Philadelphia @ Arizona Picks & Props

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 6th in the lineup today. The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Chase Field. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the past week, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 90.7 mph to 86.3 mph.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Chase Field. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today's game. Over the past two weeks, J.T. Realmuto's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 93.7 mph to 79 mph. J.T. Realmuto's launch angle this year (9°) is significantly worse than his 16.6° angle last year.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brandon Marsh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 17.9% to 21.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Herrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Kolby Allard in today's matchup. Jose Herrera will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

In today's game, Alec Bohm is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.1% rate (97th percentile). Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Alec Bohm's launch angle lately (2.7° over the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.9° seasonal mark. Alec Bohm has been lucky this year, putting up a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .030 deviation.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Chase Field. Batting from the same side that Kolby Allard throws from, Jake McCarthy will not have the upper hand in today's game. Jake McCarthy's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 88.5-mph EV last season has fallen to 86-mph. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake McCarthy's true offensive ability to be a .302, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .042 difference between that figure and his actual .344 wOBA.

Trea Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner in today's matchup. Trea Turner has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week. Trea Turner has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 83.2-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Chase Field. In the past week, Ketel Marte's 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.9%. Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .386 rate is a good deal higher than his .361 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best hitter in baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The #2 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Chase Field. Jordan Montgomery will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Harper in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper today. Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 3.6% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kolby Allard today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage over Kolby Allard today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Johan Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Johan Rojas's quickness has improved this season. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.14 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Kolby Allard throws from, Kevin Newman will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kevin Newman will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. The #2 field in baseball for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Weston Wilson will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's matchup. In notching a .381 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Weston Wilson is ranked in the 98th percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in MLB for RHB base hits. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

Alek Thomas has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Joc Pederson has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.