Detroit @ Cleveland Picks & Props

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers. Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 87.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 81.3-mph in the past two weeks. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .393 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .311 — a .082 disparity.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 6th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hurlers. In the last week, Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 90.7 mph to 85.1 mph. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 44.3% to 38.3%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) may lead us to conclude that Jose Ramirez has experienced some positive variance this year with his .351 actual wOBA.

Justyn-Henry Malloy is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Justyn-Henry Malloy has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Javier Baez's true offensive skill to be a .288, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .088 disparity between that figure and his actual .200 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game.

Matt Vierling's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Matt Vierling has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Wenceel Perez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.6-mph average.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. In the past week, Mark Canha's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph in recent games. Over the last 7 days, Mark Canha's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Kenta Maeda today. Among all the teams in action today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

David Fry is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Gio Urshela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.3-mph over the course of the season to 92.8-mph recently.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. The shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among all the teams in action today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Jhonkensy Noel will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among all the teams in action today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Brayan Rocchio will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.8% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Kenta Maeda throws from, Will Brennan will have an edge in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jake Rogers pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake Rogers has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week. Jake Rogers has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.1-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 96.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Bligh Madris will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Williams in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bligh Madris can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Bligh Madris has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Colt Keith is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP. Last year, Zach McKinstry had an average launch angle of 13.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 24.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda today. Among all the teams in action today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 9th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Kenta Maeda throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have an edge in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 16th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage today.