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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 22, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.43 |
-104 
|
o6.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +175
|
|
4.05 |
-104
|
u6.5 +102 
|
+1.5 -185
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Weathers' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Top Projection
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+245)
o0.5+245
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.91 |
+150
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
5.01 |
-155 
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +135
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
o1.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.58 |
+170
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.45 |
-175 
|
u11.5 -529
|
-1.5 +130
|
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Marlins last 9 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+137
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.99 |
-144
|
u9.0 -114
|
-1.5 +150
|
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Painters last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+150
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.89 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +130 
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Johnsons last 4 starts on grass.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Bradfords last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-0 in Bradfords last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 9-0 in Bradfords last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Moises Ballesteros o0.5 Total RBIs (+266)
o0.5+266
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
-122
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.31 |
+116 
|
u8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -145
|
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Youngs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.96 |
+105
|
o8.0 -120
|
+1.5 -215
|
|
4.88 |
-109
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +175
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 6-0 in Scotts last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.31 |
+220
|
o7.5 -120
|
+3.5 -245
|
|
4.62 |
-230
|
u8.0 -114
|
-3.5 +195
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0-1 in last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Over is 8-0 in Astros last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
o0.5+305
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.69 |
+240
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
5.18 |
-250
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 -110
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Jones' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+174)
o1.5+174
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.87 |
+100
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.67 |
-102
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -170
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+105
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -220 
|
|
4.20 |
-112
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts on grass.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Seattle
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.59 |
+190
|
o7.5 -130
|
+1.5 -120
|
|
5.20 |
-198
|
u8.5 -135
|
-1.5 +110
|
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. National League West.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 games following a win.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
+155
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.05 |
-160
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+227)
o0.5+227
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.90 |
-134
|
o7.5 -481
|
-1.5 +110
|
|
5.14 |
+130
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 -120
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Bibees last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
+126
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.70 |
-134
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.59 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.04 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.14 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 on grass.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Orioles last 9 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.78 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.20 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 overall.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
Miami
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Marlins last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2 in last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Mets are 6-0 in McLeans last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McLeans last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Valdezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.21 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Angels last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Quantrills last 4 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.73 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Rockies are 6-1 in Suganos last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.04 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 vs. National League West.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 on grass.
- Under is 7-2 in Pirates last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Twins last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Reds are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 overall.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League Central.
Predicted Score
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Run Line |
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Atlanta
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 9-1 in Braves last 10 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East.
- Brewers are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
TOR
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 22 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+442)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Alejandro Kirk is not usually a huge power bat, but his recent contact profile is worth chasing. The Blue Jays catcher has two homers in his last six games, a .304 ISO, and a 50% hard-hit rate, with a vulnerable Yankees bullpen waiting behind Ryan Weathers.
Earned Runs Allowed
Dylan Cease u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+102)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Dylan Cease has a strong earned-runs angle despite recent vulnerability, owning a 1.81 xERA over the last month. He has stayed under this number in three of five outings and faces a Yankees lineup with a 78 wRC+ over its last six games, plus poor history against him today.
ATL
@
MIL
Sat, Aug 22 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jackson Chourio has a strong profile against left-handed pitching. He owns a .305 average, .891 OPS, and his batted ball numbers are very good.
Chourio sits in the 82nd percentile in xSLG, as well as the 88th percentile in both hard hit rate and barrels. He is consistently making powerful contact.
I’d play Chourio to +415.
Total
u7.5 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Six different Atlanta Braves own xwOBAs of .300 or worse against Logan Henderson’s pitch mix over the last 30 games.
Martin Perez is an elite home run suppressor, on pace to give up fewer than one HR/9 for the second consecutive year.
His ability to limit raw power – even when not at his best – should help keep the Milwaukee Brewers to a manageable number.
Bet the Under to -112.
WAS
@
MIA
Sat, Aug 22 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Griffin Conine u0.5 Total Hits (+144)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #8 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. In today's matchup, Griffin Conine is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (83rd percentile).. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.
Total RBIs
Esteury Ruiz o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Esteury Ruiz will hold that advantage today.. Esteury Ruiz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.2-mph.. Placing in the 90th percentile, Esteury Ruiz has notched a .360 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.. Sporting a .316 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Esteury Ruiz grades out in the 86th percentile.
STL
@
PHI
Sat, Aug 22 • 6:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+442)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Jordan Walker is locked in, going deep in three straight games with four homers in his last eight contests. His .471 ISO, 22.2% barrel rate, and 55.6% fly-ball rate all jump off the page, while Andrew Painter’s recent homer issues give Walker a clear power path.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+104)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Jordan Walker is scorching right now, with four homers, a .471 ISO, and five total-bases Overs in his last eight games. His 55.6% hard-hit rate and 22.2% barrel rate support the surge, while Andrew Painter’s 6.08 recent FIP gives Walker a vulnerable matchup to attack for another multi-base performance tonight.
