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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 3, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+143 
|
o8.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -155 
|
|
5.63 |
-153
|
u8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +140
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
-107 
|
o7.5 -125 
|
-1.5 +160 
|
|
3.94 |
+101
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -180
|
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+143
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.59 |
-153
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Houston
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
-106
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.14 |
+101
|
u8.5 -113
|
+1.5 -170
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 7-0 in Cubs last 7 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
-122
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
4.35 |
+120
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -149
|
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.13 |
-109
|
o9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
|
5.17 |
+105
|
u9.5 -135 
|
+1.5 -160
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Royals last 4 interleague home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
-121
|
o7.5 -114
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.87 |
+110
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -160 
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 on grass.
Texas
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 on grass.
- Over is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.01 |
+176
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -130
|
|
4.51 |
-195
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +115
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games as an underdog.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.17 |
+255
|
o7.5 -110
|
+2.0 -117
|
|
4.67 |
-275
|
u8.0 -115
|
-2.0 -105
|
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 7-0 in Dodgers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
-110
|
o8.5 +155
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
|
4.13 |
-110
|
-- |
+1.5 -190
|
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mizes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Mizes last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mizes last 4 starts on grass.
- Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
TOR
@
CLE
Thu, Sep 3 • 1:10 PM ET
Moneyline
TOR (-110)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
If the Toronto Blue Jays want to build momentum after their gargantuan 11-0 win last night, Jose Soriano is the right man to do it. Across 46 plate appearances (we love a good sample size), the Cleveland Guardians own just a .213 xBA and .332 xSLG, which includes limiting Steven Kwan to a .159 xBA. That'll play for Toronto in a must-win game. On the other side, the Jays are looking at Tanner Bibee like fresh bacon on Sunday morning after their offensive outburst. The beast that is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. might've woken up last night after going 3-for-4 with 5 RBI and a homer; he won't be slowing down today, either, rocking a .744 xSLG against Bibee.
MIL
@
CHC
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-122)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Kevin Gausman has a chance to right the ship when he faces a Brewers club batting just .200/.252/.323 against him. With Logan Henderson sporting a BB% in the 87th percentile and a K% in the 92nd, expect runs to be at a premium at Wrigley.
BOS
@
BAL
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
BAL (+119)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
There's a strong edge on the Baltimore Orioles at the current price, and that's ultimately what matters when buying a probability in the market. The Orioles are trading at 45% on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 51% favorite. We usually see an edge of only 2-3%, so this 6% difference is definitely worth paying attention to. The Red Sox are sending left-hander Jake Bennett to the mound. While he's dominated left-handed hitters this season, he hasn't fared as well against right-handed bats. Baltimore's lineup features plenty of right-handed power from spots two through six, including Luis Robert Jr., whom the Orioles acquired on August 31. Small details can create an edge, and Robert's addition matters in this matchup. He has historically hit left-handed pitching better than right-handed pitching, and his presence lengthens Baltimore's lineup with another right-handed bat that profiles well against Bennett.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
