MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 1, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.97 @ 4.88

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Padres vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.97

-134

o9.5 -105

-1.5 +120

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.88

+125

u9.5 -110

+1.5 -135

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.08 @ 4.73

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Giants vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.08

+147

o7.5 +100

+1.5 -159

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.73

-157

u7.5 -105

-1.5 +142

Toronto @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.10 @ 4.91

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Blue Jays vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.10

+163

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -140

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.91

-175

u8.0 -115

-1.5 +126

Top Projection Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
o0.5+218
NY Mets @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.74 @ 4.52

TB
TB logo
TB

Mets vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.74

+116

o7.5 -109

+1.5 -195

TB logo
TB
TB

4.52

-124

u8.0 -110

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Atlanta @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.76 @ 4.75

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Braves vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.76

-167

o9.5 -120

-1.5 -107

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.75

+158

u10.0 -110

+1.5 -105

Top Projection Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
o0.5+203
Seattle @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.56 @ 4.59

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Mariners vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.56

+111

o7.0 +105

+1.5 -200

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.59

-118

u7.5 -122

-1.5 +175

Top Projection Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Miami @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Detroit @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

5.08 @ 4.66

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Tigers vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

5.08

+100

o8.0 -150

+1.5 -235

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.66

+105

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +188

Milwaukee @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Miguel Amaya u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Athletics @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.21 @ 4.26

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Athletics vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.21

+195

o7.0 -143

+3.5 -360

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.26

-185

u7.5 -110

-3.5 +270

Top Projection Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
o0.5+305
Chi. White Sox @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.58 @ 4.48

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

White Sox vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.58

-104

o8.5 -105

-1.5 +152

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.48

+100

u8.5 -110

+1.5 -170

Top Projection Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
u1.5-170
Baltimore @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

6.48 @ 5.57

COL
COL logo
COL

Orioles vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

6.48

-136

o11.0 -115

-1.5 +105

COL logo
COL
COL

5.57

+130

u11.5 -120

+1.5 -115

Top Projection Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
o1.5+190
NY Yankees @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.44 @ 3.69

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Yankees vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.44

-180

o7.5 -105

-1.5 +100

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.69

+168

u7.5 -105

+1.5 -110

Top Projection Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+225
Philadelphia @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.91 @ 4.04

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Phillies vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

4.91

-129

o7.5 -110

-1.5 +126

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.04

+120

u7.5 -105

+1.5 -145

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
o0.5+197
St. Louis @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

4.67 @ 5.31

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Cardinals vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

4.67

+173

o8.5 -120

+1.5 -125

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.31

-180

u9.0 -120

-1.5 +120

Top Projection Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
o1.5+125
San Diego @ Cincinnati
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

5.49 @ 4.72

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Padres vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

5.49

--

--

--

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.72

--

--

--

Atlanta @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.45 @ 4.61

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Braves vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.45

--

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.61

--

--

--

Athletics @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.54 @ 4.31

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Athletics vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.54

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.31

--

--

--

Baltimore @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

7.22 @ 5.52

COL
COL logo
COL

Orioles vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

7.22

--

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

5.52

--

--

--

Philadelphia @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.35 @ 4.85

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Phillies vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.35

--

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.85

--

--

--

Seattle @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.13 @ 4.66

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Mariners vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.13

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.66

--

--

--

Toronto @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.64 @ 4.22

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Blue Jays vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.64

--

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.22

--

--

--

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.31 @ 4.91

PIT
PIT logo
PIT

Giants vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.31

--

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.91

--

--

--

NY Mets @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.20 @ 4.62

TB
TB logo
TB

Mets vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.20

--

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

4.62

--

--

--

Detroit @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.78 @ 4.47

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Tigers vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.78

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.47

--

--

--

San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+313)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Nick Lodolo is a perfect dinger target today. He's allowed six homers across 16+ innings since returning from the IL as he adjusts to a new curveball grip because of a recurring blister issue. His 3.31 HR/9 in August is the fifth-worst mark among starters for the month, and his 8.29 xERA might be a sign that he hasn't simply been unlucky of late. Fernando Tatis Jr. is the best right-handed hitter in this San Diego lineup and gets the advantage of a great HR park with temperatures reaching 91 degrees today. The Padres outfielder has a .961 OPS against lefties, while his .588 slugging percentage against them ranks among the Top 10 marks in baseball this year. I'll play this to 27% tonight and think the Padres can stack some runs in a great setting against a pitcher struggling to find his game after the blister issue.

Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #4 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 92°.. Tyler Stephenson has big-time HR ability (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Randy Vásquez struggles to strike batters out (18th percentile K%) — great news for Stephenson.
View 11 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #5 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Logan Webb today.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

When Williams misses his spots, he gets hit hard, as evidenced by his astronomical 47.6% hard-hit rate this season. He's coughed up six homers across his last four starts, and Okamoto is in a prime spot to capitalize on a mistake tonight. The rookie has hit 20 of his 28 bombs against righties, and has already logged one against Williams this year. Let's ride this play with confidence at this price.

Hits+Runs+RBIs
George Springer logo George Springer o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Not only has George Springer cashed this play in four straight games, but he's also one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now, carrying a .858 OPS in August into the new month. Since the All-Star break, Springer is slashing .323/.381/.511 and enters today with a plus matchup against Cleveland Guardians starter Gavin Williams. Across nine at-bats, Springer has recorded four hits and a double, and is rocking a .433 wOBA. 

View 13 Picks
New York Mets logo NYM @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, Sep 1 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the best venue in baseball for lefty home runs.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today.. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 14.2% to 18%.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Yandy Diaz will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, Sep 1 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, CJ Abrams will have an edge in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for home runs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 89°.. Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Compared to last year, Dylan Crews has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.1% to 20% this season.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Sep 1 • 6:45 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Roman Anthony logo Roman Anthony o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Roman Anthony has been crushing the baseball since returning from injury, with four of his last eight batted balls leaving the bat at over 101 mph. The Boston Red Sox slugger draws Seattle Mariners right-hander Bryan Woo, who has struggled on the road against left-handed hitters. Woo is allowing a 46% hard-hit rate and a 66.4% elevation rate in that split, while hitters have posted nearly a 70% hard-hit rate, a 13.6% barrel rate and a 72.7% elevation rate over his last 30 batters faced. With Anthony covering nearly 90% of Woo’s pitch mix, tonight sets up well.

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-132)
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Red Sox have yet to announce their starter, but that does not matter with Bryan Woo taking the mound for Seattle. Woo has struggled mightily away from home, sporting a sub-6.00 ERA and 1.36 WHIP while allowing a hard-hit rate over 46%. Meanwhile, Seattle’s offense remains ice cold, posting a 57 wRC+, .246 wOBA, 30.6% strikeout rate, .534 OPS and .119 ISO over its last six games. Boston’s recent numbers are not much better, but over its last 12 games, the Red Sox have a sub-19% strikeout rate, .731 OPS, 104 wRC+ and .326 wOBA. The Red Sox are the play.

View 14 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals logo KC (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Kansas City has won eight of its last 10, and I’ll back that momentum behind Randy Dobnak. The right-hander owns a 1.92 ERA through 51 2/3 innings and has been one of baseball’s most effective starters since early July. At essentially a pick’em price at home, KC gets my money.

Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez logo
Heriberto Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Heriberto Hernandez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 11 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kody Clemens logo Kody Clemens o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Kody Clemens has a strong power case after homering Monday and posting a 60% hard-hit rate, 13.3% barrel rate, and 66.7% fly-ball rate over the last week. Melton’s long-ball issues and Detroit’s bullpen air-contact profile give him multiple paths to another blast.

Total
Detroit Tigers logo Minnesota Twins logo u8.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 8.5 fits because Detroit is offering almost no run support, scoring just nine runs over its last six games. Minnesota’s bullpen is limiting damage, and Detroit’s relief corps has avoided major homer trouble lately, forcing the Twins to carry most of the Over burden.

View 13 Picks
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Sep 1 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio logo Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Chourio is heating up at the dish with three homers during his active five-game hitting streak, and he sports a rock-solid .198 ISO against lefties. This should also prove to be a favorable matchup with Chicago southpaw Matthew Boyd allowing 14 of his 15 long flies to right-handed hitters alongside a .196 ISO.

Total
Milwaukee Brewers logo Chicago Cubs logo o10.5 (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Both Milwaukee starter Robert Gasser (4.52 xERA on the road), and Chicago veteran Matthew Boyd (5.50 xERA at home) have a tall task ahead tonight. The weather forecast calls for ideal hitting conditions, and the Cubs pace the majors in xwOBA while averaging 7.5 runs per game over the past two weeks, while the Brewers check in ranking third with 6.0 runs per game.

View 14 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Sep 1 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jake Burger logo Jake Burger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Jake Burger has piled up five extra base hits over his last seven games, and has hit for plenty of power dating back further.

