Toronto @ Cleveland Picks & Props

Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. Among all the teams today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's game. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 88.6-mph EV last season has dropped to 85.9-mph. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 85.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, George Springer will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Among all the teams today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past 14 days, George Springer's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%. George Springer's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.2-mph EV last year has fallen off to 85.9-mph.

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive skill to be a .310, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .119 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .429 wOBA.

Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle this season (5.6°) is considerably lower than his 10.2° figure last season.

Tyler Freeman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field grades out as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Given Ben Lively's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Brayan Rocchio will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Brayan Rocchio has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 3.4% seasonal rate to 10% over the last week.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Daniel Schneemann will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage against Ben Lively today... and even more favorably, Lively has a large platoon split. Last season, Kevin Kiermaier had an average launch angle of 4.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. David Fry is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. In the last week, Ernie Clement's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Will Brennan is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Davis Schneider pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Lively in today's matchup... and moreover, Lively has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen's launch angle from last season's 19.5° to 23.4° this year. With a .338 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Danny Jansen has performed in the 81st percentile for hitting ability.