The Toronto Blue Jays open a weekend series looking to keep their bats warm against the San Diego Padres and left-hander JP Sears.
Ernie Clement has become a near-automatic source of offense and headlines a card built around Toronto's edge against southpaws, with Shane Bieber taking the ball for the Blue Jays.
Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Padres predictions and MLB picks for Friday, July 10.
Blue Jays vs Padres predictions
Blue Jays vs Padres best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases (+115)
We're starting to talk about Ernie Clement as a hit-per-day guy. He's gone under this prop in three of his last four games, but he has recorded a hit in four straight and carries strong career numbers against Padres starter JP Sears.
The Toronto Blue Jays infielder is 3-for-8 lifetime against Sears without striking out. Clement is a contact machine who has cemented his place atop Toronto's order, and I'm backing him to spark the offense as the Jays carry their San Francisco momentum into San Diego.
I'd play this bet down to even money.
COVERS INTEL: Clement is batting .287 with a team-leading 27 hits against left-handed pitchers this year, with nine going for extra bases. That's exactly the matchup he draws against Sears.
Blue Jays vs Padres same-game parlay (SGP)
Neither Shane Bieber nor JP Sears has been sharp lately, so I'm riding Over 8 total runs in what should be a hittable pitching matchup.
I'll pair that with the Toronto Blue Jays moneyline at plus money. The Jays are 7-2 on the road against left-handed starters this year, while the market appears overly concerned by Bieber's tiny sample.
Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 total bases rounds out the parlay, as Toronto's top power bat draws a favorable matchup against a homer-prone southpaw.
Blue Jays vs Padres SGP (+475)
- Toronto Blue Jays moneyline
- Over 8
- Kazuma Okamoto Over 1.5 total bases
Blue Jays vs Padres home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+240)
I won't go so far as to say you should always bet Kazuma Okamoto's home run prop, but the Blue Jays rookie has been a power beast lately. He's homered in two of his last three games, including a grand slam in Wednesday's finale against the Giants, and leads Toronto with a .474 slugging percentage against left-handers.
That makes Okamoto a strong bet to go yard against Sears, who carries an inflated 6.05 FIP and has allowed 2.3 home runs per nine innings. I like the prop at +240, but I wouldn't play it below +230 and would keep the wager to a quarter unit.
- Best bets: 6-1, +4.48 units
- SGPs: 2-6, +0.19 units
- HR picks: 1-7, -0.63 units
Blue Jays vs Padres odds
- Moneyline: Toronto +105 | San Diego -125
- Run line: Toronto -1.5 (+160) | San Diego +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under: 8 (Over -120 | Under +100)
Blue Jays vs Padres trend
The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-2 on the road against left-handed starters this season, a strong backdrop with JP Sears on the mound. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Padres.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Padres and game info
| Location | Petco Park, San Diego, CA |
| Date | Friday, July 10, 2026 |
| First pitch | 9:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet, Padres.TV, TVA Sports |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Shane Bieber (0-1, 9.00 ERA) |
| Padres starting pitcher | JP Sears (2-1, 4.70 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs Padres latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Padres weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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