He leads the Texas Rangers with a .341 ISO and 18.8% barrel rate over the last 20 games, and should get plenty of pitches to hit against a struggling Athletics bullpen.

Total
Athletics Athletics logo Texas Rangers logo o7.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Texas Rangers have played 28 home games against below .500 teams who were starting, or opening with, a pitcher whose ERA sits above 4.0. They’ve gone 19-8-1 to the Over.

With Athletics relievers bleeding baserunners, the Rangers should have plenty of traffic on the basepaths throughout and are in a good spot to do the heavy lifting.

Play to 52%.

View 13 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Sep 1 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Colson Montgomery logo Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

This might not be the only White Sox batter on my home run card. Ronel Blanco is back in the Big Leagues, and among pitchers with at least 20 innings this season, he owns the fifth-worst HR/9 at 2.7 and the 11th-worst HR/FB rate at 23.3%. He also gave up 10 runs and three dingers in his last Triple-A start. He's in perfect dinger form. I'm skipping Tristan Peters because of the pinch-hit risk and Munetaka Murakami because of his recent form, and taking Colson Montgomery at a price well above three dollars. He sits one homer shy of 30 and went deep last night against the Houston bullpen, which is also missing four arms today. Montgomery's power numbers over the last two weeks rank behind only Peters, who has been on a mission. Ultimately, getting a 30-homer guy in the best home run matchup on the board at this price is value town. I have the fair probability around 24-25%.

Moneyline
Chicago White Sox logo CHW (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

There's a lot to unpack here, and a lot of it comes down to having no interest in the Astros today. First, the starting pitching matchup is much further apart than this line suggests. Ronel Blanco is not an MLB-caliber starter and just gave up 10 runs while recording only seven outs in his last Triple-A start. He currently owns the fourth-worst ERA in baseball among pitchers with at least 20 innings, along with the fifth-worst HR/9. Making matters worse for Blanco, the Houston bullpen is taxed. The Astros are down four arms today, including high-leverage relievers Bryan Abreu and Steven Okert. The White Sox, meanwhile, had a Top-7 bullpen last month and have all but one arm available. Finally, per Kevin Roth, a tropical storm is heading toward Houston today. I would think that situation could weigh more heavily on the home team, with roots and families in the area, than the visiting club. I have Chicago as a 57% favorite today.

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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Sep 1 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the game's 13th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.08
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last season's 94.3-mph mark.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Sep 1 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Mike Trout will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Mike Trout will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, Sep 1 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Arizona Diamondbacks logo u7.5 (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

We have a pair of aces coming off their best starts of the season against two offenses in the bottom 12 for wRC+. Smells like an Under to me. While Jesus Luzardo is coming off a seven-inning shutout, Eduardo Rodriguez has thrown 12 2/3 straight scoreless innings. Both thrive in this specific matchup, too, with Luzardo limiting this DBacks offense to a .293 xwOBA, and the Phillies owning just a .230 xBA against Rodriguez. Worried about Kyle Schwarber here? He's hitless in eight at-bats against Rodriguez, striking out four times. Don't overthink this one.

Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ (+119)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Jesús Luzardo is one of the toughest starting pitchers in the National League, and he features a nasty sweeper that carries a +20 run value and a 47.9% whiff rate this season. That being said, Luzardo's sweeper is an absolute weapon against left-handed hitters, but it loses some of its effectiveness against right-handed bats. The Arizona Diamondbacks are likely to feature a lineup with Corbin Carroll as their only left-handed hitter, limiting the impact of Luzardo's best weapon. On the other side, the Phillies' two most dangerous hitters, Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, don't have an advantageous matchup either. They'll face lefty Eduardo Rodriguez, who can fade his changeup away from the barrels of their bats. The Diamondbacks are trading at 45% on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 49% underdog, which is why I'm hitting the button.

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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Tue, Sep 1 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
St. Louis Cardinals logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u8.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 8.5 fits because neither lineup is in great shape, with Los Angeles posting an 88 wRC+ and .084 ISO over the last week. St. Louis’ bullpen has been excellent lately, and the Dodgers’ relief corps is stable enough behind Lauer.

Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-168)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Los Angeles has the cleaner full-game profile despite Eric Lauer’s recent volatility. Michael McGreevy is struggling with command and homer issues, while the Cardinals carry a 77 wRC+ lately. The Dodgers’ offense is not firing, but its home profile gives it enough edge tonight.

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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.