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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 29, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+115 
|
o7.5 -120 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.39 |
-116 
|
u8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +165
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Bennetts last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts overall.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in Warrens last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5+202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.06 |
-172
|
o6.5 -130
|
-1.5 +106
|
|
3.67 |
+165
|
u7.5 -145 
|
+1.5 -115
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Snells last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in Snells last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 9-0 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.24 |
+111 
|
o9.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.74 |
-114
|
u9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160 
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- White Sox are 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts on grass.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Feddes last 5 starts as an underdog.
- White Sox are 7-0 in Feddes last 7 starts.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Obers last 5 home starts.
- Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+148)
o0.5+150
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
+115
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
4.16 |
-112
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +170
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
St. Louis
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 overall.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+175
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
5.17 |
-184
|
u8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +118
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
o1.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 |
+112
|
o7.5 -104
|
+1.5 -195
|
|
4.15 |
-120
|
u7.5 -104
|
-1.5 +170
|
Seattle
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Mariners last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
+100
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +170
|
|
4.39 |
-108
|
u7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -180
|
Miami
- Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Washington
- Under is 6-0-1 in Nationals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.44 |
+190
|
o8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
5.36 |
-200
|
u9.5 -135
|
-1.5 +100
|
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)
o0.5+171
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.97 |
+137
|
o7.5 -113
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.19 |
-145
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +155
|
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Royals are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Royals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+277)
o0.5+277
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+120
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.44 |
-128
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +170
|
San Diego
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Padres last 9 interleague games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+189
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+128
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.44 |
-135
|
u8.0 -109
|
-1.5 +158
|
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-135)
o1.5-128
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+150
|
o7.5 -115
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.54 |
-155
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +140
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games as a road underdog.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+227
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
3.32 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.02 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.92 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 road games.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.15 |
-220
|
o7.5 -115
|
-1.5 -125
|
|
3.04 |
+210
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 +115
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-2 in Phillies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 overall.
- Over is 14-3-1 in Phillies last 18 games as a favorite.
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 interleague home games.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 during game 2 of a series.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
LAD
@
DET
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
CHW
@
MIN
Sat, Aug 29 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Kody Clemens u0.5 Total Hits (+186)
Projection 0.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. The 10th-deepest CF fences among all parks are found in Target Field.. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Miguel Vargas ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day at 79%.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.
PIT
@
STL
Sat, Aug 29 • 2:15 PM ET
Moneyline
STL (-107)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
I like the Cardinals here. Pittsburgh's pitching depth is fine, but their lineup has been historically bad lately, posting the league's worst wRC+. Hard to score zero runs and win baseball games. Feels like a fair number for St. Louis, maybe even a little light.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryan Reynolds's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Kyle Leahy.
CIN
@
CHC
Sat, Aug 29 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.1-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.1-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for batters.
SEA
@
TOR
Sat, Aug 29 • 3:07 PM ET
Moneyline
TOR (-125)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Jose Soriano comes into this one off his worst start of the season against the New York Yankees, but is in a prime bounce-back spot against a team that owns just a .252 xBA across 117 plate appearances. He's limited Josh Naylor, Cal Raleigh, and Dominic Canzone to a combined 6-for-38 mark - that'll play.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 13th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average skill.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.. Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
MIA
@
WAS
Sat, Aug 29 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (-107)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Abimelec Ortiz o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Abimelec Ortiz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Abimelec Ortiz will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's game.. Abimelec Ortiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Abimelec Ortiz will hold that advantage in today's game.
COL
@
ATL
Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 12th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.
KC
@
CLE
Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.44
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Progressive Field profiles as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #2 park in baseball for boosting BABIP to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Foster Griffin in today's game.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
SD
@
TB
Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Tropicana Field ranks as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Tropicana Field.
Total Bases
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.27
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tropicana Field profiles as the #2 park in MLB for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
HOU
@
NYM
Sat, Aug 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Citi Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Nolan McLean throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage today.. Extreme groundball batters like Yordan Alvarez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nolan McLean.
Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nolan McLean.
TEX
@
MIL
Sat, Aug 29 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #8 venue in the league for boosting base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.
Total Bases
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. American Family Field projects as the #8 park in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to more offense.
PHI
@
LAA
Sat, Aug 29 • 10:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of the day.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Johnson in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Johnson has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of the day.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Johnson in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Johnson has a large platoon split.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
