Full-slate Friday is filled with a ton of exciting matchups, with plenty of players set up for success, with others facing much tougher spots.
Check out my favorite MLB picks for Friday, July 10.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Tanner Gordon |
Over 2.5 earned runs | -121 |
 Munetaka Murakami |
Over 1.5 total bases | +132 |
 Kyle Schwarber |
Over 1.5 total bases | +104 |
Tanner Gordon Over 2.5 earned runs (-121)
Waking up this morning and seeing Tanner Gordon set to face NINE elite rated San Francisco Giants bats this evening nearly forced me to write about it.
It does not end there, as San Francisco also has three hitters with strong ratings, meaning whoever is in the starting lineup should have a great matchup against the Colorado Rockies starter.
The Giants have been dominating at the dish over the past week, owning a .360 wOBA, 136 wRC+, and an .822 OPS while generating a 10.3% barrel rate over their last six games.
Meanwhile, Gordon has been a complete mess in his last five outings, posting an 8.14 ERA, 5.35 xERA, and a 1.81 WHIP.
With the amount of Giants hitters in a great spot on Batters-Box, I have to back San Francisco in this spot.
- Time: 10:X15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Rockies.TV, NBCSBA
Munetaka Murakami Over 1.5 total bases (+132)
I am a firm believer that Chicago White Sox star first baseman Munetaka Murakami is going to come back with a bang.
Entering today with the second-highest matchup rating, Murakami has already shown some of the strongest trends on Batters-Box through nearly 30 games. He surpasses 2+ bases 51.72% of the time while also hitting a home run 41.38% of the time. Not to mention, he owns a 64.3% arsenal coverage rate against Aaron Civale.
The Athletics right hander has been getting crushed by left handed bats all season long, allowing a 43.8% hard hit rate, 8.9% barrel rate, and 71.9% elevation rate. Those left-handed hitters are also posting a .486 xSLG and .346 xwOBA against Civale this season.
We are getting a great price here. If I had to, I would take this down to +120, or simply look at the home run market for a little extra #FUN.
- Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CHSN, NBCSCA
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 total bases (+104)
I have been on Philadelphia Phillies slugger Kyle Schwarber all week long, and he is in yet another spot where I think he is due to boom, as he draws Detroit Tigers right-hander Jack Flaherty.
Schwarber owns over 70% arsenal coverage against Flaherty's pitch mix. Plus, over his last 60 plate appearances against right handed pitching, he has generated a 70% hard hit rate, a .321 ISO, and an 18.1% barrel rate.
Meanwhile, Flaherty has allowed lefties to feast all season. Left-handed hitters are producing a 46.7% hard-hit rate, a 9.2% barrel rate, and nearly a 70% elevation rate against him.
Knowing how much hard contact Schwarber can generate, this feels like another great spot for him.
Do not pay juice for his total bases prop. If the price gets too high, pivot to his home run or double prop instead.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: DSN, NBCSP
- Prop picks: 287-535, -13.7 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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