MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 29, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.61 @ 4.39

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Red Sox vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.61

+110

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -201

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.39

-114

u8.5 -139

-1.5 +175

LA Dodgers @ Detroit
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+283)
o0.5+283
Chi. White Sox @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.15 @ 4.61

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

White Sox vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.15

+110

o9.0 -112

+1.5 -190

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.61

-114

u9.5 -120

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5+155
Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.37 @ 4.38

STL
STL logo
STL

Pirates vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.37

+111

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -200

STL logo
STL
STL

4.38

-118

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Cincinnati @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.62 @ 5.20

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Reds vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.62

+175

o8.5 -127

+1.5 -125

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

5.20

-180

u9.5 -120

-1.5 +116

Seattle @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.42 @ 4.11

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Mariners vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.42

+102

o7.5 -108

+3.5 -649

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.11

-108

u8.5 -160

-3.5 +400

Top Projection Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+198)
o0.5+198
Miami @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.25 @ 4.37

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Marlins vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.25

-102

o7.5 -115

-1.5 +170

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.37

-104

u8.0 -114

+1.5 -180

Top Projection Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
o0.5+203
Colorado @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.49 @ 5.37

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Rockies vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.49

+201

o8.5 -130

+1.5 -105

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.37

-210

u9.5 -135

-1.5 -105

Top Projection Martin Perez o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+500)
o4.5+121
Kansas City @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

4.30 @ 4.56

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Royals vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

4.30

+138

o7.5 -120

+2.5 -265

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.56

-142

u8.0 -110

-2.5 +205

Top Projection Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total Home Runs (+950)
o0.5+950
San Diego @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.70 @ 4.54

TB
TB logo
TB

Padres vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.70

+119

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -188

TB logo
TB
TB

4.54

-125

u8.0 +100

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
o0.5+187
Houston @ NY Mets
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.21 @ 4.62

NYM
NYM logo
NYM

Astros vs Mets · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.21

+125

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -170

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.62

-128

u8.0 -110

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+249)
o0.5+249
Texas @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.31 @ 4.49

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Rangers vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.31

+147

o8.0 -115

+3.0 -500

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.49

-155

u11.0 -500

-3.0 +290

Boston @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.06 @ 4.85

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Red Sox vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.06

+118

o7.5 -110

+1.5 -180

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.85

-124

u7.5 +100

-1.5 +170

Arizona @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.54 @ 3.66

SF
SF logo
SF

Diamondbacks vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.54

-115

o7.5 -105

-1.5 +150

SF logo
SF
SF

3.66

+111

u7.5 -105

+1.5 -160

Baltimore @ Athletics
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

6.08 @ 4.91

ATH
ATH logo
ATH

Orioles vs Athletics · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

6.08

-136

o9.5 -110

-1.5 +115

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.91

+131

u10.0 -123

+1.5 -125

Top Projection Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Philadelphia @ LA Angels
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.35 @ 3.06

LAA
LAA logo
LAA

Phillies vs Angels · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.35

-220

o7.5 -120

-1.5 -125

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.06

+212

u8.0 -110

+1.5 +118

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+152)
o0.5+152
Miami @ Washington
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.24 @ 4.35

WAS
WAS logo
WAS

Marlins vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.24

--

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.35

--

--

--

Colorado @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

COL logo
COL
COL

4.24 @ 5.15

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Rockies vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

4.24

--

--

--

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.15

--

--

--

Boston @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.74 @ 4.32

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Red Sox vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.74

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.32

--

--

--

Seattle @ Toronto
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.32 @ 4.12

TOR
TOR logo
TOR

Mariners vs Blue Jays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

5.32

--

--

--

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.12

--

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Detroit
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.29 @ 4.09

DET
DET logo
DET

Dodgers vs Tigers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

4.29

--

--

--

DET logo
DET
DET

4.09

--

--

--

San Diego @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

4.03 @ 4.33

TB
TB logo
TB

Padres vs Rays · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

4.03

--

--

--

TB logo
TB
TB

4.33

--

--

--

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

KC logo
KC
KC

3.83 @ 4.88

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Royals vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

KC logo
KC
KC

3.83

--

--

--

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

4.88

--

--

--

Texas @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.84 @ 5.08

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Rangers vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.84

--

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

5.08

--

--

--

Chi. White Sox @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.16 @ 4.85

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

White Sox vs Twins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

5.16

--

--

--

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.85

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.60 @ 4.03

STL
STL logo
STL

Pirates vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.60

--

--

--

STL logo
STL
STL

4.03

--

--

--

Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sat, Aug 29 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Max Muncy logo Max Muncy o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Max Muncy’s power against right-handed pitching and Keider Montero’s vulnerability to left-handed hitters make him an appealing home run target.

Total
Los Angeles Dodgers logo Detroit Tigers logo u7.5 (-121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

Snell’s dominance and Keider Montero’s ability to limit damage set up another low-scoring matchup at Comerica Park.

