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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 4, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
+130 
|
o7.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -170 
|
|
4.97 |
-135 
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Griffins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+107
|
o8.5 +100 
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.53 |
-108
|
u8.5 -108 
|
-1.5 +162
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 on grass.
- Rays are 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Texas
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 games following a win.
Top Projection
Liam Hicks o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+115 
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.60 |
-110
|
u9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165 
|
Arizona
- Over is 4-0-2 in Kellys last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Kellys last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 1-0-3 in Astros last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+135)
o1.5+135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.21 |
+105
|
o9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
5.21 |
-110
|
u13.5 -500
|
-1.5 +135
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+147)
o0.5+147
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.49 |
-120
|
o11.0 -105
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
5.43 |
+115
|
u11.5 -128
|
+1.5 -137
|
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 games following a loss.
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
o0.5+129
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
-111
|
o7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
3.39 |
+102
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -170 
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
San Diego
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. American League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.28 |
+230
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 +110
|
|
4.94 |
-260
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +100
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Snells last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in Snells last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
o0.5+305
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.26 |
+203
|
o5.0 -435
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
5.03 |
-220
|
u7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +105
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-0-1 in last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Seattle
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Gilberts last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+158)
o0.5+158
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.04 |
+162
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.22 |
-177
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +126
|
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 overall.
NY Mets
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Thorntons last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
3.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 on grass.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League East.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Gustos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Gustos last 4 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
+143
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.20 |
-153
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts on grass.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.90 |
+130
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
|
4.01 |
-154
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +146
|
Detroit
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Valdezs last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Valdezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.40 |
-150
|
o9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
4.64 |
+143
|
u9.5 -124
|
+1.5 -115
|
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+157
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.73 |
-172
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +130
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Kikuchis last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Pirates last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.14 |
-135
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.25 |
+125
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
Boston
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Bassitts last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Orioles last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.71 |
-105
|
o6.5 -135
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
|
3.98 |
-105
|
u7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 on grass.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
Texas
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.41 |
-105
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
|
5.45 |
-105
|
u10.0 -125
|
+1.5 -165
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+106
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.54 |
-115
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +172
|
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.
MIN
@
CHW
Fri, Sep 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Zebby Matthews u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+104)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Zebby Matthews is rolling, staying under 2.5 earned runs in three straight outings while posting a 1.92 FIP over his last two appearances. He has avoided walks and homers, and now faces a White Sox lineup with a 66 wRC+ recently.
Total Bases
Kyle Teel o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Teel's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #6 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.
TB
@
TEX
Fri, Sep 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams today.. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Joc Pederson u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst park in the league for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Globe Life Field's CF dimensions are the 6th-deepest.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
AZ
@
HOU
Fri, Sep 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Max Kepler u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Max Kepler's BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Max Kepler has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 4th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.. Among all parks, the 3rd-highest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
TOR
@
KC
Fri, Sep 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Carter Jensen and Jac Caglianone both stand out in a strong matchup for the Royals, making it nearly impossible to choose just one. Kansas City’s young power hitters boast one of the highest matchup ratings on the slate while covering nearly 100% of Jameson Taillon’s pitch mix. Caglianone has also made the most of his elite Batters-Box ratings, leaving the yard 22% of the time across 30 such ratings this season. Over his last 10 games, the big fella has posted a .512 SLG and .186 ISO, while generating a 50% hard-hit rate and 10% barrel rate.
Total Home Runs
Carter Jensen o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Carter Jensen finds himself in an appealing spot against Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Jameson Taillon, who owns the worst rating among pitchers in Batters-Box’s current-season dataset. Jensen also boasts the third-highest matchup rating, trailing only Yordan Alvarez and teammate Jac Caglianone. The Royals slugger has been crushing the ball over his last 10 games, posting a .914 SLG, .543 ISO, 63% hard-hit rate and 22.2% barrel rate. Taillon has struggled against left-handed hitters, allowing a 14.3% barrel rate and 71.4% elevation rate over his last 60 lefties. That combination gives Jensen plenty of home run upside.
