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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
-103 
|
o9.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
5.12 |
+100 
|
u9.5 -112
|
+1.5 -168
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Nationals are 4-0 in Lords last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5 +167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.85 |
+134
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -166
|
|
5.65 |
-136 
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +146
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in Holmes' last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Braves are 6-0 in Holmes' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Holmes' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
o1.5 +145
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+224
|
o9.5 -107
|
+2.0 -113
|
|
5.18 |
-235
|
u9.5 -105 
|
-2.0 -115
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Ginns last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+213)
o0.5 +213
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 |
+180
|
o8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -116
|
|
5.64 |
-190
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +105
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Luzardos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+227)
o0.5 +227
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+132
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.91 |
-137
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +152
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Manaeas last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+241)
o0.5 +241
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
+132
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.85 |
-138
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.77 |
-150
|
o10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +101
|
|
4.77 |
+146
|
u10.5 -112
|
+1.5 -107
|
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Boyds last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Boyds last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0-2 in Royals last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+139)
o0.5 +139
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 |
+232
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 +101
|
|
4.36 |
-240
|
u7.5 -118
|
-1.5 -110
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Prielipps last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Prielipps last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-0 in Misiorowskis last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+272)
o0.5 +272
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
-108
|
o8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.50 |
+106
|
u8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -164
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in Martins last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5 +160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+150
|
o9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -131
|
|
5.21 |
-158
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +132
|
Colorado
- Over is 6-0 in Lorenzens last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Lorenzens last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in McGreevys last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in McGreevys last 4 starts on grass.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.57 |
+120
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.63 |
-126
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +158
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Povichs last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 6-0 in Rockers last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 games following a win.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
o0.5 +300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
-116
|
o7.5 +101
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.24 |
+108
|
u7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -161
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 9-0 in Meltons last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Meltons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in Webbs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
o0.5 +229
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.78 |
+106
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -215
|
|
4.27 |
-107
|
u7.5 +101
|
-1.5 +176
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Hancocks last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
o0.5 +700
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.16 |
-140
|
o8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
5.03 |
+131
|
u9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -131
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Wrobleskis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 7-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
+111
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.98 |
-114
|
u8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +165
|
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 11-1-1 in Javiers last 13 starts as a road underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Padres last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
o0.5 +165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.73 |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 home games.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.22 |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.26 |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.03 |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.52 |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Under is 9-1 in Twins last 10 home games.
- Under is 8-1 in Twins last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 9-1 in Twins last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.44 |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.77 |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games as a favorite.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 games as a favorite.
- Under is 13-3 in Cardinals last 16 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Cardinals last 11 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.23 |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.10 |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.47 |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.42 |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 on grass.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.30 |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.37 |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.60 |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.19 |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.25 |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.97 |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games as a favorite.
San Francisco
- Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.03 |
+238
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.55 |
-326
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 road games.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 games as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
CIN
@
WAS
Sun, Aug 9 • 12:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. Daylen Lile will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Hits
Tyler Stephenson u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 7th-worst stadium in baseball for righty BABIP.. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Considering Trevor Williams's huge platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today's matchup.
ATL
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-116)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Cam Schlittler is amazing, but Grant Holmes has been solid, too. The right-hander carries a minuscule 2.52 ERA over his last eight appearances and is fresh off a scoreless six-inning start. The Yankees are down three big bats in Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Giancarlo Stanton, so runs will be hard to come by for both clubs.
Moneyline
NYY (-142)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Cam Schlittler owns a 2.78 ERA over his last six outings and ranks in the 98th percentile in pitching run value as well as the 89th percentile in xERA (2.95) this year. The Braves are swinging and missing at the four-seamer a ton, and that's Schlittler's bread and butter.
ATH
@
BOS
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+265)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Total Hits
Caleb Durbin u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Caleb Durbin is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense.. J.T. Ginn will have the handedness advantage against Caleb Durbin in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Ginn's large platoon split.
TOR
@
PHI
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
It is feast or famine for Kazuma Okamoto as he’s struck out a lot while chasing power. It’s hard to argue with the process given he leads the team in hard hit rate, barrel rate, and homers when facing left-handed pitching.