View 13 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sat, Aug 29 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-most humid conditions of the day at 82%.. Munetaka Murakami will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober today.
Total RBIs
Jake Rogers logo
Jake Rogers o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.44
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-most humid conditions of the day at 82%.. Jake Rogers has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Ober has a pitch-to-contact profile (14th percentile K%) — great news for Rogers.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams in action today.
View 10 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sat, Aug 29 • 2:15 PM ET
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

I like the Cardinals here. Pittsburgh's pitching depth is fine, but their lineup has been historically bad lately, posting the league's worst wRC+. Hard to score zero runs and win baseball games. Feels like a fair number for St. Louis, maybe even a little light.

Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 85°.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Leahy.
View 11 Picks
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sat, Aug 29 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Hector Rodriguez logo
Hector Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hector Rodriguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for batters.. Hector Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman today.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for batters.. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sat, Aug 29 • 3:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

What better time than to hit your first homer at home than against a rookie? It's time for Vladdy. His bat path and swing look similar to what we saw last year in the playoffs, and he's slowly (very slowly) regaining his confidence at the plate. It might be the perfect storm tonight.

Total Home Runs
Randy Arozarena logo Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Randy Arozarena is a strong value power look with seven August homers and three bombs over his last six games. His recent .474 ISO gives him real upside, and while Jose Soriano keeps the ball down, Toronto’s bullpen has been giving up homers at a concerning rate lately this afternoon.

View 14 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sat, Aug 29 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Among all parks, Oracle Park's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Bryce Eldridge will have an advantage in today's matchup.
View 9 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sat, Aug 29 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
Miami Marlins logo MIA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

I like Miami and am going against the room. Better record, and Washington's bullpen has been rough this week, posting an ERA over 6. I like the Marlins' pitching depth enough here to take the slight underdog and run with it.

Total Bases
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Daylen Lile will have the upper hand today.
View 11 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°.
Total Bases
Cole Carrigg logo
Cole Carrigg o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Carrigg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 87°.
View 10 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Progressive Field profiles as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats.. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the game when assessing his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 park in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats.
View 10 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Merrill logo Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Jackson Merrill has real home run appeal with three bombs in his last six games and a .522 ISO. His 57.9% air-contact profile gives him the lift needed against Martinez, who allows plenty of fly balls at home. Tampa Bay’s bullpen fly-ball rate adds another path.

Total
San Diego Padres logo Tampa Bay Rays logo u7.5 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Under 7.5 fits the game script with Buehler and Martinez both suppressing hard contact. Neither lineup is in strong form, and both bullpens enter with solid recent run-prevention numbers. Even at a low total, this matchup profiles more like a controlled pitching game than a slugfest.

View 13 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ New York Mets logo NYM Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez logo Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Yordan Alvarez owns otherworldly numbers against Nolan McLean’s pitch mix. He will primarily see sinkers, fastballs, and curveballs, and that sets up very well for the AL MVP favorite.

Alvarez has posted a .389 ISO, 18.1% barrel rate, and 60.9% hard hit rate when facing those pitches. 

 

Total
Houston Astros logo New York Mets logo u7.5 (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Nolan McLean has allowed two runs or fewer in all 12 starts against teams who ranked Bottom-10 in xwOBA their last 20 games.

Both teams have Top-10 bullpens by wOBA in August so we shouldn’t expect much fireworks late.

If Christian Javier avoids an early blow-up, there’s a clean path to an Under.

View 13 Picks
Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sat, Aug 29 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jake Burger logo Jake Burger o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Jake Burger crushes left-handed pitching, posting an OPS exactly .200 points higher than against righties.

Shane Drohan doesn’t really have one go-to pitch, throwing five different types more than 10% of the time vs. right-handed bats.

Burger is well-equipped to handle that variety. He has managed a .250 ISO or higher vs. four of the five pitches, only struggling against curveballs.

Total
Texas Rangers logo Milwaukee Brewers logo u8.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

It isn’t always pretty, but Shane Drohan is effective at limiting the damage in Milwaukee. He has only conceded 3+ runs in four of 17 home starts this season.

Cal Quantrill ranks in the 84th percentile in walk rate and has allowed 0.86 HR/9 in pitcher-friendly environments.

That should allow him to avoid big innings, setting up nicely for an Under.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 7:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today.. Austin Wells pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #8 park in Major League Baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sat, Aug 29 • 10:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Sutter Health Park as the best field in baseball for righty home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 95°.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jackson Holliday's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the hottest weather on the slate today at 95°.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sat, Aug 29 • 10:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Bryce Harper logo Bryce Harper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Bryce Harper is in excellent power form, going deep twice over his last six games while posting a .391 ISO and .826 SLG. His 50% hard-hit rate, 25% barrel rate, and 95.8 mph average exit velocity give him a strong path against Ryan Johnson tonight and bullpen exposure behind him.

Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.05
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 2nd-most suitable hitting conditions of the day.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Johnson in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Johnson has a large platoon split.
View 11 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
View 9 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.