MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 6, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.02 @ 5.64

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Angels vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

5.02

+175

o9.5 -107

+1.5 -112

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

5.64

-183

u10.0 -125

-1.5 +106

Athletics @ Cincinnati
Matchup

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.21 @ 5.58

CIN
CIN logo
CIN

Athletics vs Reds · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

4.21

+150

o9.5 +105

+1.5 -135

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

5.58

-160

u9.5 -115

-1.5 +120

Top Projection Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
o1.5 +182
NY Mets @ Cleveland
Matchup

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.44 @ 3.99

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Mets vs Guardians · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.44

+110

o7.5 +101

+1.5 -208

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

3.99

-115

u7.5 -112

-1.5 +170

Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Matchup

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.28 @ 4.03

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Pirates vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

4.28

+116

o7.5 -107

+1.5 -191

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

4.03

-123

u7.5 -103

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5 +270
Toronto @ Chi. Cubs
Matchup

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.48 @ 4.32

CHC
CHC logo
CHC

Blue Jays vs Cubs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

4.48

-112

o7.5 -103

-1.5 +146

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.32

+105

u7.5 -107

+1.5 -168

Top Projection Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+233)
o0.5 +233
Detroit @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.41 @ 4.04

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Tigers vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.41

+116

o7.5 -120

+1.5 -183

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.04

-122

u8.0 -111

-1.5 +168

Washington @ Philadelphia
Matchup

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.19 @ 6.01

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Nationals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

3.19

+295

o8.5 -121

+3.0 -166

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

6.01

-314

u9.0 -119

-3.0 +120

Top Projection Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
o1.5 +230
Chi. White Sox @ Boston
Matchup

Predicted Score

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.41 @ 5.27

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

White Sox vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.41

+165

o8.5 -121

+1.5 -126

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

5.27

-175

u9.0 -114

-1.5 +110

Top Projection Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
o0.5 +214
Miami @ Atlanta
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.08 @ 5.22

ATL
ATL logo
ATL

Marlins vs Braves · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

5.08

+131

o9.0 -114

+1.5 -155

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

5.22

-138

u9.5 -125

-1.5 +140

Top Projection Joe Mack o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
o0.5 +265
Minnesota @ Kansas City
Matchup

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.92 @ 5.23

KC
KC logo
KC

Twins vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.92

+117

o8.5 -121

+1.5 -187

KC logo
KC
KC

5.23

-120

u9.0 -118

-1.5 +172

Top Projection Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
San Diego @ Arizona
Matchup

Predicted Score

SD logo
SD
SD

5.14 @ 5.09

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Padres vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SD logo
SD
SD

5.14

-103

o8.5 -126

-1.5 +158

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

5.09

-104

u9.0 -110

+1.5 -168

Top Projection Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5 +182
Toronto @ Philadelphia
Matchup

Predicted Score

Blue Jays vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

+158

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

-219

--

--

NY Mets @ Pittsburgh
Matchup

Predicted Score

Mets vs Pirates · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

+114

--

--

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

-148

--

--

Cincinnati @ Washington
Matchup

Predicted Score

Reds vs Nationals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

-103

--

--

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

-126

--

--

Atlanta @ NY Yankees
Matchup

Predicted Score

Braves vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

-121

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

-103

--

--

Athletics @ Boston
Matchup

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

+216

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

-309

--

--

LA Angels @ Miami
Matchup

Predicted Score

Angels vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

+129

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

-175

--

--

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Matchup

Predicted Score

Twins vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

+140

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

-183

--

--

Cleveland @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup

Predicted Score

Guardians vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

-116

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

-116

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Kansas City
Matchup

Predicted Score

Cubs vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

-183

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

+129

--

--

Baltimore @ Texas
Matchup

Predicted Score

Orioles vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

+119

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

-161

--

--

Colorado @ St. Louis
Matchup

Predicted Score

Rockies vs Cardinals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

COL logo
COL
COL

--

+129

--

--

STL logo
STL
STL

--

-183

--

--

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
Matchup

Predicted Score

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

-191

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

+152

--

--

Houston @ San Diego
Matchup

Predicted Score

Astros vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

-103

--

--

SD logo
SD
SD

--

-131

--

--

Tampa Bay @ Seattle
Matchup

Predicted Score

Rays vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

--

-112

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

-116

--

--

Detroit @ San Francisco
Matchup

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Pred. Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

-126

--

--

SF logo
SF
SF

--

-107

--

--

Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Aug 6 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Thu, Aug 6 • 12:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom logo
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.. Tyler Soderstrom has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.. Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Lawrence Butler has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the past 14 days.
View 10 Picks
New York Mets logo NYM @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Thu, Aug 6 • 1:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

We're fading a talented pitcher in Nolan McLean, who has electric stuff and a 10.60 K/9 this season, but as always, it's about price and matchup. This is a difficult spot for him. Cleveland is expected to stack the lineup with eight left-handed bats, neutralizing McLean's biggest weapon. His hard sweeping slider is his go-to putaway pitch, but against lefties it breaks into the barrel instead of away from it. The Guardians also pair that platoon advantage with a disciplined approach at the plate. They work deep counts, rarely chase, and have the profile to drive up McLean's pitch count and force an early exit. Polymarket has Cleveland as a 54-cent favorite, but I make the Guardians closer to a 59-cent favorite, which is why I'm hitting the button.

