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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 2, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.10 |
+110 
|
o8.5 -112 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
5.36 |
-120
|
u9.0 -112 
|
-1.5 +159
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
o1.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.06 |
-128
|
o7.5 -116
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.47 |
+120
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -142
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Wheelers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Bradishs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.29 |
+102
|
o9.0 -109
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.77 |
-112
|
u9.5 -131
|
-1.5 +160
|
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0-1 in McGreevys last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in McGreevys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Scherzers last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
o0.5 +205
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
-116
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140 
|
|
4.95 |
+108
|
u8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -161
|
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
o1.5 +220
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+134
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -160 
|
|
5.77 |
-142
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +140
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 4-0 in Kellers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 6-1 in Kellers last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games as an underdog.
- Reds are 7-1 in Burns' last 8 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+173)
o1.5 +173
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.98 |
+130
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.14 |
-138
|
u8.0 -117
|
-1.5 +146
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Kays last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Rays are 5-0 in Jaxs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+129
|
o7.5 -121
|
+2.0 -248
|
|
4.76 |
-138
|
u8.0 -108
|
-2.0 +184
|
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.70 |
+112
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.78 |
-121
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 starts on grass.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Peter Lambert u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
u5.5 +120
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-125
|
o6.5 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
3.93 |
+116
|
u6.5 +101
|
+1.5 -165
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Coles last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Yankees last 5 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 3-0-2 in Reas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Reas last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Top Projection
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
o1.5 +140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.94 |
+101
|
o12.0 -115
|
-1.5 +154
|
|
7.08 |
-110
|
u12.5 -110
|
+1.5 -161
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Lugos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.82 |
-215
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 -131
|
|
3.57 |
+206
|
u8.0 -120
|
+1.5 +119
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.06 |
-106
|
o11.0 -105
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
6.29 |
+101
|
u11.5 -122
|
+1.5 -155
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Athletics
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5 +190
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.73 |
+124
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -184
|
|
3.86 |
-131
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +158
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts on grass.
- Twins are 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts overall.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-2 in Kirbys last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5 +265
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+134
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.21 |
-138
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +152
|
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts on grass.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.14 |
+142
|
o8.5 -131
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.29 |
-154
|
u9.0 -105
|
-1.5 +126
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Top Projection
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
o1.5 +142
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-1 in Nationals last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 road games.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague road games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 vs. National League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-1 in Rangers last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 1 of a series.
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 vs. American League East.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
- Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games as a road favorite.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 1-0-3 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
WAS
@
ATL
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The #5 ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report forecasts the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
PHI
@
BAL
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Taylor Ward has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.38
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Holliday's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 field in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and moreover, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Jackson Holliday will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
STL
@
TOR
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Home Runs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Projection 0.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre profiles as the #6 park in MLB for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge in today's game.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Max Scherzer throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge in today's game.. JJ Wetherholt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest among every team today.
MIA
@
NYM
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (+114)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Although Miami’s relief corps has been shaky, former Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara serves as the ultimate equalizer. Alcantara consistently pitches deep into games, protecting his bullpen from heavy exposure. Getting a proven ace against an unannounced Mets starting option makes the Marlins an irresistible value play.
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today.. Brett Baty has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Brett Baty will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
PIT
@
CIN
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Chase Burns in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+450)
Projection 0.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs.. This game is forecasted to have the 4th-highest humidity of all games on the slate today (84%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
CHW
@
TB
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Munetaka Murakami hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Tampa Bay Rays.. Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-best venue in the league for right-handed home runs.. Junior Caminero will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony Kay in today's game... and the cherry on top, Kay has a large platoon split.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
AZ
@
CLE
Sun, Aug 2 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today at 85%.. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Gavin Williams u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+138)
Projection 6.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jonathan Parra grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest humidity on the slate today at 85%.. With a 0.57 disparity between Gavin Williams's 11.34 K/9 and his 10.77 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse in the future.
TEX
@
HOU
Sun, Aug 2 • 2:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Kumar Rocker u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+118)
Projection 4.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Houston Astros (20.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams on the slate today.. It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Todd Tichenor) calling pitches in today's game.. Kumar Rocker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Kumar Rocker's 2153-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 20th percentile out of all SPs.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today's matchup.
NYY
@
CHC
Sun, Aug 2 • 2:20 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Gerrit Cole u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-123)
Projection 5.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Scott Barry) in charge of the strike zone today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gerrit Cole in today's game.. In his last GS, Gerrit Cole struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Gerrit Cole has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 51.3% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+141)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's game.
KC
@
COL
Sun, Aug 2 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Brenton Doyle o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brenton Doyle's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coors Field profiles as the #1 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 99°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among all the teams playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
Total Bases
Kyle Karros o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Kyle Karros has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 venue in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 99°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
MIL
@
LAA
Sun, Aug 2 • 3:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski u9.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-138)
Projection 8.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 87°.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Misiorowski in today's matchup.. Jacob Misiorowski's four-seam fastball percentage has risen by 9.1% from last season to this one (54.4% to 63.5%) .. Jacob Misiorowski has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 13.88 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 12.94 — a 0.94 K/9 deviation.
DET
@
ATH
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-108)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Both bullpens have surrendered plenty of traffic over the last two weeks, shifting the edge directly to the starting rotation and offensive consistency. Detroit holds a firm advantage in contact metrics and run-creation stats, giving Tigers starter Keider Montero enough early padding to edge out the A's on the road.
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #2 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences in MLB.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 107°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.6-mph in this contest, the best of the day for batters.. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage against Keider Montero in today's matchup.
SF
@
SD
Sun, Aug 2 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jung Hoo Lee o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Willy Adames o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The 2nd-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.
BOS
@
LAD
Sun, Aug 2 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Connor Wong o1.5 Total Bases (+330)
Projection 1.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dodger Stadium profiles as the #1 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Andruw Monasterio o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Dodger Stadium profiles as the #1 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest.. Dodger Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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