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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 31, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+140 
|
o9.0 -110 
|
+2.0 -206 
|
|
5.16 |
-148
|
u9.5 -131
|
-2.0 +156
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 interleague starts.
Top Projection
Anthony Volpe o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
o1.5 +195
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.29 |
-118
|
o7.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +143 
|
|
4.19 |
+110
|
u8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -154
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Skenes' last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Skenes' last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall.
Top Projection
Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5 +255
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.40 |
+102
|
o8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
5.34 |
-112
|
u9.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -184
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Phillies last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2-2 in Phillies last 12 interleague games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 6-0 in Youngs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
o0.5 +166
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.15 |
+170
|
o7.5 -103
|
+2.0 -194
|
|
4.69 |
-182
|
u7.5 -105
|
-2.0 +147
|
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Leahys last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Blue Jays last 9 home games.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5 +270
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+124
|
o8.0 -120 
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.80 |
-132
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +155
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Feddes last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- White Sox are 6-0 in Feddes last 6 starts.
- White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+940)
o0.5 +940
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
+126
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.29 |
-137
|
u8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +152
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5 +250
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.81 |
+114
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.71 |
-122
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +165
|
Miami
- Under is 8-1 in Marlins last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Junks last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Peraltas last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Top Projection
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.30 |
+106
|
o8.5 -131
|
-1.5 +166
|
|
5.33 |
-116
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -188
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Griffins last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Griffins last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+112
|
o7.5 -107
|
+1.5 -191
|
|
3.99 |
-121
|
u7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +173
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
Houston
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.86 |
-106
|
o11.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
6.24 |
-102
|
u11.5 -124
|
+1.5 -148
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Wachas last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Rockies are 7-0 in Suganos last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.22 |
-144
|
o9.0 -109
|
-1.5 +112
|
|
4.68 |
+146
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -107
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Drohans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.68 |
-132
|
o10.5 -116
|
-1.5 +112
|
|
6.24 |
+124
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 -121
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 overall.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Carlos Cortes o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+129
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.92 |
-138
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +146
|
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Whisenhunts last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1 in Padres last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5 +190
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.47 |
+115
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.77 |
-120
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +165
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 12-3 in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
o1.5 +114
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+152
|
o7.5 -107
|
+2.0 -217
|
|
5.27 |
-165
|
u7.5 -103
|
-2.0 +163
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Matthews' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5 +230
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 9-1 in Cardinals last 10 during game 2 of a series.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Gausmans last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Gausmans last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gausmans last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in Schultzs last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Schultzs last 4 starts overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Schultzs last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillips' last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 6-1 in Mets last 7 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-154
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Prielipps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Prielipps last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts overall.
- Mariners are 9-1 in Gilberts last 10 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-120
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 8-0 in Ashcrafts last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Ashcrafts last 5 starts as a favorite.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Reds last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Sanchezs last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Sanchezs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Orioles are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 5-0 in Blancos last 5 home starts.
- Astros are 4-0 in Blancos last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 interleague starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Frieds last 6 starts as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Cubs last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+173
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-200
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 7-0 in Lopezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 9-0 in Royals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 games as a road underdog.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 vs. National League West.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 7-1 in Buehlers last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-167
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Gassers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Gassers last 7 starts on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Angels are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 road games.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
NYY
@
CHC
Fri, Jul 31 • 2:20 PM ET
Total
o9.5 (+109)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Over because both sides have a scoring path tied to the starters. New York’s case is obvious.
The Chicago Cubs can contribute against Will Warren, too. He owns a 4.59 xERA with a 41.0% hard-hit rate. The Cubs aren't a crazy explosive group, but a .340 OBP along with a solid walk rate can create the traffic Warren has struggled to navigate. I'd play this to -105.
Moneyline
NYY (+124)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
For a second straight start, I find myself in the position of backing New York Yankees arm Will Warren. And, for the second straight start, it's not because of him but his opponent. This is a decent misprice, and I'd play the Yankees down to +100 for two units.
Shota Imanaga’s barrel profile is a real concern against this lineup. He has allowed a 9.4% barrel rate, which sits in the bottom quarter of MLB, while the Bombers own a 9.6% team barrel rate, the best mark in baseball. That’s the biggest advantage for either team in this matchup.
PIT
@
CIN
Fri, Jul 31 • 6:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+178)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest left field fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this season (19°) is a considerable increase over his 14.6° mark last year.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for right-handed home runs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.. Sal Stewart has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
PHI
@
BAL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 2.04
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Pete Alonso has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.23
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.
STL
@
TOR
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+320)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
Dylan Cease o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Dylan Cease has recorded at least eight strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 starts and draws a favorable matchup against a Cardinals lineup that struggles against sliders, making over 7.5 strikeouts a strong play.
CHW
@
TB
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-116)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 has a path through two modest offenses and strong bullpen form. Tampa Bay and Chicago both own 92 wRC+ marks recently, while the Rays relief corps has dominated with a 1.88 xERA. If Martinez keeps Chicago quiet, runs could be limited after Fedde exits tonight.
