It's a clash of titans in the World Cup 2026 final, as Lionel Messi and defending champions Argentina chase back-to-back titles against rising star Lamine Yamal and the European champions Spain — who have conceded just one goal all tournament.
To help you with your Argentina vs. Spain predictions ahead of this afternoon's final at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., we've put together an Argentina vs. Spain cheat sheet to cover the action from every angle ahead of the 3 p.m. ET kickoff (broadcast on FOX).
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Argentina vs Spain match probabilities
| Market |  Probability |
American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| To win the World Cup |  59% |
-144 |
 42% |
+138 | |
| To win in regulation | 43% |
+133 |
| Tie - 32% | +213 | |
| 27% |
+270 |
Who is most likely to score a goal in Argentina vs Spain?
| Player | Probability |
American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi |
36% | +177 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal |
32% | +213 |
| Lamine Yamal |
27% | +270 |
| Julian Alvarez |
24% | +317 |
| Ferran Torres |
21% | +376 |
Argentina vs Spain match props
| Market | Probability |
American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 55% | -122 |
| First team to score | 55% |
-122 |
| 40% |
+150 | |
| Total corners: 9+ | Yes - 50% | +100 |
| No - 51% | -104 | |
| corners: 4+ |
58% | -138 |
| corners: 5+ |
54% | -117 |
Argentina vs Spain expert picks
| Pick | Probability |
American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw after 90 minutes |
32% | +213 |
| Under 2.5 goals scored |
58% | -138 |
| Lionel Messi to score a goal |
35% | +186 |
Covers Intel: Argentina vs Spain
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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