He also owns a 12.5% barrel rate or higher against each of Jesus Luzardo’s four pitches, giving him a real chance to get a hold of one.
Total Singles
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Singles (-130)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. historically hits left-handed pitching well, and we’ve seen that more over the last month.
Vladdy has hit .333 with a 50% hard hit rate, a number not bested by any member of the Toronto Blue Jays during that span.
Jesus Luzardo is excellent at limiting quality contact, forcing opponents to take what they can get. That sets up well for Guerrero Jr. and his current hitting profile.
Bet to -140.
NYM
@
PIT
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total Bases
Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
LAA
@
MIA
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 7th-best batter in baseball.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. LoanDepot Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.
Total Bases
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (44.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
CHC
@
KC
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Home Runs (+230)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Pete Crow-Armstrong is hammering the baseball right now. He owns a .491 xSLG, 22.9% barrel rate, and 57.1% hard hit rate against right-handed pitching over the last 20 games.
The game conditions give a 33% boost to home runs today, which is extremely noteworthy for an elite player consistently hitting the ball hard.
Play to +220.
Total Bases
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (-103)
Projection 2.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 9th-best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
MIN
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-133)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+152)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. American Family Field projects as the #7 park in the game for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 2nd-shortest fences in MLB.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
CLE
@
CHW
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-103)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
CHW (+101)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
COL
@
STL
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+290)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Michael Lorenzen gives up a ton of power, particularly to left-handed bats. He ranks in the 19th percentile or worse in HR/9, xSLG, and average exit velocity.
Alec Burleson has left the yard in 29.2% of his games against a right-handed starter ranking in the 30th percentile or lower in HR/9 vs. lefties. That implies +242 odds based on his success rate this season, making +290 an attractive buy.
I’d bet down to +270.
Total Hits
Bryan Torres u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.87
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
BAL
@
TEX
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 3rd-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Globe Life Field has the 3rd-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split.
DET
@
SF
Sun, Aug 9 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-115)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Detroit is absolutely raking right now, leading all of Major League Baseball with a blistering 147 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Troy Melton leads the charge against Logan Webb, benefiting from elite offensive support at nearly even odds to secure a big road victory in San Francisco.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions among all parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.
TB
@
SEA
Sun, Aug 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (+100)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
T-Mobile Park’s pitcher-friendly dimensions combined with Tampa Bay’s overworked bullpen favor a low-scoring, grinding contest. Emerson Hancock’s ground-ball profile (42.3% GB%) should minimize damage, keeping run creation quiet on both sides.
Moneyline
TB (+115)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
LAD
@
AZ
Sun, Aug 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+275)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Shohei Ohtani has been as productive as anybody against lefties, hitting .405 with an .811 SLG and 17% barrel rate over the past month.
Eduardo Rogriguez owns a career HR/FB rate of 11.4%, and has only ever dipped beneath 10% in a season once. His 8% HR/FB is likely to regress down the stretch, and Ohtani is a great target to take advantage.
Bet to +250.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The #4 field in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in MLB, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have the upper hand today.
HOU
@
SD
Sun, Aug 9 • 8:20 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-112)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over because both starters bring run-prevention concerns into a matchup with enough recent offensive pressure. Vásquez’s low-strikeout profile gives Houston a path to sustained traffic, while Cristian Javier has allowed a 6.59 ERA and 1.68 WHIP across 27 1/3 innings.
San Diego does not need to crush Javier to contribute here. Walks, elevated contact, and early bullpen exposure can get this game toward nine runs without requiring a full slugfest.
Moneyline
HOU (+105)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I'm backing the Houston Astros for down to +100. Great price on the team in better form with the stronger matchup.|
Randy Vásquez starts for the San Diego Padres with a profile that is all over the place. He is coming off his best outing of the season, six scoreless innings and two hits against the Arizona Diamondbacks, but his underlying metrics still tell on him: barrel rate, hard-hit rate and ground ball rate all sit in the bottom 25% of the sport. Houston attacks exactly that, ranking 12th in barrel rate and 10th in hard-hit rate over the last two weeks. While that's not eye-popping it's enough to make me buy against a poor pitcher at this price.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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