Moneyline
TB (-142)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Nick Martinez gives Tampa Bay the pitching edge with a 3.21 xERA over his last four appearances while limiting walks, homers, and hard contact. Erick Fedde has struggled badly lately, allowing loud contact and homers, giving the Rays a clear path to capitalize at home against Chicago.
AZ
@
CLE
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Geraldo Perdomo o0.5 Total RBIs (+258)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Tanner Bibee.. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 90.4-mph over the last week.. Posting a .354 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 85th percentile for hitting ability.
Total RBIs
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 2nd-best field in baseball for righty base hits.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 38.1% to 45.5%.. Over the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado's 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.
MIA
@
NYM
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Liam Hicks o1.5 Total Bases (+157)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Liam Hicks is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today's matchup.. In terms of plate discipline, Liam Hicks's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.02 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 98th percentile.
Total Bases
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Bo Bichette will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
WAS
@
ATL
Fri, Jul 31 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daylen Lile's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daylen Lile is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for overall LHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 87°.
TEX
@
HOU
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Nathan Eovaldi is an excellent strikeout artist but ranks in the 34th percentile in barrel rate. That could get him into trouble against the Houston Astros, who sit fourth in ISO vs. right-handed pitching in July.
Texas holds down the seventh slot in ISO against righties this month while also cracking the Top-10 in hard hit rate and fly ball percentage.
Bet the Over to -125.
Moneyline
TEX (+110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
KC
@
COL
Fri, Jul 31 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Carter Jensen o1.5 Total Bases (-129)
Projection 2.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carter Jensen in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Carter Jensen is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (-132)
Projection 2.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Jac Caglianone ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the league, which tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
MIL
@
LAA
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:38 PM ET
Spread
MIL -1.5 (-103)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
The Brewers are set up nicely to bounce back after Wednesday’s blowout loss. They've been strong in games after a loss this season and own an MLB-best 11-4 record following a day off. They'll face Angels youngster Ryan Johnson, who owns an ugly 7.34 ERA and has been smacked around in multiple starts. With Milwaukee ranking second in OPS over the past week and Los Angeles sitting 27th in OPS in July, Shane Drohan is well-positioned to lead the Brewers to a comfortable win.
Total Bases
Denzer Guzman o1.5 Total Bases (+204)
Projection 1.31
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Denzer Guzman will have the handedness advantage over Shane Drohan in today's game.. Denzer Guzman will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
DET
@
ATH
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:40 PM ET
Total
u10.5 (+105)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
The Tigers are 2-11 O/U in their last 13 games in which Casey Mize takes the hill. Their offense ranks bottom five in wOBA (.277) and wRC+ (74) against lefties in July. The Athletics have cashed the Under in five conseucitve home games and this looks like another inflated total at Sutter Health Park.
Jeffrey Springs (6.79 ERA at Sutter Health Park) is winless in his last 17 turns through the rotation. He allows loud contact (19th percentile barrel rate), frequently in the air (10th percentile groundball rate). The Tigers have a motivational edge as they are seeking to stay in the AL Wild Card hunt, and Caey Mize (2.70 ERA, 2.58 FIP) gives them a substantial starting pitching edge.
SF
@
SD
Fri, Jul 31 • 9:45 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 8.5 fits because both lineups have lacked power lately. San Francisco owns a .151 ISO over its last seven games, while San Diego sits at just .091 over its last six. With both bullpens limiting damage and homers, this matchup has a clear path to stay contained.
Moneyline
SD (-142)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
San Diego’s bullpen gives the Padres a strong full-game edge with Bradgley Rodriguez likely working only one or two innings. The Padres relief corps has been dominant lately, while Carson Whisenhunt has struggled with walks and homers. San Diego’s 112 wRC+ over its last six games adds offensive support.
BOS
@
LAD
Fri, Jul 31 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-121)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suárez will make his second start since returning from a groin injury. In his first outing on July 26 against the Blue Jays, he threw just four scoreless innings on 64 pitches while striking out six, suggesting the Red Sox are still easing him back. Against the Dodgers' patient lineup, this could be another short outing, exposing Boston's middle relievers. The matchup is also dangerous for Suárez, whose heavy sinker lives at the bottom of the zone and relies on weak ground balls. The Dodgers match up well against that profile, with right-handed hitters like Mookie Betts and Andy Pages owning swing paths built to attack low pitches. Polymarket has Los Angeles at a 54-cent favorite, but I make them closer to 58 cents, so I'm hitting the button.
Total
u8.5 (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez (3.02 ERA, 3.19 xFIP) has posted excellent run suppression numbers and deservedly so.
The Dodgers aren't in great form offensively, and that's not handedness specific. Los Angeles slots 18th against lefties in wOBA this month.
I don't see the Boston Red Sox, who are 16th in wOBA vs. righties in July, lighting up the Dodgers bullpen, and that's probably necessary to go Over.
Play the Under to -120.
MIN
@
SEA
Fri, Jul 31 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Colt Emerson o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.34
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all parks.. Colt Emerson will hold the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Colt Emerson will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, Colt Emerson's 81.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.
Total Bases
Weston Wilson o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.25
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest fences among all stadiums.. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all parks.. Weston Wilson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his batting average, Weston Wilson has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .206 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.. By putting up a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is positioned in the 80th percentile for hitting ability.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
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