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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.22 |
-103 
|
o9.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
5.25 |
+101
|
u9.5 -122 
|
+1.5 -172
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Washington
- Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Nationals last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
o1.5 +110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.91 |
+129
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.96 |
-142
|
u8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +146
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5 +170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+226
|
o10.0 -110
|
+2.0 -117
|
|
5.24 |
-240
|
u10.5 -115
|
-2.0 -111
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 overall.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Under is 25-4-1 in Red Sox last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-180)
o1.5 -180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+173
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -126
|
|
5.60 |
-191
|
u8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +110
|
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 3 of a series.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+124
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
5.12 |
-137
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +155 
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 overall.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+130
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.75 |
-144
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +146
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a road underdog.
Miami
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.76 |
-161
|
o10.0 -112
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
4.55 |
+146
|
u10.5 -121
|
+1.5 -112
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 |
+216
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -105
|
|
4.56 |
-240
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 -105
|
Minnesota
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Brewers last 8 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
o1.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-107
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.39 |
-103
|
u8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -175
|
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Colson Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5 +170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
+140
|
o9.5 +105
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
5.32 |
-155
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
o1.5 -105
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+119
|
o8.0 -117
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.42 |
-134
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +158
|
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Orioles last 6 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 vs. American League East.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
-116
|
o7.5 +101
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.20 |
+105
|
u7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -170
|
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+110
|
o7.5 -3333
|
+3.5 -450
|
|
4.26 |
-116
|
u8.0 +100
|
-3.5 +325
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Mariners last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.50 |
-142
|
o8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.88 |
+129
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -126
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
o1.5 +110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.21 |
+114
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
4.93 |
-118
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +158
|
Houston
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
San Diego
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Over is 9-1 in Braves last 10 home games.
- Over is 7-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 home games.
- Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-1 in Twins last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-2 in Phillies last 9 games as a favorite.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Phillies are 9-2 in their last 11 games as a road favorite.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-1-1 in Cardinals last 10 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Rangers last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Brewers last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 18-6-2 in last 26 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
Arizona
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+226
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-309
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Royals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
CIN
@
WAS
Sun, Aug 9 • 12:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
JJ Bleday o0.5 Total Home Runs (+372)
Projection 0.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Bleday ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Bleday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Because of Trevor Williams's huge platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Considering Brady Singer's huge platoon split, CJ Abrams will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
ATL
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-116)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Cam Schlittler is amazing, but Grant Holmes has been solid, too. The right-hander carries a minuscule 2.52 ERA over his last eight appearances and is fresh off a scoreless six-inning start. The Yankees are down three big bats in Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Giancarlo Stanton, so runs will be hard to come by for both clubs.
Moneyline
NYY (-142)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Cam Schlittler owns a 2.78 ERA over his last six outings and ranks in the 98th percentile in pitching run value as well as the 89th percentile in xERA (2.95) this year. The Braves are swinging and missing at the four-seamer a ton, and that's Schlittler's bread and butter.
ATH
@
BOS
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-180)
Projection 2.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Because of J.T. Ginn's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jonah Heim o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jonah Heim is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Patrick Sandoval... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split.. Jonah Heim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
TOR
@
PHI
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+168)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+107)
Projection 1.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 13th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
NYM
@
PIT
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.3
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esmerlyn Valdez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Esmerlyn Valdez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Esmerlyn Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
CHC
@
KC
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Tolbert u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Tyler Tolbert ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Tolbert is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today's game.. Tyler Tolbert has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's deepest RF fences today.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Starling Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Starling Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Starling Marte will have the upper hand in today's game.
MIN
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brooks Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+338)
Projection 0.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Jackson Chourio will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.
CLE
@
CHW
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
With both divisional rivals struggling to score, this pick 'em matchup comes down to baseline execution. Joey Cantillo gets the start for Cleveland, giving the Guardians enough run-prevention stability to pull out a narrow victory against a White Sox team that is currently lacking offensive firepower.
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage in today's game.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
COL
@
STL
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:15 PM ET
Total Hits
Bryan Torres u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryan Torres is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. In today's game, Bryan Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (80th percentile).
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.11
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among every team on the slate today.
BAL
@
TEX
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
DET
@
SF
Sun, Aug 9 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-115)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Detroit is absolutely raking right now, leading all of Major League Baseball with a blistering 147 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Troy Melton leads the charge against Logan Webb, benefiting from elite offensive support at nearly even odds to secure a big road victory in San Francisco.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.. Rafael Devers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
