MLB Picks

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best park in the game for LHB home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for HRs.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast forecasts for the most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Because of Keegan Akin's large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Jose Soriano was looking like a Cy-Young favourite a couple of weeks ago, but he’s been roughed up in back-to-back outings as reality is setting in for the veteran right-hander. This regression was expected as his 1.74 ERA didn’t match up with his 3.58 xERA, while ranking in the 62nd percentile in xBA. Soriano has now allowed six or more hits in three straight outings, which includes a start against the Jays on April 22, where he surrendered seven hits to Toronto. 

Progressive Field ranks as the #9 field in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature on the slate today at 55°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.. Because of his reverse platoon split, Andrew Morris will be at an advantage being matched up with 9 batters in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today's matchup.

Will Benson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. When starting against a righty hurler this year, Will Benson has been pulled from the game early 49% of the time.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 2nd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today.. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among every team today.. In notching a .291 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Will Benson grades out in the 22nd percentile.

There’s a bit of an element of fatigue at play here, surely, with the Yankees playing their ninth game in nine days. There’s also the aspect of rebounding quickly after essentially a choke last night. And, certainly not least, there’s the aspect of Carlos Rodon making his season debut after not being exactly a picture of consistency last season. Add it up, and I make this a coin flip. I’d play the Brewers to -105.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Davis Martin.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #30 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Josh Jung will be in a tough position in today's game.. In today's game, Josh Jung is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.4% rate (99th percentile).. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.. Josh Jung has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph dropping to 82.2-mph over the last week.

Pittsburgh’s 20-hit outburst on Saturday wasn’t a fluke. The Pirates rank fourth in xwOBA over the past two weeks, posting a .339 mark while ranking third in wRC+.

That’s bad news for Tyler Mahle. He’s sporting a 4.50 BB/9 ratio, and now must work without the best pitch framer in baseball.

Tyrone Taylor is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field has the 10th-highest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Tyrone Taylor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.1% to 38.9%.

The Dodgers’ bullpen is running on fumes. L.A. starters haven’t completed five innings in each of the last three games, and twice failed to escape the second inning. That has forced 14 relievers to throw a combined 266 pitches over the last three days, prompting manager Dave Roberts to admit fresh arms may be needed for Sunday.

That’s a dangerous setup against an Atlanta lineup that appears to have rediscovered its rhythm. After a brief offensive dip following their Colorado series, the Braves erupted for seven runs on Saturday and continue to rank among MLB’s best offenses, sitting first in slugging and second in batting average.

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #7 field in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Miguel Andujar faces a tough challenge today.. Miguel Andujar's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has fallen to 89-mph in the past 7 days.

I projected this total at 9.4, would play it to 9, and I’m making this my fourth two-unit play of the year. Hanifee is likely an opener for a presumed bullpen game, but he’s already shown this season that he can go multiple innings. Either way, he’ll eventually turn things into a bullpen that isn’t the most rested. Circling back to Cameron, his pitching run value ranks in the 5th percentile, and his breaking ball sits in the 2nd.

Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.

Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.