Toronto @ Seattle Picks & Props

TOR vs SEA Picks

MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
George Springer logo George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

George Springer is trading at +500 at BetMGM to hit a home run, but I believe the fair price should be closer to +370. That presents a strong edge on a player who has consistently delivered in high-pressure postseason moments. Springer has 21 career postseason home runs — the fifth-most in MLB history — and has a track record of rising to the occasion. He’ll be facing right-hander George Kirby, whose primary pitches include a four-seam fastball, slider, and sinker. These are pitch types Springer has historically handled well. While Springer hasn’t homered off Kirby yet, he’s 3-for-8 against him with a double and a walk, suggesting he sees the ball well out of Kirby’s hand.

Total Bases
George Springer logo George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

George Springer has proven to be a good fastball hitter this season, batting .305 against the four-seamer with a .667 slug rate. However, he’s been an excellent sinker-ball hitter, with a .375 average and a .693 expected slug rate. Based on George Kirby's pitching splits this season, he should see one of those pitches in at least 60% of his bats, and there’s a good chance he clobbers it for extra bases.

Total Home Runs
Nathan Lukes logo Nathan Lukes o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Nathan Lukes is locked in. He's got multiple his in all three postseason games he's started and finished, while lefties have slugged much better vs. Kirby this season.

MoneyLine
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

The Mariners hand the ball to George Kirby for Game 3 of the ALCS. And while he's a solid starter, he's not elite and may not be a good matchup against the Blue Jays as well. Kirby pitches in the zone more than most and can give up contact. But the Blue Jays have proven they're more than happy to contact you to death. Kirby ranked in the 55th percentile in xERA and the 34th in xBA. While Toronto lead the majors in batting average vs. right-handed pitching this season. I like the Blue Jays bats to get going and think there is value with them as underdogs in Game 3.

Total Home Runs
Alejandro Kirk logo Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
George Kirby logo George Kirby o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jorge Polanco logo Jorge Polanco o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Jorge Polanco has been one of the hottest postseason hitters in baseball, with clutch performances and strong career numbers against Shane Bieber. That's enough for me to keep backing him. 

Total RBIs
Anthony Santander logo
Anthony Santander o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The weather report expects the most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, posting a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .063 disparity.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-119)
Projection 1.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°.. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber today.. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-161)
Projection 0.72 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.. In terms of his home runs, Cal Raleigh has been lucky this year. His 51.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 42.4.
Total Bases
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°.. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby today.. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.
Total Bases
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco u1.5 Total Bases (-188)
Projection 0.72 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
14% of the time that Jorge Polanco has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.. Jorge Polanco's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (13°) is quite a bit lower than his 20.6° mark last year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-173)
Projection 1.52 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather report expects the most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's game.. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last year to 16.4% this season.. Daulton Varsho has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96-mph average to last season's 91.1-mph average.
Total Bases
Josh Naylor logo
Josh Naylor u1.5 Total Bases (-191)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Out of every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays.. From last season to this one, Josh Naylor's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 93.7 mph to 90.3 mph.. Josh Naylor's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 25.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.36 ft/sec now.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-163)
Projection 1.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°.. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby today.. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Davis Schneider logo
Davis Schneider o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.17 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The weather report expects the most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Davis Schneider has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year's 93.1-mph figure.. Last year, Davis Schneider had an average launch angle of 23.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 28.6°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Andres Gimenez logo
Andres Gimenez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-153)
Projection 1.28 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors.. The weather report expects the most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's game.. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 9.2° angle last season.
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TOR vs SEA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

67% picking Toronto vs Seattle to go Over

67%
33%

Total PicksTOR 473, SEA 230

Total
Over
Under

TOR vs SEA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

Dominic Canzone
D. Canzone
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber today. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph EV.

Dominic Canzone logo

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber today. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph EV.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's game. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 9.2° angle last season.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's game. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (13.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 9.2° angle last season.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Toronto

Anthony Santander
A. Santander
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.74
Best Odds

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, posting a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .063 disparity.

Anthony Santander logo

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.74
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.74

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, posting a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .063 disparity.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Seattle

Victor Robles
V. Robles
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Victor Robles will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Placing in the 85th percentile, Victor Robles has posted a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Victor Robles logo

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Robles in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Victor Robles will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Placing in the 85th percentile, Victor Robles has posted a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.85
Best Odds

Nathan Lukes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Nathan Lukes has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nathan Lukes logo

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.85
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.85

Nathan Lukes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Nathan Lukes has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.403) provides evidence that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.403) provides evidence that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his .366 actual wOBA.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.89
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Alejandro Kirk has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.89
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.89

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Alejandro Kirk has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.5-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. With a .281 batting average this year, Ernie Clement is positioned in the 88th percentile.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. With a .281 batting average this year, Ernie Clement is positioned in the 88th percentile.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.92
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.92

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Julio Rodriguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

Daulton Varsho
D. Varsho
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.69
Best Odds

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last year to 16.4% this season. Daulton Varsho has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96-mph average to last season's 91.1-mph average.

Daulton Varsho logo

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.69
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.69

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Daulton Varsho has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last year to 16.4% this season. Daulton Varsho has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96-mph average to last season's 91.1-mph average.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Shane Bieber. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Shane Bieber. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (44.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.93
Best Odds

George Springer projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. George Springer has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last year to 16.7% this year.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.93
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.93

George Springer projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the majors. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. George Springer has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9.3% rate last year to 16.7% this year.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Addison Barger ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby today. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Addison Barger ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby today. Addison Barger pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. In comparison to his 88.1-mph average last year, Addison Barger's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Seattle

Josh Naylor
J. Naylor
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today's matchup. Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Naylor logo

Josh Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Bieber throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today's matchup. Josh Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Eugenio Suarez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Eugenio Suarez
E. Suarez
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.65
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. This season, Eugenio Suarez has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95 mph compared to last year's 92.6 mph mark.

Eugenio Suarez logo

Eugenio Suarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.65
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.65

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. This season, Eugenio Suarez has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95 mph compared to last year's 92.6 mph mark.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.71
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will get to bat from his good side against Shane Bieber in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.71
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.71

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will get to bat from his good side against Shane Bieber in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

Davis Schneider
D. Schneider
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.53
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Davis Schneider has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year's 93.1-mph figure. Last year, Davis Schneider had an average launch angle of 23.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 28.6°.

Davis Schneider logo

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.53
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.53

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather forecast for this matchup calls for the lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 59°. Davis Schneider pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Davis Schneider has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last year's 93.1-mph figure. Last year, Davis Schneider had an average launch angle of 23.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 28.6°.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
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Seattle Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 PaPe454 6-4-0 +19444
2 dotlife162 9-1-0 +19315
3 Roundrobinking 6-4-0 +17515
4 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +15505
5 KingScorpio 3-7-0 +15095
6 regger22 6-4-0 +13250
7 jr5601 4-5-1 +12525
8 adon131 5-5-0 +12520
9 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +11975
10 fragma8023 6-4-0 +11743
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