Total
New York Mets logo Cleveland Guardians logo o7.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

The Over 7.5 has a path through Cleveland’s improved offense and late-game Mets vulnerability. The Guardians have been swinging it well recently, and New York only needs to chip in against a Cleveland bullpen that has struggled. With McLean shaky and Griffin facing a dangerous lineup, eight runs is reachable.

View 13 Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Aug 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Horwitz logo
Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 7th-best stadium in the league for LHB home runs.. In the league, American Family Field's centerfield fences are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the shortest average fence height in MLB.
Total Bases
Garrett Mitchell logo
Garrett Mitchell u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
14% of the time that Garrett Mitchell has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Compared to his seasonal mark of 2.5°, Garrett Mitchell has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-12.1°) over the past 14 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Garrett Mitchell's true offensive talent to be a .318, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .021 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .339 wOBA.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

Total Hits
Dansby Swanson logo Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson has been one of the worst hitters in baseball this season with a .177 batting average, while ranking in the second percentile in xBA. Additionally, his hitting profile does not match up well at all against Cease, who has elite swing-and-miss stuff. 

View 14 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Thu, Aug 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Seattle Mariners logo o8.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Detroit Tigers are hammering baseballs, ranking Top-8 in both FB% and HR/FB% over the past month. If Bryce Miller is unable to decrease his FB%, Detroit’s power will show up.

While Framber Valdez’ elite groundball rate will make it hard for Seattle to hit for power, they do rank 13th in average and 12th in wOBA vs. lefties the last 30.

Play the Over to -117.

Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Bryce Miller owns a 5.88 xFIP, has allowed 2.11 homers per nine innings, and struck out only 12.4% of opposing batters over the past month.

He is vulnerable heading into a difficult matchup against the Detroit Tigers, who rank first in wOBA, ISO, and OPS against righties the last 30 days.

Back Detroit to -115.

View 12 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Aug 6 • 6:05 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Miles Mikolas logo
Miles Mikolas u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-162)
Projection 2.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Miles Mikolas in the 2nd percentile among all starters in the majors.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mikolas to throw 81 pitches in this game (3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies (19.7 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone set of batters on the slate today.. Scott Barry projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today.
View 10 Picks
Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Thu, Aug 6 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu logo Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+250)
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Wilyer Abreu is in an excellent position to do damage against Luis Castillo in the right hander's Chicago White Sox debut. Abreu carries an elite Batters-Box rating, covering nearly 91% of Castillo's pitch mix, while Castillo owns the third worst pitcher rating in the current Batters-Box dataset. The Red Sox outfielder has been swinging a hot bat, posting a .667 SLG, 1.008 OPS and 173 wRC+ over his last 10 games. Castillo has also been extremely vulnerable to left handed hitters, allowing loud contact and plenty of elevated balls. At +250 or better, Abreu is worth backing to leave the yard.

Total
Chicago White Sox logo Boston Red Sox logo u9.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Chicago is hitting for zero power against lefties, and they’ve struck out at the ninth highest rate the last month.

That sets up well for Ranger Suarez and his career-best 25.7 K% this season, not to mention Boston’s strikeout-heavy bullpen.

I project the White Sox for less than three runs, meaning the Boston Red Sox would have to plate seven to push this game Over.

Play to -130.

View 14 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Aug 6 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Otto Lopez is projected as the 6th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 10 Picks
Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Aug 6 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jac Caglianone logo Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total Home Runs (+276)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Jac Caglianone draws one of the best home run matchups on Thursday's slate against Bailey Ober. The Royals slugger owns an elite Batters-Box rating, covering nearly 100% of Ober's pitch repertoire, and has homered in nearly 30% of his 21 elite rated games this season. Ober has struggled against left handed hitters on the road, allowing a .322 batting average, .586 SLG and .407 wOBA while giving up plenty of elevated contact. Although Caglianone has cooled off recently, his expected batting average points toward positive regression. At +250 or better, the price is worth backing.

Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
View 11 Picks
San Diego Padres logo SD @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Thu, Aug 6 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase Field ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Nolan Arenado has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.3-mph.. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 38.1% to 44.8%.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Over the last 14 days, Jackson Merrill has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.9% to 16.7%.. Jackson Merrill has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 95.5-mph.
View 10 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.