STL
@
COL
Fri, Sep 4 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total Home Runs (+307)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Jordan Walker is an appealing power-hitting option at Coors Field, especially with his price sitting around 24%. The St. Louis Cardinals slugger has been making plenty of hard contact against right-handed pitching, posting a .483 SLG and .207 ISO over his last 30 at-bats. He has also recorded a 61.5% hard-hit rate and 11.5% barrel rate over his last 10 games, while keeping his ground-ball rate at just 30%. Walker draws Colorado right-hander Ryan Feltner, who has allowed a barrel rate over 15%, 4.05 HR/9 and a .720 SLG in his last three home starts.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (-140)
Projection 2.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 88°.
NYY
@
SD
Fri, Sep 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Trent Grisham hasn't shown his power stroke in a handful of weeks, but he's in a good spot against Buehler to launch one tonight. Not only does he have two career homers against him, but Buehler has been missing his spots recently, allowing three bombs over his last two starts. Grisham will look to sit on Buehler's changeup, a pitch he's given up five homers on this year. Let's fire him up with confidence.
Total
u7.5 (-121)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
For as good as Fried has been, Buehler actually has a good history against the Yankees, striking them out at a 30% clip while limiting them to a .229 xBA. I just don't see him outdueling Fried in this one, especially since the Padres own just a .691 OPS against lefties. The trends are on our side in this one, too, as both teams are a top-six Under team in baseball, hitting at a 54% clip or better this season.
WAS
@
LAD
Fri, Sep 4 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+494)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
With just a single home run across his past 26 games, Hernandez is eyeing statistical correction at the dish and has the handedness advantage against Washington starter Jackson Kent this evening. Hernandez’s .184 ISO against lefties is also well below the high-end .255 mark he posted across the past three years. Kent has surrendered a healthy .215 ISO to right-handed hitters, too.
Total
u8.5 (-115)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Dodgers veteran Blake Snell has allowed just three runs across his past four starts with a sterling 1.82 xERA and dominant 34.1 strikeout percentage, so I’m not anticipating the Nationals mounting enough offense to help send this total Over the number. Washington has dipped to 18th in wOBA on the road in the second half, after all.
ATH
@
SEA
Fri, Sep 4 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Nick Galaida
Betting Analyst
Cal Raleigh leads all of baseball with a 32.1% barrel rate against right-handed pitching during the last 30 days (min. 20 plate appearances). Raleigh didn’t catch a barrel yesterday, but both of his balls in play were 95+ mph off the bat. Morris has allowed a 37.2% fly-ball rate against left-handed hitters this season. There is a good chance we see Raleigh leave the yard this evening.
Total
u7.5 (-126)
Nick Galaida
Betting Analyst
Logan Gilbert owns a 4.54 FIP at T-Mobile Park in 2026, but much of his struggles have been due to an inability to keep the ball in the yard. Cooler temperatures in Seattle this evening should help mitigate that issue. The Athletics offense is a good matchup for Gilbert, too, ranking only 14th in ISO and 19th in home runs against right-handed pitching since the beginning of August. If the bullpens for the Athletics and Mariners can avoid a late-inning meltdown, runs are likely to be at a premium.
TB
@
TEX
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:05 PM ET
Moneyline
TEX (-103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Texas is swinging the bats at an elite level, ranking second in MLB with a 124 wRC+ over the last fortnight. Jacob deGrom at home as a plus-money underdog against a flat Tampa Bay offense (84 wRC+) is the clearest form-versus-price discrepancy on the entire Saturday slate.
NYY
@
SD
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Carlos Rodón and Robbie Ray should duel, but New York holds the offensive edge. The Yankees boast a 112 wRC+ over the last 14 days, compared to San Diego’s sluggish 91 wRC+. With pricing set essentially at pick'em, back the lineup producing extra-base hits at a higher rate.
AZ
@
HOU
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
HOU (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
At near pick'em odds, Houston has the decisive bullpen advantage. Houston relievers have dominated with a 3.02 FIP and 3.55 SIERA over the last two weeks. Arizona’s offense is sputtering down at an 84 wRC+, making Ethan Pecko and the Astros' superior bullpen the correct side tonight.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
