MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jake Mangum logo
Jake Mangum o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Mangum has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best field in the majors for lefty base hits.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the slate.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best field in the majors for lefty base hits.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 83°.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and even more favorably, Singer has a huge platoon split.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jun 28 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Colton Cowser ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #8 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Colton Cowser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell today.. Colton Cowser has big-time power (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (31.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zack Littell doesn't generate many whiffs (8th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP ability.. James Wood is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humidity of the day (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Bradish in today's matchup.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Jun 28 • 1:37 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball are found in Rogers Centre.. Wyatt Langford has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #4 park in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Hunter Brown gives Houston a massive starting pitching advantage over Casey Mize, who allows way too much contact. Detroit is striking out a lot lately, and Houston’s bullpen has the pinpoint control and elite swing-and-miss stuff to easily protect this very reasonable price.

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.26
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is forecasted to have the 12th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today's matchup.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Cleveland's hitters are in an absolute funk right now, striking out a ton and barely scoring runs. George Kirby throws elite strikes, which will completely frustrate them. If he hands the lead over, Seattle’s bullpen is currently the absolute best, most untouchable unit in baseball.

Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best park in the majors for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 85%.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+173)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #3 park in the league for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.. In the past 7 days, Nolan Arenado's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 12.5%.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jun 28 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

The Mets are scraping by with an undecided pitching plan, while Philadelphia is throwing a solid starter in Jesus Luzardo. More importantly, the Phillies' bullpen is completely locked in right now, walking almost nobody and making it incredibly tough for the Mets late.

Total Bases
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 82°.. Bryson Stott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Bryson Stott has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph mark.. In the past two weeks, Bryson Stott's 21.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+217)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as MLB's 14th-best home run batter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #7 stadium in the game for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Luinder Avila in today's game.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.13
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Kody Clemens ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for lefty BABIP.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Kody Clemens will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner today.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Jun 28 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.. Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.. In the past two weeks, Andrew Vaughn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 91.2 mph to 84.3 mph.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andrew Vaughn's true offensive talent to be a .333, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .074 deviation between that figure and his actual .407 wOBA.
Total Hits
William Contreras logo
William Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+199)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for hurlers.. Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Jun 28 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+154)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Jun 28 • 3:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Athletics.
Total Bases
Denzer Guzman logo
Denzer Guzman o1.5 Total Bases (+144)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Denzer Guzman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Athletics.. Denzer Guzman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jun 28 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 50 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Eldridge is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Bryce Eldridge will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game.. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today.
Total Bases
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Michael Harris II is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of every team on the slate today.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Sun, Jun 28 • 4:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 15th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league.. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Dalton Rushing logo
Dalton Rushing o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.28
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Dalton Rushing ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. Dalton Rushing will hold the platoon advantage over Michael King in today's game.. Dalton Rushing has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph to 92-mph over the past 14 days.. Dalton Rushing's launch angle of late (48° in the past week) is significantly higher than his 18° seasonal angle.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Jun 28 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger logo
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Sonny Gray in today's game.. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 6 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 16 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 9 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.