Tampa Bay @ New York Picks & Props

12% of the time that Amed Rosario has started against a southpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst park in the league for RHB batting average. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-deepest CF fences today. Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 5th-worst park in the league for RHB batting average. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Judge in today's game. Today, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (79th percentile). The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 5th-strongest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Benjamin Rice is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Benjamin Rice will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Benjamin Rice will hold that advantage today.

Alex Verdugo's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Alex Verdugo will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.1-mph.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Jose Caballero has put up a .330 BABIP this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Siri will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. This season, Jose Siri has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.3 mph compared to last year's 94 mph mark. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Siri has suffered from bad luck this year. His .292 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .331.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Randy Arozarena will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon today. Randy Arozarena has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Lowe's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (22°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.9° angle last season. In notching a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Brandon Lowe is positioned in the 85th percentile for offensive skills.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Compared to last season, Trent Grisham has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.7% to 22.1% this season. As it relates to plate discipline, Trent Grisham's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 2.1 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's game. DJ LeMahieu's quickness has improved this season. His 25.62 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.27 ft/sec now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell today. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Curtis Mead has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Curtis Mead will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Curtis Mead has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Last year, Taylor Walls had an average launch angle of 17.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.3°. Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year, notching a .232 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .049 deviation.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Zack Littell. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Alex Jackson will have an advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Jackson's true offensive skill to be a .279, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .116 difference between that figure and his actual .163 wOBA.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Isaac Paredes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.8°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 33.8° mark over the last two weeks. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (21.4°) is a significant increase over his 18° mark last season.

Austin Wells is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Wells will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Wells has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 103.7-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Volpe has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.