEA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

Dominic Canzone
D. Canzone
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph EV.

Dominic Canzone logo

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Max Scherzer today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph EV.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.77
Best Odds

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.77

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Leo Rivas Total Hits Props • Seattle

Leo Rivas
L. Rivas
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.55
Best Odds

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Leo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Leo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's game. With a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Leo Rivas has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 91st percentile.

Leo Rivas logo

Leo Rivas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.55
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.55

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Leo Rivas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Leo Rivas will hold that advantage in today's game. With a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Leo Rivas has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 91st percentile.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.75
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Andres Gimenez will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Last season, Andres Gimenez had an average launch angle of 9.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 13.6°.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.75
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.75

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Andres Gimenez will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Last season, Andres Gimenez had an average launch angle of 9.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 13.6°.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Toronto

Anthony Santander
A. Santander
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Seattle (#3-best of all teams on the slate today). Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, compiling a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .063 gap.

Anthony Santander logo

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Anthony Santander is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Seattle (#3-best of all teams on the slate today). Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, compiling a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .063 gap.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Addison Barger ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Addison Barger ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho
D. Varsho
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo today... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Barrel% of Daulton Varsho has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.4% last year to 16.4% this season.

Daulton Varsho logo

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo today... and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Barrel% of Daulton Varsho has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.4% last year to 16.4% this season.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Seattle

Victor Robles
V. Robles
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.65
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Victor Robles will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Victor Robles has compiled a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Victor Robles logo

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.65
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.65

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Victor Robles will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Victor Robles has compiled a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.99
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.403) suggests that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.99
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.99

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.403) suggests that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.93
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 15th-best batter in the game. George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. George Springer has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last season to 16.7% this year.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.93
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.93

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 15th-best batter in the game. George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. George Springer has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last season to 16.7% this year.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.75
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.75
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.75

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage today.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

Nathan Lukes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Nathan Lukes will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Nathan Lukes has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Nathan Lukes logo

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

Nathan Lukes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Nathan Lukes will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Nathan Lukes has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Alejandro Kirk has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Alejandro Kirk has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph EV.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Alejandro Kirk has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Alejandro Kirk has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph EV.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.85
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Ernie Clement sits with a .281 batting average this year.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.85
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.85

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Ernie Clement sits with a .281 batting average this year.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Seattle

Josh Naylor
J. Naylor
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.76
Best Odds

Josh Naylor's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Josh Naylor logo

Josh Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.76
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.76

Josh Naylor's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Hitting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today's game. Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.62
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Eugenio Suarez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95-mph average to last season's 92.6-mph average.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.62
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.62

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today. Eugenio Suarez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95-mph average to last season's 92.6-mph average.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Max Scherzer. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Max Scherzer. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Max Scherzer today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 58°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Max Scherzer today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

TOR vs SEA Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
All Blue Jays Money Leaders

Seattle Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 PaPe454 6-4-0 +19444
2 dotlife162 9-1-0 +19315
3 Roundrobinking 6-4-0 +17515
4 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +15505
5 KingScorpio 3-7-0 +15095
6 regger22 6-4-0 +13250
7 jr5601 4-5-1 +12525
8 adon131 5-5-0 +12520
9 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +11975
10 fragma8023 6-4-0 +11743
All Mariners Money Leaders
Top User Picks

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

Some of our content has moved

Records, stats, preview and injuries can be found in the Stats tab. Props can be found in the Picks Tab.