Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 21, 2026 , 12:20 PM ET • 4 min read

Emmet Sheehan will guide the Dodgers to an easy victory over the Orioles today, as our MLB expert explains.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
BAL
44 %
LAD
56 %
EXPERT PICK - RUN LINE
LA Dodgers -1.5 (-112) LA Dodgers -1.5 (-112)
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Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Emmet Sheehan
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Emmet Sheehan.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will look to get a series win at home as they host the Baltimore Orioles in the rubber game of their series today.

Emmet Sheehan has the stuff to quiet Baltimore’s bats, and I’m taking Los Angeles to cover the run line in my Orioles vs. Dodgers predictions.

Read on for more analysis of this game and get my free MLB picks for Sunday, June 21.

Who will win Orioles vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (-104)

Los Angeles Dodgers starter Emmet Sheehan has an inflated ERA (4.76), but his underlying numbers are positive.

He has outstanding strikeout (26.8%) and walk (6.3%) rates, and gets batters to chase 35.4% of the time. He also has an elite slider that holds opponents to a .267 wOBA.

Sheehan will benefit from the Dodgers offense, which leads the majors with a .783 OPS. Los Angeles has a hard-hit percentage of 41.6% and will get to Baltimore Orioles starter Brandon Young, who allows a hard-hit rate of 41.3%.

I like the Dodgers to cover the run line at -120 or better.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Sheehan has an excellent whiff rate of 30.3%, which will frustrate an Orioles team that whiffs on 26% of its swings.

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Orioles vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-122)

The Dodgers' lineup will get to Young, but he has some weapons that will stop them from making this a complete slaughter.

Young’s combination of four-seam fastballs and splitters, which make up 60% of his pitches, should frustrate Los Angeles, which only pulls those pitches in the air 16.5% of the time against righties.

I’m expecting Sheehan to take care of Baltimore’s offense by missing a lot of bats with his 30.3% whiff rate. That should leave us with a reasonably low-scoring game compared to this inflated total.

I love the Under here at 9 runs or more.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 13-19, -6.84 units
  • Over/Under bets: 12-18, -6.74 units

Orioles vs Dodgers weather

The wind is blowing out to left center at 8 mph on a 75F day at Dodger Stadium.

Orioles vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Orioles +213 | Dodgers -223
  • Run line: Orioles +1.5 | Dodgers -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5

Orioles vs Dodgers trend

The Orioles are 2-5 straight up in their last seven games, losing four of those contests by 2+ runs. Find more MLB betting trends for Orioles vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Orioles vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Sunday, June 21, 2026
First pitch 4:10 p.m. ET
TV MASN, SNLA
Orioles starting pitcher Brandon Young
(5-2, 3.18 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Emmet Sheehan
(3-4, 4.76 ERA)

Orioles vs Dodgers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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