LAA
@
TEX
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Evan Carter o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Johnson throws from, Evan Carter will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage today.. Evan Carter's launch angle this year (17.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.1° angle last year.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Johnson today.. Among every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.
TB
@
BAL
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Pete Alonso’s power is coming alive, with four homers in his last seven appearances and a massive .481 ISO. He has already homered off Shane McClanahan, but the cleaner route may come against a Rays bullpen that has allowed 1.59 HR/9 over the last week.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today at 84%.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage today.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this year (26.5°) is considerably better than his 23.3° angle last season.
NYM
@
CHW
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CHW (-116)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
The White Sox offense has been scorching, posting a slate-best .341 wOBA alongside a .291 BABIP to outpace the Mets (.321 wOBA, .285 BABIP). With Chicago’s bullpen also holding a clear SIERA advantage (4.00 vs. 4.35), the White Sox are primed to take this basically coin-flip contest.
Total Bases
A.J. Ewing o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.. A.J. Ewing is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Given Luis Castillo's large platoon split, A.J. Ewing will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. A.J. Ewing has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
ATH
@
HOU
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+299)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Zack Gelof is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Minute Maid Park's LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. Over the last 14 days, Zack Gelof has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.7% to 23.8%.. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 12.5% on the season to 33.3% over the past two weeks.
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+277)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Brown in today's matchup.. Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. In the past week, Lawrence Butler's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 13.3%.. Compared to his seasonal average of 7°, Lawrence Butler has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22° mark in the last 14 days.
PIT
@
LAD
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 15th-best batter in baseball when estimating his batting average ability.. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 field in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 field in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.
DET
@
KC
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (+100)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Detroit features a significant late-inning bullpen edge with a 3.81 SIERA compared to Kansas City’s struggling 4.90 mark. While the Royals maintain slightly higher contact metrics (.316 wOBA, .288 BABIP vs. Detroit’s .298, .281), the Tigers’ massive relief pitching advantage will tilt the final frames.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 85°.
CHC
@
SEA
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Seiya Suzuki possesses real pop against southpaws. He ranks in the 89th percentile in xSLG, the 91st percentile in ISO, and the 93rd in xwOBA.
His OPS vs. lefties sits at 1.100 since July 1, putting him in the same range as NL MVP favorite Pete Crow-Armstrong.
Bet to +350.
Total
u7.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
David Peterson’s ERA sits at 5.26 this season but drops to 4.0 in ‘pitcher-friendly’ conditions, and that’ll be the case in Seattle tonight.
It’ll be tough to fully neutralize a strong Chicago Cubs offense but Kade Anderson should be able to prevent a ceiling performance. Their Achilles heel the last 30 days is a 25.3 K%, and Anderson possesses high-end strikeout upside.
I envision a 4-2 type of game in the cards, and see value in the Under to -120.
SF
@
BOS
Sat, Aug 22 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-126)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 7.5 is mainly a Boston offense angle. Both bullpens are in good form, but Tidwell’s command issues give the Red Sox a chance to score early. Sandoval is not untouchable either, so San Francisco only needs to contribute a bit.
Spread
BOS -1.5 (+105)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Boston has the cleaner side behind Patrick Sandoval’s improving profile and a lineup that is raking. Sandoval owns a 2.88 FIP over his last two outings, while San Francisco struggles against lefties. Blake Tidwell’s walks and recent xERA issues give the Red Sox a strong offensive path.
CIN
@
AZ
Sat, Aug 22 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Kepler u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Max Kepler is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, the 10th-highest average fence height are at Chase Field.. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.
CLE
@
COL
Sat, Aug 22 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (-124)
Projection 2.1
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.
Total RBIs
Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+133)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 81°.
MIN
@
SD
Sat, Aug 22 • 8:40 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Casey Mize u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-151)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Casey Mize has settled in nicely with San Diego, holding opponents under 2.5 earned runs in two straight starts with a 3.42 FIP. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, and Minnesota’s 91 wRC+ recent form gives him a clean matchup tonight.
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #5 field in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. In the last 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 90.1 mph to 87.2 mph.. There has been a significant decline in Jake Cronenworth's launch angle from last season's 14.5° to 9.4° this season.. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 41.8% on the season to 34.4% in the last 14 days.. Jake Cronenworth has performed at a clip of 11.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
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